Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$236
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
585
lifetime
Volume
$48.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$3.23K
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-14 04:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56%
Tech
23%
Other
21%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -1,557 $-1,275 94¢ $-1469 $-193 05-29 02:54
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +416 $368 89¢ $368 +$0 06-13 05:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -400 $-234 64¢ $-254 $-20 06-13 07:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +475 $275 50¢ $235 $-40 06-13 07:20
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +500 $177 36¢ $180 +$3 06-10 20:48
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +148 $112 95¢ $141 +$29 06-08 20:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +400 $162 33¢ $132 $-30 06-13 05:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +600 $86 17¢ $102 +$16 06-13 14:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +100 $91 94¢ $94 +$4 06-13 07:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $120 44¢ $87 $-33 06-01 21:15
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +435 $63 20¢ $87 +$23 06-13 03:48
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No -204 $-37 19¢ $-39 $-2 06-06 16:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +100 $10 18¢ $19 +$8 06-10 11:08
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +20 $16 79¢ $16 $-0 06-08 19:01
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? No +63 $7 12¢ $8 +$1 06-06 22:18
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No +20 $4 18¢ $4 $-0 06-08 09:56