Tattered-Childbirth — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$3.10K

Unrealized P&L

-$831

Hit rate

35.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

106

688 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$58.2K

$148.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$216

Open exposure

$4.77K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 11-06 13:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

95% 49% +$6,608

Politics

5% 40% -$4,354

Crypto

0% 0% -$380

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,055	$1,873	94¢	$1.9K	+$49	11-05 21:46
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	+3,829	$1,750	27¢	$1.0K	-$728	11-05 21:47
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	+941	$800	88¢	$833	+$33	11-06 13:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+625	$500	76¢	$478	-$22	11-06 13:31
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	-685	-$130	43¢	$-297	-$167	06-08 19:09
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	+221	$165	92¢	$204	+$39	11-05 21:09
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	Yes	+495	$50	3¢	$15	-$35	09-29 18:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	37	$14.8K	8,005	8,005	+0	Yes	+$1,161	04-29 21:47
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	89	$10.5K	8,513	6,694	+1,818	Yes	+$956	03-26 19:00
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	80	$10.0K	10,963	2,547	+8,416	Yes	+$817	06-15 14:56
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	17	$9.4K	10,912	0	+10,912	Yes	+$1,482	09-10 13:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$9.2K	6,256	6,256	+0	Yes	-$841	10-14 12:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$7.4K	9,240	9,240	+0	No	-$2,062	10-16 13:14
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	52	$7.0K	5,494	5,494	+0	Yes	+$598	05-07 19:24
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	24	$6.9K	6,593	1,212	+5,381	Yes	+$614	03-18 21:19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$6.1K	6,886	6,886	-0	No	-$4,507	10-25 23:22
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	11	$6.1K	3,730	3,730	+0	No	+$55	10-24 22:01
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	21	$5.1K	7,543	0	+7,543	Yes	+$2,433	07-02 12:31
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	13	$4.8K	2,884	2,884	+0	No	-$320	10-16 13:15
another fed rate hike in 2026	2	$4.0K	2,469	2,469	+0	open	—	09-30 16:13
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?	29	$4.0K	2,197	2,197	+0	Yes	+$88	06-03 14:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$3.5K	2,575	1,852	+723	Yes	+$49	07-02 12:31
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	5	$3.5K	1,986	1,986	+0	Yes	-$38	10-24 22:01
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	13	$3.0K	1,808	1,808	+0	Yes	+$166	04-24 11:47
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	11	$2.9K	7,906	1,362	+6,545	Yes	+$4,335	10-29 16:51
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	12	$2.3K	2,771	0	+2,771	Yes	+$471	07-01 13:13
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	9	$2.0K	1,336	1,115	+221	open	—	11-05 21:09
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	9	$1.9K	2,055	0	+2,055	open	—	11-05 21:46
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	19	$1.8K	4,088	4,088	+0	No	-$848	06-15 14:56
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	9	$1.7K	3,829	0	+3,829	open	—	11-05 21:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$1.7K	1,618	1,618	+0	No	-$519	09-10 13:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$1.2K	666	666	+0	Yes	+$13	03-06 13:30
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?	5	$891	1,830	681	+1,149	No	-$435	08-12 13:25
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	3	$800	941	0	+941	open	—	11-06 13:45
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	2	$800	804	0	+804	Yes	+$4	04-30 18:30
wta sabalen potapov 2026 01 22	4	$780	407	407	+0	Sabalenka	-$16	01-23 02:28
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?	2	$776	577	577	+0	Yes	+$377	05-12 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 13:45:36	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xf45298…
11-06 13:32:27	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x1967e3…
11-06 13:31:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0x8a0062…
11-05 21:47:58	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	865	58¢	$500	0xb9f980…
11-05 21:46:51	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0x4a8f97…
11-05 21:46:42	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xf04ef9…
11-05 21:46:34	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	870	92¢	$800	0xcd959e…
11-05 21:46:28	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x6a39ba…
11-05 21:45:51	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6b5782…
11-05 21:45:43	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x4336a1…
11-05 21:09:07	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	BUY	221	90¢	$200	0xce107d…
11-05 21:08:15	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x36111e…
11-05 21:08:04	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x122d08…
11-05 21:07:57	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	226	89¢	$200	0x16d559…
11-05 21:07:21	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	771	84¢	$650	0x750f27…
10-29 16:51:59	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,429	23¢	$550	0x103792…
10-29 16:19:32	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x866b6f…
10-26 00:02:29	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	1,159	68¢	$790	0x82c0a8…
10-25 23:22:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6,886	12¢	$792	0x9a0f55…
10-25 22:35:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	919	36¢	$330	0xd3da13…
10-25 22:33:51	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,362	24¢	$332	0x0cf86e…
10-24 22:02:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	131	83¢	$109	0x26b730…
10-24 22:01:56	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	136	79¢	$107	0xaacafc…
10-24 22:01:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,836	83¢	$4,860	0x5bdc15…
10-24 22:01:11	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,594	82¢	$2,953	0xaa1d43…
10-24 22:01:03	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	No	SELL	1,147	85¢	$973	0x8babfa…
10-24 22:00:45	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	SELL	1,115	84¢	$935	0xa5aff5…
