Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

908

Trades

1,296

lifetime

Volume

$7.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 09-17 00:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 68% -$146

Other

33% 64% +$11

Politics

8% 76% -$15

Sports

1% 54% +$29

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes		+13	$3	8¢	$1	-$2	07-20 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaquake by march 31	2	$47	50	0	+50	No	+$3	03-10 10:41
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 5pm et	3	$37	75	0	+75	Down	-$37	08-16 21:05
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 6pm et	2	$32	72	0	+72	Down	-$32	08-16 22:01
solana up or down july 27 2026 2am et	3	$32	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	07-27 07:11
solana up or down july 27 2026 3am et	2	$32	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	07-27 08:01
lol dk hle1 2026 07 27	2	$32	16	16	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$0	07-27 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	07-27 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 27?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	07-27 07:11
dogecoin up or down august 16 2026 5pm et	5	$31	78	0	+78	Down	-$31	08-16 21:15
solana up or down august 19 2026 5pm et	1	$30	70	0	+70	Up	-$30	08-19 21:01
bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 3am et	1	$30	59	0	+59	Down	+$29	08-18 07:02
ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 27?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-27 07:11
bitcoin up or down august 18 2026 4am et	3	$30	59	0	+59	Up	-$30	08-18 08:00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-27 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 28?	2	$28	16	16	+0	No	+$4	07-28 15:57
us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	2	$28	16	16	+0	No	+$3	08-17 21:58
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?	2	$28	16	16	+0	Yes	+$3	08-16 14:35
wta leama smit 2026 07 25	2	$28	56	0	+56	Alana Smith	-$2	07-25 22:51
solana up or down july 25 2026 4pm et	1	$28	29	0	+29	Down	+$1	07-25 20:50
solana up or down july 25 2026 2pm et	1	$28	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	07-25 18:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	07-28 14:29
solana up or down july 25 2026 11am et	1	$28	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	07-25 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 28?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	07-28 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 28?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	07-28 14:29
solana up or down july 25 2026 9am et	1	$27	29	0	+29	Up	+$2	07-25 13:51
solana up or down july 25 2026 5am et	1	$27	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	07-25 09:43
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 7pm et	4	$27	48	0	+48	Down	-$27	08-16 23:14
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 27?	3	$27	17	17	+0	No	+$7	07-27 04:46
solana up or down july 25 2026 3am et	1	$27	29	0	+29	Down	+$1	07-25 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 00:42:40	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xc939f9…
09-17 00:42:33	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0xcc7eb2…
09-17 00:42:19	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x828580…
09-17 00:42:06	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0c369f…
09-17 00:41:52	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x5ee50f…
09-17 00:41:37	Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x650c99…
09-17 00:41:30	Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xf00fcb…
09-17 00:41:21	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0xe017e1…
09-17 00:41:07	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x07d11a…
09-17 00:40:55	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x5e2c4e…
09-17 00:40:45	Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?	Yes	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0x93c81f…
09-17 00:40:36	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8eb94d…
09-17 00:40:25	Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xc8e053…
09-17 00:39:24	Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xf0d8d1…
09-17 00:39:12	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xc03ad7…
09-13 10:20:46	XRP Up or Down - September 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	46	40¢	$19	0x662568…
09-13 10:19:10	Solana Up or Down - September 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xfa996d…
09-12 03:15:25	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0xec0609…
09-11 07:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x90f73e…
09-11 07:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0xce346d…
09-11 07:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x2d85ed…
09-10 10:25:15	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0x76abc9…
09-10 10:12:55	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x25c363…
09-10 10:12:54	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0xeddaca…
09-10 10:09:15	XRP Up or Down - September 10, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x4d1051…
09-09 00:13:03	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xcf3779…
09-09 00:13:01	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x2f563e…
09-09 00:13:00	Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xef77c8…
09-09 00:13:00	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xd073fc…
09-09 00:13:00	Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x3ac43b…
09-09 00:12:58	Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x50897a…
09-08 23:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x523d6e…
09-08 23:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0x076227…
09-08 06:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x74a38e…
