Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$330
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
677
lifetime
Volume
$52.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$2.18K
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-26 00:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56%
Tech
24%
Other
20%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -1,557 $-1,275 95¢ $-1476 $-201 05-29 02:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $120 86¢ $171 +$51 06-01 21:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +600 $86 29¢ $171 +$85 06-13 14:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-98 84¢ $-167 $-69 06-15 00:57
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +560 $282 20¢ $115 $-167 06-21 19:08
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No -204 $-37 32¢ $-64 $-28 06-06 16:20
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +20 $16 80¢ $16 $-0 06-08 19:01