10-20 18:23:59	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	674	49¢	$333	0x7a4de1…
10-20 18:23:45	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	No	SELL	382	87¢	$333	0x73027d…
10-20 18:04:27	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,038	38¢	$394	0x49ce90…
10-20 18:04:12	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	No	SELL	457	89¢	$407	0xb8cc68…
10-16 13:21:00	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,887	21¢	$404	0x8bc48f…
10-16 13:15:55	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	542	79¢	$426	0x7c194d…
10-16 13:14:21	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	910	85¢	$770	0x7c5fbc…
10-16 13:14:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,210	13¢	$807	0xc4b3ad…
10-14 12:44:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	44¢	$34	0x8baf8a…
10-14 12:43:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,807	45¢	$1,700	0x75bd0b…
10-14 12:41:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,326	43¢	$1,000	0x664be4…
10-14 12:37:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,697	61¢	$2,865	0x3a46a6…
10-13 20:53:13	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	84	89¢	$75	0x36c3bc…
10-13 20:53:03	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	910	88¢	$800	0x3621ac…
10-08 15:57:29	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xd09a72…
10-08 15:57:12	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x165b75…
10-08 15:50:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0x50db79…
10-08 15:50:18	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	834	2¢	$16	0xf3a8c5…
10-08 15:49:44	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	919	54¢	$500	0xb89e4b…
10-08 15:49:18	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x99997a…
10-08 15:47:54	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x40dbe9…
10-08 15:47:41	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x8217b6…
10-08 15:47:35	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	52¢	$155	0x261d1a…
10-08 15:47:26	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x002363…
10-08 15:47:18	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x525442…
10-08 15:47:09	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x7a18c2…
10-08 15:45:26	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	123	46¢	$57	0x81bed8…
10-08 15:45:18	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x7325c3…
10-08 15:45:14	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	329	30¢	$100	0x7577d4…
10-08 15:44:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,169	83¢	$970	0x9eff58…
10-08 15:43:50	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,442	92¢	$1,321	0xf8c57a…
10-06 22:57:26	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	369	85¢	$315	0x13d733…
10-06 22:56:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	390	83¢	$324	0x145219…
10-05 00:32:28	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	73¢	$43	0x92d003…
10-05 00:32:04	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	No	BUY	822	91¢	$750	0x9f7a6f…
10-05 00:29:37	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	No	BUY	1,164	86¢	$1,000	0xc73ef7…
10-02 12:49:03	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,180	93¢	$1,100	0xd03c0a…
10-02 12:39:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,326	86¢	$2,000	0x603e97…
10-01 18:29:32	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	BUY	274	91¢	$250	0x8b2142…
10-01 18:16:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,740	73¢	$2,000	0x7b9e84…
10-01 18:15:27	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	BUY	234	85¢	$200	0x9dc47f…
10-01 18:15:18	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x452797…
10-01 18:11:39	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	506	89¢	$450	0xf581ac…
09-30 16:13:21	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	SELL	2,469	80¢	$1,976	0xd82e9f…
09-29 18:07:20	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,198	83¢	$1,000	0xe0b9e3…
09-29 18:06:32	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xe5d555…
09-29 18:05:47	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x93cc29…
09-29 18:05:42	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	266	38¢	$100	0x706e96…
09-29 18:05:36	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	328	30¢	$100	0xcd8937…
09-29 18:04:53	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	Yes	BUY	220	14¢	$30	0xb1ba26…
09-29 18:04:47	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	Yes	BUY	275	7¢	$20	0x1585de…
09-29 18:03:45	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x9cc5f4…
09-29 18:03:27	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	280	72¢	$200	0xe96e19…
09-29 18:03:15	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	726	69¢	$500	0x9f6018…
09-29 18:01:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,030	62¢	$1,865	0x305d33…
09-24 15:12:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,030	66¢	$2,000	0x73892a…
09-17 02:32:21	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	BUY	2,469	81¢	$2,000	0xf0775d…
09-17 01:51:16	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0xb229ed…
09-17 01:51:01	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x587fdb…
09-17 01:50:10	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	402	12¢	$50	0xb571ad…
09-17 01:48:31	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	581	9¢	$50	0xdccf53…
09-16 13:20:49	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	253	4¢	$10	0xad6bd7…
09-10 13:45:40	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	838	97¢	$810	0x1db7b2…
09-10 13:44:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,618	35¢	$566	0xfe2d2b…
08-18 16:56:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	71¢	$85	0x9a6667…
08-18 16:55:43	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	908	88¢	$800	0x96aa59…
08-18 16:54:07	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	280	36¢	$100	0xecdbea…
08-18 16:50:58	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	799	88¢	$700	0x31cbc9…
08-18 16:50:46	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	574	87¢	$500	0xba4286…
08-18 16:28:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0x36a0dd…
08-18 16:25:48	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	570	88¢	$500	0x591800…
08-18 16:25:42	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0xf9958a…
08-12 13:27:28	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x3be253…