Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
32.1%
Resolved
58
Trades
161
lifetime
Volume
$230
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
7 positions
First seen
2026-09-28
last 10-22 06:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Crypto
76% 36% -$16
Other
21% 40% -$2
Tech
2% 0% -$1
Politics
2% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +3 $1 95¢ $3 +$2 09-28 16:25
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +12 $1 20¢ $3 +$2 09-28 16:50
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +110 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-01 10:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-28 16:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +4 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-01 10:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-01 10:43
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +3 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-01 10:46