09-07 04:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0xd0f230…
09-07 00:42:39	Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xfd4a06…
09-07 00:42:39	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xb05df5…
09-07 00:42:39	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x9a403a…
09-07 00:42:37	sweden parliamentary election orebropartiet win seats 20260825132452	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc8b1ed…
09-07 00:42:36	Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe71357…
09-07 00:42:36	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1405b1…
09-07 00:42:36	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x08113b…
09-07 00:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x3d680f…
09-07 00:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x2cc88f…
09-02 10:04:22	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x300dbf…
09-02 10:01:28	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0x428fff…
09-02 05:18:40	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xf59f39…
09-02 05:18:39	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xc10b1a…
09-02 00:00:25	Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xcddcd6…
09-02 00:00:24	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x47f7a3…
09-01 21:01:30	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0x10ac2a…
09-01 04:01:34	solana up or down september 1 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x78d059…
08-31 22:32:19	Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x23e128…
08-31 21:11:24	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xd9da29…
08-31 21:11:24	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x40e6dc…
08-31 21:11:22	Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6aa0e4…
08-31 21:11:21	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xf72f7a…
08-31 20:07:22	xrp up or down august 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x94033a…
08-31 20:07:10	xrp up or down august 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x18240a…
08-31 20:07:03	xrp up or down august 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x9f22cd…
08-31 20:06:43	xrp up or down august 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x4afa2b…
08-31 20:06:07	xrp up or down august 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xef5031…
08-31 12:02:22	ethereum up or down august 31 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	55	42¢	$23	0x2667e2…
08-31 11:12:45	ethereum up or down august 31 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x2b7f77…
08-30 23:03:22	xrp up or down august 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x87ceb7…
08-30 23:03:03	xrp up or down august 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x84bf63…
08-30 23:02:43	xrp up or down august 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0d9427…
08-30 23:02:40	xrp up or down august 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x949201…
08-30 23:02:24	xrp up or down august 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x90b0c4…
08-30 23:01:43	xrp up or down august 30 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x7c457f…
08-29 21:07:28	bitcoin up or down august 29 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	36	49¢	$17	0xeae62c…
08-29 21:07:28	bitcoin up or down august 29 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$9	0xb4d7a3…
08-29 20:03:06	bitcoin up or down august 29 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x77b5e2…
08-29 20:03:06	bitcoin up or down august 29 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x44d643…
08-29 20:03:06	bitcoin up or down august 29 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x2da3ae…
08-28 05:36:09	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xca172d…
08-28 05:36:07	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x5f2473…
08-28 05:36:06	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x7e8822…
08-28 05:36:06	Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x1524b7…
08-28 05:01:10	bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x0f16c4…
08-28 05:01:03	bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf9bb06…
08-28 05:01:03	bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb24620…
08-28 05:01:03	bitcoin up or down august 28 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5015a0…
08-26 16:31:18	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xf0452e…
08-26 11:06:52	xrp up or down august 26 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x14e035…
08-26 11:00:55	xrp up or down august 26 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0xe2bc0a…
08-26 10:21:00	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x3cc1f2…
08-26 10:00:46	bitcoin up or down august 26 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x890165…
08-26 08:03:24	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x78867b…
08-25 13:01:51	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8937f9…
08-25 13:01:48	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x55dc4f…
08-25 13:01:27	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x8752c5…
08-25 06:09:16	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7b9a9b…
08-25 04:42:40	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x557098…
08-25 04:12:51	Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	Yes	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x5697b2…
08-25 03:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x5535ba…
08-25 03:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xa4c5f4…
08-23 11:11:51	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x41c7be…
08-23 11:11:48	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	46	38¢	$17	0xb47df3…
08-23 11:08:27	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa10d20…