Infamous-Mansard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-20 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Crypto

31% 100% +$3

Sports

2% 100% +$21

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	19	$3.2K	3,530	50	+3,480	open	—	03-16 15:00
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.0K	549	549	+0	open	—	03-12 19:35
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	1	$1000	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	02-04 12:39
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1000	1,046	0	+1,046	open	—	01-16 12:01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	5	$797	407	407	+1	open	—	04-30 19:41
will the pittsburgh steelers make the playoffs	1	$651	0	723	-723	open	—	01-05 04:34
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$405	360	360	+0	open	—	03-13 19:14
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	1	$300	310	0	+310	open	—	03-23 20:21
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$244	265	0	+265	open	—	02-06 11:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$231	212	212	+0	open	—	05-20 20:55
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$216	360	360	+0	open	—	03-13 19:15
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	3	$210	119	119	+0	open	—	03-12 21:58
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	7	$188	170	86	+84	open	—	02-25 16:02
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 14:09
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	2	$176	227	0	+227	open	—	01-15 13:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	5	$141	570	539	+31	open	—	04-30 19:41
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$79	100	0	+100	No	+$21	03-20 19:09
nfl bal pit 2026 01 04	1	$72	150	0	+150	open	—	01-05 04:08
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$48	366	366	+0	open	—	03-13 19:15
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	2	$35	0	39	-39	open	—	01-05 12:07
bra mir vas 2026 01 28 mir	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	01-30 00:51
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	01-03 15:34
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	02-01 12:02
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$18	0	482	-482	open	—	01-09 12:50
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$15	33	0	+33	open	—	01-29 14:06
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$15	0	167	-167	open	—	01-07 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 19:31
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	2	$13	70	70	+0	open	—	01-28 11:59
will donald trump say cocaine at least five times during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	1	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	01-03 15:51
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$12	0	223	-223	open	—	01-20 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 20:55:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	212	40¢	$84	0x3e66f9…
05-08 19:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xfc31a9…
05-08 19:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbb65cc…
05-07 15:04:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	212	70¢	$148	0x71d4a2…
04-30 19:41:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	407	100¢	$406	0x4b050f…
04-30 19:41:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	539	0¢	$1	0x2aa7b7…
04-22 15:18:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	111	96¢	$106	0x261021…
04-22 15:13:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x461d04…
04-22 15:09:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x658299…
04-22 15:05:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	257	96¢	$247	0x2960ef…
04-22 15:03:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$10	0x96988f…
04-15 13:40:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x66bcf3…
04-14 13:08:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x067026…
04-12 13:31:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x539755…
04-11 12:50:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x33adb9…
04-11 06:19:25	Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	86	7¢	$6	0xa4d808…
04-07 16:00:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x074054…
04-07 15:58:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x7f2e7f…
04-07 15:56:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0x90bfe3…
04-01 16:03:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x28f986…
03-23 20:21:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x1e7e4c…
03-21 12:17:17	nba lal orl 2026 03 21	Lakers	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc62c53…
03-20 19:09:53	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x330450…
03-16 15:00:43	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x0153ea…
03-16 14:25:59	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xf60db7…
03-16 14:25:57	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	328	89¢	$292	0xfe0c5e…
03-16 14:25:57	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x01bfa2…
03-16 14:25:49	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	239	89¢	$212	0xfe6e55…
03-16 14:25:49	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xe24bf4…
03-16 14:25:49	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	463	89¢	$412	0x2b554c…
03-16 14:25:41	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x085e04…
03-16 14:25:37	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x01ae50…
03-13 19:16:51	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	465	75¢	$347	0x4db67e…
03-13 19:15:55	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	366	6¢	$23	0x24da66…
03-13 19:15:37	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	360	30¢	$108	0xe954a3…
03-13 19:14:49	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	360	55¢	$199	0x990936…
03-13 13:36:31	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	366	7¢	$25	0xc99446…
