Silver-Nursery — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$313

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

136

1,521 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.43K

$55.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$100

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 11-04 07:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Sports

54% 88% +$641

Other

23% 66% +$251

Politics

22% 73% +$665

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 57% -$15

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		+100	$70	97¢	$97	+$27	05-13 19:07
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes		+100	$4	3¢	$3	-$1	10-23 20:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
O/U 1.5 Rounds	13	$1.7K	868	868	-0	Under	+$19	05-10 00:54
will ukraine re enter novomykolaivka by march 31	5	$1.3K	691	691	+0	Yes	+$30	03-07 20:20
ufc bra4 ery 2026 03 14 totals 2pt5	18	$1.3K	646	646	+0	Over	+$12	03-14 22:51
ufc jul11 car20 2026 02 21 totals 0pt5	9	$1.3K	660	659	+1	Over	+$38	02-21 22:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$5	04-08 01:03
Will Joshua Van fight Manel Kape next?	1	$869	875	0	+875	Yes	+$7	10-24 19:47
O/U 2.5 Rounds	8	$852	861	0	+861	Under	+$9	05-30 09:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$792	868	168	+700	Yes	-$2	04-08 20:57
col1 cdf adc 2026 03 14 draw	11	$749	1,226	1,226	+0	No	-$1	03-14 21:12
ufc kyl2 mat13 2026 08 01 totals 1pt5	4	$718	363	363	+0	Under	+$7	08-01 15:20
Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	3	$672	343	343	+0	open	—	10-27 18:15
ufc lud tof 2026 08 01 totals 2pt5	2	$654	334	334	+0	Under	+$13	08-01 17:13
Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?	3	$652	678	0	+678	Yes	+$26	10-24 19:35
bra2 lon csc 2026 04 04 draw	2	$638	649	0	+649	Yes	+$10	04-01 22:49
ufc ale17 may 2026 03 28 go the distance	1	$598	672	0	+672	No	+$74	03-29 02:06
will super bowl lx have between 124m and 128m viewers	4	$592	300	300	+0	Yes	+$6	02-11 00:22
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 23	3	$586	602	0	+602	Yes	+$16	02-23 23:11
ufc ale19 jov 2026 08 01 totals 1pt5	5	$525	264	264	+0	Under	+$2	08-01 14:55
ufc eri15 don13 2026 08 15 totals 1pt5	2	$502	514	0	+514	Under	+$13	08-15 23:51
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	2	$497	500	0	+500	Yes	+$3	04-16 19:37
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	1	$492	500	0	+500	Yes	+$8	03-15 20:52
ufc kyl1 ter1 2026 03 28 go the distance	2	$490	261	261	+0	No	+$32	03-29 00:21
ufc luc8 raf11 2026 08 15 go the distance	2	$478	483	0	+483	No	+$5	08-15 22:54
Prince Andrew released by February 20?	6	$450	235	235	+0	Yes	+$16	02-19 20:54
ufc tho4 val7 2026 07 25 go the distance	3	$446	450	0	+450	No	+$4	07-25 15:47
will israel strike lebanon on february 20 2026	7	$429	435	0	+435	Yes	+$6	02-20 17:12
ufc ari1 ket1 2026 06 06 go the distance	9	$422	212	212	+0	No	+$2	06-06 21:28
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	3	$413	213	213	+0	Yes	+$11	02-16 04:42
ufc eri15 don13 2026 08 15 totals 2pt5	2	$409	414	0	+414	Under	+$5	08-15 23:51
will iran strike uae again in march	13	$397	243	243	+0	Yes	+$7	04-06 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:41:37	Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x30059c…
11-04 07:13:42	Will Broad Front (FA) win the second-most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	415	93¢	$385	0x52d975…
11-04 05:40:22	Will Podemos win the second-most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xf685b6…
11-03 16:20:10	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb6c1e2…
11-03 08:55:54	Will "MapleStory" be the #2 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x17f811…
11-03 06:37:40	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x75efdf…
11-03 06:33:48	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xea92ea…
11-02 22:36:48	Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb82c05…
11-01 21:34:01	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xe049e5…
11-01 20:56:09	Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xa6c07f…
11-01 17:25:03	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xcf7705…
11-01 17:15:34	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0xa1b691…
11-01 16:47:55	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xead424…
11-01 16:35:06	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xa7a614…
11-01 12:23:33	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.25 million?	Yes	SELL	34	41¢	$14	0x188ca7…
10-31 23:00:18	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfdbb8d…
10-31 20:16:31	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0847c7…
10-31 20:16:19	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5a9010…
10-31 16:01:58	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xe24be7…
10-31 15:09:01	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x0abae5…
10-31 07:49:21	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9b3089…
10-31 06:50:48	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x123e24…
10-31 06:36:37	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	80¢	$23	0x8fccbf…
10-30 23:10:30	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xd47f1e…
10-30 16:09:49	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.75 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x6930fb…
10-29 17:33:34	Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x887b2a…
10-29 14:07:40	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	71	95¢	$68	0xbcfa42…
10-29 11:53:55	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x469e7a…
10-29 05:38:05	Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x51f3cd…
10-28 16:31:34	Will Podemos win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x94bbb8…
10-28 16:24:04	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x33626c…
10-28 15:47:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xd25b25…
10-28 15:16:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x9f81db…
10-28 13:34:08	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.25 million?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x4693c2…
