Messy-Straw 0x26d802…9d547c Create alert
bot 15W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$202
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved
1,208
Trades
3,612
lifetime
Volume
$10.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$45
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 11-11 07:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
65% 63% +$132
Sports
26% 56% -$17
Politics
8% 75% +$67
Crypto
1% 69% +$19
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 +$0 11-09 07:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 09-21 20:39
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m? Yes +3 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 11-02 07:22
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 10-09 13:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 10-25 02:20
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 11-06 22:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-29 21:56
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 11-01 20:45
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +4 $2 57¢ $2 +$0 10-13 17:29
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 11-11 05:56
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 10-31 08:48
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 11-01 00:02
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-02 07:24
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? Yes +2 $2 95¢ $2 $0 11-09 02:48
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $0 11-09 21:41
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 $0 10-25 02:58
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +4 $2 49¢ $2 $0 11-10 23:47
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? Yes +2 $2 79¢ $2 $0 11-02 21:29
Hegseth impeached and removed by March 31, 2027? No +2 $2 74¢ $1 -$1 11-11 00:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6 $2 23¢ $1 -$1 08-29 20:54
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m? No +3 $1 50¢ $1 $0 11-11 07:40
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? Yes +3 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 11-02 05:26
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 10-29 17:43
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-29 17:42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 11-06 15:54