03-13 13:35:59	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	360	30¢	$108	0xca0f05…
03-13 13:35:43	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	360	57¢	$206	0xf7bce0…
03-12 21:58:39	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	83	92¢	$77	0xe7f761…
03-12 20:50:31	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	107	86¢	$92	0x1688e4…
03-12 20:35:51	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x4656f3…
03-12 20:26:27	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	243	86¢	$207	0x967c99…
03-12 19:56:11	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0x6e9ff8…
03-12 19:35:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	549	99¢	$546	0x1dc83f…
03-11 19:30:53	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	221	91¢	$200	0xa34ff7…
03-05 18:48:11	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xbbab0d…
03-05 18:48:03	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	297	94¢	$279	0x47ee0a…
03-05 18:47:57	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	703	94¢	$661	0x8099d7…
03-05 18:47:57	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x503884…
03-05 15:45:57	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x0387cf…
03-05 15:25:33	Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	386	1¢	$5	0x0f6901…
02-25 16:02:16	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	86	86¢	$74	0x58ac08…
02-09 23:33:13	bitcoin above 66k on february 10	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x059d1d…
02-06 11:35:37	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	265	92¢	$244	0x5e6fe7…
02-06 03:30:49	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc152de…
02-06 03:29:21	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf8118f…
02-05 16:31:11	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xea541d…
02-05 16:27:27	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xc0e8d1…
02-05 16:27:17	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x34c94f…
02-05 15:32:19	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	145	67¢	$97	0x4ac8f1…
02-04 12:39:54	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	1,071	93¢	$1,000	0x67d4ad…
02-04 12:10:40	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0x93a769…
02-01 12:02:10	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x44b9ed…
01-31 16:03:44	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7c26fa…
01-31 16:03:24	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x0ead9d…
01-31 16:03:08	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xc01736…
01-30 00:51:24	bra mir vas 2026 01 28 mir	Yes	SELL	19	86¢	$17	0x425db5…
01-29 14:06:58	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x5cabd3…
01-29 12:08:38	bra mir vas 2026 01 28 mir	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7591b8…
01-28 19:56:36	will powell say inflation 60 times during january press conference	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa6f6c9…
01-28 12:57:43	will powell say sep 4 times during january press conference 513	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa2da96…
01-28 12:53:39	will powell say inflation 60 times during january press conference	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x02cf68…
01-28 12:53:23	will powell say inflation 50 times during january press conference	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x315f9f…
01-28 12:53:13	will powell say job 15 times during january press conference	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xdf0f24…
01-28 11:59:51	will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xaef69c…
01-28 11:59:41	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xaf86df…
01-28 11:59:23	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x0eac53…
01-20 13:52:02	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	223	5¢	$12	0xef94ad…
01-17 14:10:54	epl mun mac 2026 01 17 draw	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x654855…
01-17 14:06:44	nfl buf den 2026 01 17	Bills	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x691040…
01-17 14:06:14	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Bears	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xd0a868…
01-17 14:05:56	nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	Texans	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x992fee…
01-16 12:01:02	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,046	96¢	$1,000	0xd80e3b…
01-15 13:40:10	Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	80k	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x55b537…
01-12 12:11:26	nfl hou pit 2026 01 12	Texans	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x461ef2…
01-09 14:09:40	will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x15f4b8…
01-09 12:50:42	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	SELL	482	4¢	$18	0x9b2b22…
01-09 12:35:04	will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x576af8…
01-07 23:26:41	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	66	9¢	$6	0xd0d395…
01-07 22:42:37	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	101	9¢	$9	0xb3ed3c…
01-06 12:02:39	Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	80k	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x0883a4…
01-06 12:00:27	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe4ed0e…
01-06 02:18:23	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xab09a2…
01-06 02:17:11	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0xe1a243…
01-05 12:07:39	no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0x7e5b39…
01-05 04:34:57	will the pittsburgh steelers make the playoffs	Yes	SELL	723	90¢	$651	0x8cfd67…
01-05 04:08:35	nfl bal pit 2026 01 04	Ravens	BUY	150	48¢	$72	0xcbc405…
01-03 15:51:59	will donald trump say cocaine at least five times during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	No	BUY	15	83¢	$13	0x4ccb07…
01-03 15:48:21	will donald trump say cia or fbi during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x713779…