Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$96

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$802

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-16

last 10-26 05:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

93% 0% -$47

Other

7% 100% +$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3,000	$883	26¢	$795	-$88	10-24 16:11
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+2,000	$4	0¢	$3	-$1	10-18 10:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	+500	$4	0¢	$2	-$2	10-20 11:46
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1,200	$2	0¢	$2	-$1	10-18 10:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	+100	$5	0¢	$0	-$4	10-18 13:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$1.5K	4,100	1,100	+3,000	open	—	10-24 16:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$367	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	10-22 14:25
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$154	550	550	+0	open	—	10-18 16:07
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$75	500	500	+0	open	—	10-24 16:58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	3	$66	167	100	+67	Yes	+$49	10-25 18:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	3	$59	300	300	+0	open	—	10-19 16:37
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	6	$46	2,450	0	+2,450	No	-$46	10-26 05:03
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$36	720	720	+0	open	—	10-25 18:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	2	$21	98	98	+0	open	—	10-25 18:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	10-18 13:46
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	4	$4	225	225	-0	open	—	10-25 18:52
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$4	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	10-18 10:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	1	$4	500	0	+500	open	—	10-20 11:46
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$2	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	10-18 10:28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	2	$1	50	0	+50	No	-$1	10-18 16:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 05:03:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	1,950	0¢	$2	0xe0ac45…
10-25 18:53:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0x12a3b4…
10-25 18:52:33	France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	0¢	$1	0xab0012…
10-25 18:52:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	98	6¢	$6	0xa00d29…
10-25 18:52:09	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	708	1¢	$10	0x177f49…
10-24 16:58:59	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x48abb9…
10-24 16:58:35	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x2eb00a…
10-24 16:12:02	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x09dc27…
10-24 16:11:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	350	27¢	$94	0x68148b…
10-24 05:05:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0xe7bec5…
10-24 03:33:17	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa8b91c…
10-23 05:50:38	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x3b47e0…
10-22 14:25:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	550	19¢	$103	0xdf2a4f…
10-22 07:37:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	550	18¢	$99	0xd5abef…
10-22 06:47:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	98	15¢	$15	0xd5cb2a…
10-20 13:48:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	500	28¢	$140	0xac6625…
10-20 11:46:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xb9ff42…
10-20 11:06:11	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	169	3¢	$6	0xc851e3…
10-20 11:06:06	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0x77e81e…
10-20 11:05:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,100	30¢	$330	0x6c1333…
10-20 08:55:19	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	212	2¢	$3	0x60a737…
10-19 18:11:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$13	0xac111f…
10-19 18:10:27	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$14	0x631600…
10-19 18:10:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x2995a8…
10-19 16:37:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	Yes	SELL	300	8¢	$24	0x285dfc…
10-19 14:34:30	France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0x02cd07…
10-19 14:34:09	France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x0e0822…
10-19 14:34:06	France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x8c2797…
10-19 14:31:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	499	27¢	$135	0x5ebe58…
10-18 16:09:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x989a93…
10-18 16:08:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x8a0403…
10-18 16:07:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x64266f…
10-18 16:07:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	86	8¢	$7	0x4af895…
10-18 16:07:08	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	300	14¢	$42	0xaeb97c…
10-18 15:57:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0xe0dbc5…
10-18 15:56:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	150	31¢	$46	0x831bca…
10-18 15:26:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0x252d78…
10-18 13:47:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1099d2…
10-18 13:46:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x611e1e…
10-18 13:46:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x97d459…
10-18 13:40:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x1ba38a…
10-18 13:40:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	169	9¢	$15	0x41b4ba…
10-18 13:40:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xbe4b45…
10-18 12:05:35	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	250	13¢	$32	0xb02529…
10-18 10:28:51	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$2	0xd9943a…
10-18 10:27:38	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x69c5c3…
10-18 10:27:20	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	250	14¢	$35	0x527c38…
10-18 10:26:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,535	29¢	$445	0x274a33…
10-17 11:31:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	259	29¢	$75	0x270535…
10-17 11:29:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0xbf18ab…
10-17 10:45:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	207	29¢	$60	0xd21f91…
10-16 20:56:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x175355…