Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$204

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-01 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

80% 85% +$184

Sports

10% 71% -$7

Politics

9% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-25	-$24	97¢	$-24	$0	10-01 09:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on march 3 2026	1	$1.5K	1,654	0	+1,654	Down	+$112	03-03 08:58
cl up or down on march 2 2026	1	$200	216	0	+216	Up	+$16	03-01 06:46
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$150	170	0	+170	Lakers	+$20	04-27 15:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$147	86	86	+0	Yes	+$7	07-14 16:30
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	3	$122	62	62	+0	Yes	+$2	02-10 12:31
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	2	$120	138	0	+138	Yes	+$18	02-05 04:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$115	151	0	+151	No	+$36	07-25 17:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$102	104	104	+0	Yes	+$2	07-27 16:49
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	289	289	+0	No	+$0	07-14 16:31
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	1	$100	110	0	+110	Up	+$10	03-31 11:18
spx opens up or down on march 25 2026	1	$100	106	0	+106	Up	+$6	03-25 10:35
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	2	$60	64	0	+64	Up	-$60	04-09 12:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$58	70	0	+70	No	+$12	04-27 15:30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	141	0	+141	No	-$50	07-04 08:05
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$50	60	0	+60	Yes	+$10	04-06 11:18
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	06-21 04:30
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$45	25	25	+0	No	+$5	02-10 12:31
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$42	48	0	+48	No	+$6	04-22 05:23
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	1	$30	60	0	+60	No	-$30	01-12 08:40
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	1	$30	88	0	+88	Yes	+$58	01-12 08:41
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	03-30 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$30	36	0	+36	No	+$6	04-06 10:25
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$25	28	0	+28	Rockets	+$3	04-27 03:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$24	0	25	-25	open	—	10-01 09:07
spx up or down on august 4 2026	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	08-04 15:36
will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on the frontiermath benchmark	1	$20	30	0	+30	No	-$20	01-07 12:55
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$20	38	0	+38	No	-$20	02-18 14:29
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	03-30 14:40
will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$20	59	0	+59	Yes	+$39	02-18 14:29
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	1	$20	29	0	+29	No	-$20	04-14 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 09:07:06	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x58314a…
08-05 14:01:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x09a189…
08-04 15:36:56	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x84f623…
08-04 11:54:26	spx up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x43f5e3…
07-27 16:49:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	104	50¢	$52	0x2d6342…
07-25 17:21:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x78ab37…
07-21 16:03:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x975880…
07-14 16:31:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	289	17¢	$50	0x4fba81…
07-14 16:30:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	86	90¢	$77	0x78578b…
07-09 01:41:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x317ede…
07-04 08:05:38	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	141	35¢	$50	0x86455a…
07-04 08:05:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	289	17¢	$50	0xc84511…
06-29 15:46:46	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x593bb7…
06-23 16:59:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x96c5c1…
06-21 04:30:59	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x435390…
06-21 04:28:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xb5a4d6…
06-21 04:27:11	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x12ce42…
06-15 17:50:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x299ce3…
06-11 01:25:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xe125f3…
05-02 04:03:42	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Golden Knights	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3f965c…
04-27 15:30:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xa344b3…
04-27 15:27:18	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x06c408…
04-27 05:13:44	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x444b0a…
04-27 03:13:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xcc448a…
04-24 16:56:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x75f123…
04-22 05:23:26	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xe175d0…
04-14 07:59:37	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xfe9b40…
04-09 12:42:23	spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x024e75…
04-09 12:42:19	spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x2e53b9…
04-06 11:18:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x61f620…
04-06 10:25:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xec7d31…
03-31 11:18:13	spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0b8f19…
03-30 14:47:11	Will Michael Chandler fight Conor McGregor next?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcd9708…
03-30 14:40:37	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x46244f…
03-30 14:40:27	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xd3e647…
03-30 14:40:15	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x120e7d…
03-30 14:37:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf6b381…
03-25 10:35:09	spx opens up or down on march 25 2026	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x2281eb…
03-03 08:58:11	spx up or down on march 3 2026	Down	BUY	1,654	93¢	$1,542	0x5e762b…
03-01 06:46:29	cl up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0x9a6ea3…
02-18 14:29:48	will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x256563…
02-18 14:29:18	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x47b21a…
02-10 16:46:09	will trump and netanyahu not shake hands by february 13 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x09874c…
02-10 12:35:37	spx opens up or down on february 10 2026	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x313548…
02-10 12:31:47	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x6c1a8d…
02-10 12:31:33	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb4562d…
02-05 04:53:21	will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd9b203…
01-31 18:04:34	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x8d7c25…
01-31 18:03:18	will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xe90d8f…
01-31 18:01:06	will the us next strike iran on february 2 2026 et	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8c9aa8…
01-23 16:34:16	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1791d8…
01-23 16:32:48	spx up or down on january 23 2026	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x2890fa…
01-20 12:48:50	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xb35bec…
01-12 08:41:12	will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xe85e63…
01-12 08:40:50	will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x2897f8…
01-07 12:55:23	will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on the frontiermath benchmark	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x6d984d…