Powerful-Fit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

Trades

328

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-30 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

64% 92% +$57

Politics

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

16% 74% $-6

Sports

3% 75% $-9

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$210	200	200	+0	open	—	06-27 14:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	06-02 19:30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	05-29 18:15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	1	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	06-02 18:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	05-30 00:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	1	$45	48	0	+48	open	—	05-25 21:09
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	1	$45	59	0	+59	BetBoom Team	+$14	05-12 18:45
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner	1	$45	79	0	+79	open	—	05-20 10:45
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner	1	$45	150	0	+150	Virtus.pro	$-45	05-13 11:00
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	1	$45	51	0	+51	open	—	05-15 16:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$45	47	0	+47	open	—	05-17 19:30
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$45	47	0	+47	Down	+$2	05-12 19:45
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	1	$44	64	0	+64	ex-HEROIC	+$19	05-13 11:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$44	48	0	+48	open	—	05-25 01:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$44	49	0	+49	open	—	05-20 09:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	1	$44	51	0	+51	Down	+$7	05-12 14:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	1	$44	48	0	+48	Up	+$4	05-13 09:09
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	1	$40	78	0	+78	open	—	05-29 15:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	11	$36	38	0	+38	open	—	05-24 00:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$36	38	0	+38	open	—	05-23 00:20
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	06-14 12:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 20c	1	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	04-14 23:59
highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 26c	4	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	04-15 02:43
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$24	26	0	+26	open	—	06-14 11:31
spx up or down on june 15 2026	1	$24	26	0	+26	open	—	06-15 08:34
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 17 2026 25c	7	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	04-16 16:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 84 85f	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	04-15 09:52
highest temperature in istanbul on april 21 2026 20corhigher	3	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	04-19 23:49
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 15c	2	$16	21	0	+21	open	—	04-21 18:52
highest temperature in denver on april 16 2026 76 77f	2	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	04-15 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 12:00:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xd77f19…
06-30 09:41:32	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x33ca19…
06-27 14:18:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x53cbde…
06-27 12:56:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x58c3e7…
06-24 20:21:50	bitcoin above 60600 on june 24 2026 5pm et	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xe784bc…
06-24 20:21:26	bitcoin above 60600 on june 24 2026 5pm et	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x358abe…
06-15 08:34:13	spx up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x6b9c95…
06-14 12:00:31	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x7fb51f…
06-14 11:31:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x4c5f4b…
06-14 11:30:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x2cd349…
06-02 19:30:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x4a7978…
06-02 18:15:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	54	91¢	$50	0x61b7b1…
05-30 00:04:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x993f0a…
05-29 18:15:08	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	61	81¢	$50	0xf803ba…
05-29 15:15:07	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xaa6159…
05-25 21:09:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x7f2c2e…
05-25 01:00:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$44	0x4bb1a1…
05-24 00:11:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe8d419…
05-24 00:08:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x148b19…
05-24 00:07:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x03e58b…
05-24 00:05:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x02bebb…
05-24 00:04:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf51f88…
05-24 00:03:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x21cab1…
05-24 00:03:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xba8bf4…
05-24 00:03:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf7812d…
05-24 00:02:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x478ebc…
05-24 00:01:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x27f4a7…
05-24 00:00:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5ec516…
05-23 00:20:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x2f57ad…
05-20 10:45:10	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner	Virtus.pro	BUY	79	56¢	$45	0xfb04f3…
05-20 09:04:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$44	0x7f282a…
05-17 19:30:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x20449d…
05-15 21:19:21	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa0ed48…
05-15 16:30:13	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0x08e4fb…
05-15 07:01:09	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0xc4bd1d…
05-15 06:05:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x9d5fc6…
05-15 01:29:42	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9f683e…
05-15 00:15:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x4e928c…
05-14 23:59:57	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x45873e…
05-14 23:58:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x386e25…
05-14 23:57:12	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb062f2…
05-14 20:36:27	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfdee2d…
05-14 19:55:18	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeaf199…
05-14 12:54:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b6578…
05-13 11:00:17	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	150	30¢	$45	0xaa6058…
05-13 11:00:15	Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	ex-HEROIC	BUY	64	70¢	$44	0x24bb66…
05-13 09:09:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	48	92¢	$44	0x1e006e…
05-13 06:45:46	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x18d30e…
05-12 19:45:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x73a9b7…
05-12 19:45:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x134801…
05-12 18:45:12	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	59	76¢	$45	0xa8101f…
05-12 14:15:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0xa73685…
05-12 01:38:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x33e846…
05-11 20:50:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 11?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xb58161…
05-11 16:42:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x6e4416…
05-11 15:45:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0x1aa38a…
05-11 13:11:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x1c432b…
05-11 12:15:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0xb2e9e3…
05-10 22:27:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xe66f3d…
05-10 19:00:15	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xa086fd…
05-10 04:22:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x937c39…
05-10 00:06:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5fe87c…
05-09 23:21:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2157b9…
05-09 22:00:13	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xf8cac0…
05-09 20:30:16	LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner	Sentinels	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xbdb8e3…
05-09 20:30:15	UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x2b0817…
05-09 20:15:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x19a3fa…
05-09 18:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x9be884…
05-09 16:15:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x38cb57…
05-09 13:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x6e179d…
05-09 13:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0xa31b8c…
05-09 12:15:12	Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x7cb5a3…
05-09 12:15:10	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner	9z	BUY	19	75¢	$15	0x2c73de…
05-09 07:45:10	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xf594da…
05-09 07:45:10	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x3076ea…
05-09 05:54:36	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Baisangur Susurkaev	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xf7b6e9…
05-09 05:42:51	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x278328…
05-09 04:35:39	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x64e87e…
05-09 04:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x96beb2…
05-09 04:15:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x8cffe8…
05-08 23:30:11	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x389362…
05-08 18:45:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0xc9488e…
05-08 18:02:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xeb93db…
05-08 15:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb19c7d…
05-08 15:47:40	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x65cd0a…
05-08 15:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x892f20…
05-08 15:30:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa9ace9…
05-08 13:35:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe36dfa…
05-08 13:00:17	LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xe6dcfa…
05-08 13:00:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x612723…
05-08 13:00:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5ecfd6…
05-08 11:00:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc7fb9b…
05-08 08:30:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc25b39…
05-08 02:35:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7d0013…
05-08 02:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x9ceae5…
05-08 02:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x367a8c…
05-08 01:02:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x84ef8d…
05-08 00:39:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x886acb…
05-08 00:00:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x980092…
05-07 23:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x35c7ac…