Realized P&L (24h)
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
53.6%
Resolved (24h)
4
Trades (24h)
5
17 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$18
$58 lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$27
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
44%
Other
28% 33% +$5
Sports
26% 50% +$1
Crypto
2% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? No -92 $-6 $-8 $-2 05-05 07:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? Yes +274 $9 $7 $-2 05-05 08:51
Iran leadership change by May 31? Yes -75 $-7 $-5 +$2 05-05 06:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes +111 $3 $3 +$0 05-05 04:15
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? Yes +80 $3 $3 +$0 05-05 06:49