Profitable-Woodwind — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$5.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-19 06:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$8

Crypto

46% — —

Tech

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	6	$596	415	207	+207	open	—	03-30 14:11
will mu dip to 960 by june 22 2026	3	$570	600	0	+600	open	—	06-25 05:33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$387	400	0	+400	open	—	04-20 10:53
will mu dip to 930 by june 29 2026	2	$200	224	0	+224	open	—	07-02 12:09
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$197	200	0	+200	open	—	04-30 08:35
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	5	$192	200	0	+200	open	—	06-23 19:57
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$192	200	0	+200	open	—	05-05 00:56
mu above 1040 on june 30 2026	1	$190	200	0	+200	open	—	06-25 09:07
will mu dip to 1020 by june 29 2026	2	$180	100	100	+0	open	—	07-02 08:49
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$150	152	0	+152	open	—	03-28 05:15
will hyperliquid reach 56 in february	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	02-10 23:38
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	03-23 10:48
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	03-08 00:07
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$99	53	53	+0	open	—	04-30 07:29
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 08:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$97	100	0	+100	open	—	05-08 00:14
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	05-17 00:48
mu above 940 on july 10 2026	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	07-09 23:51
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	04-01 02:50
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	6	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	01-16 15:22
will mu dip to 990 by june 29 2026	2	$94	100	100	+0	open	—	07-02 07:30
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$60	49	49	+0	open	—	01-30 00:37
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$60	0	100	-100	open	—	02-10 23:33
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$53	47	47	+0	open	—	03-13 02:11
Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$50	53	0	+53	Yes	+$3	05-05 14:10
will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	03-04 10:20
ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt56	6	$49	30	30	+0	open	—	01-20 19:45
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$49	50	0	+50	Yes	+$1	05-05 16:30
will hood reach 95 by june 1 2026	2	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	06-04 10:26
will coinbase be accused of insider trading	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	02-24 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 06:18:04	rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt97	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xb65c35…
07-13 01:06:34	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 3pt88	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xb6bd58…
07-12 12:24:34	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x83d73d…
07-09 23:51:49	mu above 940 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc1abc1…
07-02 12:09:40	will mu dip to 930 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xdcaf8d…
07-02 08:49:26	will mu dip to 1020 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xf24f08…
07-02 07:36:01	will mu dip to 1020 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xe75b25…
07-02 07:31:58	will mu dip to 930 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xd2442b…
07-02 07:30:05	will mu dip to 990 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x5b783f…
06-29 23:27:01	will mu dip to 990 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xe8f1f4…
06-25 09:07:47	mu above 1040 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x8a4557…
06-25 05:36:50	mu above 1000 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xbad547…
06-25 05:33:17	will mu dip to 960 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x54fe5c…
06-25 05:33:10	will mu dip to 960 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x0d2d6a…
06-25 05:32:52	will mu dip to 960 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xad03fa…
06-23 19:57:41	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	Yes	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0x76061f…
06-23 12:28:47	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x526860…
06-22 16:28:32	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x35876b…
06-22 13:23:31	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x922401…
06-22 12:20:25	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xd8c5a1…
06-22 07:54:10	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf484c4…
06-05 01:59:09	will spy reach 775 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd7ec75…
06-04 10:26:40	will hood reach 95 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x79dbbe…
06-04 10:20:15	will hood reach 95 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xb2d218…
05-29 16:24:24	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x713095…
05-28 12:59:34	Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0x872ade…
05-28 12:28:36	Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x334374…
05-17 00:48:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x783b48…
05-15 10:18:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xbbd64a…
05-08 12:35:52	Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x4532b2…
05-08 09:35:36	Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xd74107…
05-08 00:14:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb743f9…
05-06 11:33:00	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x677e8d…
05-06 05:29:32	Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x445920…
05-05 16:30:10	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x857c31…
05-05 14:10:28	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x4aa74e…
05-05 00:56:20	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x263695…
04-30 08:49:48	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x64121c…
04-30 08:35:10	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x0602df…
04-30 07:29:24	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	53	91¢	$49	0x3ee8d7…
04-30 07:26:54	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x1a87f5…
04-20 10:53:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xd81225…
04-17 14:43:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	84	94¢	$80	0x5f1490…
04-17 14:42:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x218523…
04-07 22:44:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xedbea2…
04-01 02:50:11	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x1b3c50…
03-30 14:11:31	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xd519eb…
03-30 13:38:31	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x985ef8…
03-30 13:08:08	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	146	99¢	$144	0xc65bc9…
03-30 08:42:12	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x5a3e61…
03-30 01:12:18	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x2035b5…
03-28 05:15:19	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$150	0x883952…
03-25 02:24:09	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x39831f…
03-23 10:48:37	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x0f2d73…
03-13 02:11:59	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	47	50¢	$23	0xbabdad…
03-10 12:30:07	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe76d70…
03-08 00:07:53	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8c18e8…
03-04 10:20:19	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x031f95…
03-04 10:18:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x182ae4…
02-26 10:10:14	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbb7c00…
02-24 07:40:54	will company b be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x0eb6c8…
02-24 06:25:24	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x2fe333…
02-16 06:54:13	btc updown 5m 1771224600	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa7c750…
02-16 06:52:55	wmt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt72	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x6b6e37…
02-16 02:54:49	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xf883ec…
02-13 15:55:45	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x59eda2…
02-12 13:17:51	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9b15b5…
02-12 06:20:53	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe69d81…
02-11 15:22:21	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x669714…
02-10 23:38:45	will hyperliquid reach 56 in february	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7cf7f3…
02-10 23:33:07	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x6478f4…
02-05 08:44:53	amat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 2pt21	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xa18e3e…
02-05 01:17:09	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	SELL	41	31¢	$13	0xafe28b…
02-05 01:16:09	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x933e78…
02-05 01:12:35	amat quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 2pt21	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x3dc892…
02-05 01:10:39	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x982c3c…
02-02 07:10:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	33¢	$11	0xf38173…
02-02 06:47:42	rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 0pt93	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x5e5f74…
02-02 06:07:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0x17b057…
02-01 20:08:08	rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 0pt93	Yes	BUY	41	83¢	$34	0x297b55…
02-01 17:27:22	rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 0pt93	Yes	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xa66af1…
02-01 01:13:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xe7721f…
01-30 00:37:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	49	62¢	$30	0xf0a6e3…
01-30 00:07:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x68fc9e…
01-29 08:47:30	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0b19db…
01-29 08:46:20	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 2pt64	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x816820…
01-26 23:34:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x516252…
01-26 23:24:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x45aa14…
01-26 23:23:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x5bbcb3…
01-20 19:45:22	ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt56	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x90027d…
01-20 19:27:58	ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt56	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x388f15…
01-20 19:12:24	ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt56	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x1b617b…
01-20 19:12:06	ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt56	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x5841ef…
01-19 18:52:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4b7d40…
01-19 15:55:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x326f1a…
01-19 15:17:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xc2b4f7…
01-16 15:22:50	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xc92882…
01-16 11:48:26	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x9abd31…
01-16 11:31:28	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x900913…
01-16 11:29:12	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa5b2cd…