Substantial-Cookbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$743

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 05-26 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

58% 60% -$118

Other

42% 0% -$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	2	$205	262	262	+0	No	+$5	05-25 21:42
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$196	541	541	+0	No	-$4	05-24 19:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	1	$95	104	0	+104	No	-$95	05-24 19:44
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	2	$77	58	58	+0	No	-$3	05-26 04:33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$51	119	119	+0	No	+$1	05-26 03:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$50	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-25 21:50
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$29	29,000	0	+29,000	No	-$29	05-22 21:04
Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on June 30?	2	$25	25	25	+0	Stripe	-$15	05-26 04:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-25 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 04:59:51	Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on June 30?	Stripe	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0xf38892…
05-26 04:36:43	Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on June 30?	Stripe	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xae2626…
05-26 04:33:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	58	65¢	$37	0x0166e8…
05-26 03:58:36	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	22¢	$26	0x2a2098…
05-25 21:50:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	88¢	$25	0x051f34…
05-25 21:42:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	262	40¢	$105	0x54e341…
05-25 19:20:29	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0x13284c…
05-25 15:17:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x7a0017…
05-25 15:15:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x8b447e…
05-25 15:12:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x73ce75…
05-25 15:11:48	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x9769e7…
05-25 15:08:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0x4abffe…
05-24 19:44:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	104	91¢	$95	0x0f127b…
05-24 19:37:26	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	541	18¢	$96	0x85a0cf…
05-24 19:33:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	541	18¢	$100	0x6bf9f6…
05-22 21:04:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29,000	0¢	$29	0xff90ae…