10-28 13:23:50	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x6e2764…
10-28 12:16:20	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x445c69…
10-28 12:13:01	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x7f1c80…
10-28 11:16:13	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8895bd…
10-28 10:50:59	Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x609fab…
10-28 10:33:59	Will PP win the most seats in Burgos in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x5c0b9a…
10-28 09:41:46	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd6f21f…
10-28 09:18:19	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x54005d…
10-28 09:08:50	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0b9419…
10-27 20:12:33	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x997eff…
10-27 18:20:06	Will Podemos win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x41a025…
10-27 18:15:17	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	343	100¢	$341	0x73a6e9…
10-27 16:04:20	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x381132…
10-27 15:34:51	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.25 million?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xb3c8b7…
10-27 13:31:18	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaf8cf5…
10-27 13:26:02	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x6becb4…
10-27 13:18:02	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Burgos in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x644f67…
10-27 10:58:18	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x837abe…
10-27 08:36:41	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50887a…
10-27 03:20:17	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xc7041d…
10-27 03:20:17	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x50562c…
10-26 21:25:18	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xe40be0…
10-26 21:21:36	Will Podemos win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xdbb30e…
10-26 21:16:12	Will Podemos win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x24575f…
10-26 20:49:18	will the 2026 league of legends world championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5 5 million	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x92294f…
10-26 19:24:44	Will Ronaldo Nazário attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	37	93¢	$34	0x600206…
10-26 17:29:47	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x94f173…
10-26 16:43:15	Will Manaka Matsukubo finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xad04a2…
10-26 16:35:50	Will Patri Guijarro finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	101	94¢	$95	0x79c955…
10-26 16:33:21	Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$79	0xaf26d5…
10-26 16:08:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x763d4b…
10-26 16:03:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xc4d752…
10-26 16:03:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x10470b…
10-26 08:59:15	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xeebf0a…
10-25 09:24:26	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xb035b4…
10-25 07:59:24	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Burgos in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x60fe0b…
10-25 00:11:41	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x6d268b…
10-24 19:47:21	Will Joshua Van fight Manel Kape next?	Yes	BUY	875	99¢	$869	0x02f818…
10-24 19:35:36	Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?	Yes	BUY	107	98¢	$104	0xea34be…
10-24 19:35:35	Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?	Yes	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0xfd5526…
10-24 19:35:05	Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?	Yes	BUY	422	95¢	$402	0xe83bff…
10-24 19:32:45	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x46901f…
10-24 19:27:09	Will the fight end before Round 3?	Yes	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x4e52c9…
10-24 17:34:05	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x38d716…
10-24 17:33:45	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf526ba…
10-24 17:32:53	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa11bd1…
10-24 17:16:56	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x2bb159…
10-24 16:22:23	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x2e8d12…
10-24 15:50:39	Will the fight end before Round 2?	No	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0x4f24ec…
10-24 14:56:32	Will the fight end before Round 2?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xee5873…
10-24 14:41:44	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd740c0…
10-24 11:44:44	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x1220f5…
10-24 08:32:53	Will Junts win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xd23bd0…
10-24 02:59:32	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Burgos in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xde2111…
10-24 02:07:32	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Burgos in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xcdf9de…
10-23 22:27:11	Will Junts win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb39d66…
10-23 22:27:11	Will Junts win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x975260…
10-23 20:02:59	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8c1430…
10-23 15:21:39	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Burgos in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	171	92¢	$157	0x7818f8…
10-23 12:05:00	Will Podemos win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x8f6a31…
10-23 09:42:02	Will PP win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xc6246c…
09-12 19:42:42	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x8fb655…
09-05 17:42:18	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0xe4b768…
09-05 16:33:04	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x5fdd98…
09-03 15:50:49	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6327a0…
08-30 18:51:54	ufc mus ign 2026 09 12	Ignacio Bahamondes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x59d5ba…