Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
No won
Total volume
$4,784
Trades
296
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-09-23
last 10-06 12:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.0¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $2.3K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $4.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 29 | $245 | $995 | $750 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $188 | $2.8K | $2.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $27 | $57 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $84 | $105 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 21 | $96 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $53 | $62 | $9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $6 | $9 | $3 |
| Below median | 7 | $91 | $125 | $34 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $8 | $659 | $651 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $30 | $204 | $174 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 17 | $260 | $658 | $398 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mellow-Fork 0xf2aa…21fb | No | +2,057 | $1,830 | $1,830 | 5 | 09-26 20:47 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +781 | $85 | $158 | 15 | 10-02 14:45 |
| Queasy-Airship 0x048a…9be4 | No | +752 | $659 | $659 | 1 | 09-25 22:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc83…9ba2 | Yes | +614 | $81 | $81 | 4 | 09-25 17:54 |
| Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | Yes | +450 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 09-23 11:21 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +406 | $362 | $362 | 10 | 10-02 14:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +357 | $36 | $36 | 8 | 09-30 14:59 |
| Shy-Note 0xe432…934a | Yes | +307 | $29 | $29 | 10 | 09-27 03:47 |
| Shameless-Workout-Orchard 0x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | +150 | $9 | $13 | 7 | 09-26 20:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +126 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 09-25 22:48 |
| Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | +121 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 10-06 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8e0…244b | No | +111 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 09-25 18:02 |
| Cumbersome-Circulation 0x2a31…f2f0 | Yes | +110 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 09-29 13:09 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | Yes | +100 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 09-26 20:47 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | No | +100 | $90 | $97 | 4 | 09-26 20:47 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +90 | $75 | $75 | 5 | 09-25 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | +80 | $6 | $6 | 16 | 10-02 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | +69 | $0 | $1 | 11 | 10-06 01:08 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +67 | $3 | $10 | 5 | 10-01 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | +60 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 10-06 12:19 |
| Artistic-Opening 0xbaf7…b963 | Yes | +60 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 09-24 20:30 |
| Sweet-Blueberry 0x40c9…664d | Yes | +60 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 09-24 20:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +58 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 09-25 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | Yes | +57 | $6 | $17 | 2 | 09-26 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a9d…f332 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-02 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 09-26 20:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb139…0ba0 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 09-26 20:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 09-26 20:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb139…0ba0 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 09-26 20:47 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 10-06 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 4 | 10-06 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | +42 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-03 22:55 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +42 | $42 | $42 | 4 | 10-03 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 09-25 17:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 09-25 17:13 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +36 | $5 | $29 | 11 | 10-01 06:45 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +36 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 10-01 06:45 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +35 | $32 | $32 | 5 | 09-30 14:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +35 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-05 20:14 |
| Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | +31 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 10-06 01:08 |
| Constant-Optimization 0x7db8…ed19 | Yes | +31 | $3 | $17 | 2 | 10-01 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-25 22:48 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 09-23 13:23 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 10-06 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ec5…c370 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-03 06:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +20 | $19 | $35 | 3 | 09-25 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +20 | $5 | $10 | 3 | 09-26 20:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e5…e48c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-27 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-24 20:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-06 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +20 | $20 | $54 | 3 | 09-25 07:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +20 | $19 | $23 | 3 | 09-28 10:08 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 09-24 20:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-04 16:18 |
| Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-05 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…bb82 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 09-26 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dba…2db9 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 09-26 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x839f…ecba | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 09-27 03:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x6250…f49a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 09-27 02:35 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 09-25 14:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 12:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x594b8f… |
| 10-06 12:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x594b8f… |
| 10-06 12:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x594b8f… |
| 10-06 12:15:42 | (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x01d843… |
| 10-06 12:15:42 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x01d843… |
| 10-06 12:15:42 | (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf10484… |
| 10-06 12:15:42 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xf10484… |
| 10-06 12:08:58 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xb73dce… |
| 10-06 12:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb73dce… |
| 10-06 12:08:57 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5a147… |
| 10-06 12:08:57 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5a147… |
| 10-06 11:07:49 | (anonymous) 0x037b…a36f | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd9844… |
| 10-06 11:07:49 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd9844… |
| 10-06 01:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b6f9b… |
| 10-06 01:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d87b7… |
| 10-06 01:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1b6f9b… |
| 10-06 01:08:34 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x674fec… |
| 10-06 01:08:34 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x674fec… |
| 10-06 01:08:34 | Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x9d87b7… |
| 10-05 20:14:34 | Limping-Baggie-Technique 0xeb68…e362 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x70b125… |
| 10-05 20:14:34 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70b125… |
| 10-05 20:14:34 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc8d64d… |
| 10-05 20:14:34 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc8d64d… |
| 10-05 20:14:34 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc8d64d… |
| 10-05 20:14:34 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc8d64d… |
| 10-05 19:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7cddf1… |
| 10-05 19:06:31 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x7cddf1… |
| 10-05 19:06:31 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7cddf1… |
| 10-05 19:06:31 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5a9e45… |
| 10-05 19:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a9e45… |
| 10-04 16:18:31 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x892528… |
| 10-04 16:18:31 | (anonymous) 0x271b…bff0 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x892528… |
| 10-04 16:18:31 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x892528… |
| 10-04 15:19:25 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xd1d5b8… |
| 10-04 15:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x533285… |
| 10-04 15:19:25 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x533285… |
| 10-04 15:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd1d5b8… |
| 10-04 15:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x533285… |
| 10-04 15:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd1d5b8… |
| 10-03 22:55:16 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x127f7e… |
| 10-03 22:55:16 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x01f1bf… |
| 10-03 22:55:16 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x127f7e… |
| 10-03 22:55:16 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x01f1bf… |
| 10-03 15:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0259c2… |
| 10-03 15:09:27 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc18a6a… |
| 10-03 15:09:27 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc18a6a… |
| 10-03 15:09:27 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0259c2… |
| 10-03 06:58:33 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe0d479… |
| 10-03 06:58:33 | (anonymous) 0x3ec5…c370 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xe0d479… |
| 10-03 06:58:33 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe0d479… |
| 10-02 21:38:56 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x57c9c2… |
| 10-02 21:38:56 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x57c9c2… |
| 10-02 14:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xdc6cfa… |
| 10-02 14:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x3a9d…f332 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xdc6cfa… |
| 10-02 14:45:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xdc6cfa… |
| 10-02 14:18:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0fb287… |
| 10-02 14:18:23 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0fb287… |
| 10-02 14:18:21 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3f13fe… |
| 10-02 14:18:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3f13fe… |
| 10-02 14:18:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaf8d60… |
| 10-02 14:18:20 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaf8d60… |
| 10-02 14:18:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb50343… |
| 10-02 14:18:15 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb50343… |
| 10-01 11:35:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x89c294… |
| 10-01 11:35:45 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x89c294… |
| 10-01 11:35:45 | Constant-Optimization 0x7db8…ed19 | Yes | SELL | 92 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x89c294… |
| 10-01 06:45:00 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 36 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x2a2035… |
| 10-01 06:45:00 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 36 | 92¢ | $33 | 0x2a2035… |
| 09-30 14:59:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xce014d… |
| 09-30 14:59:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xce014d… |
| 09-29 13:09:59 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa30b78… |
| 09-29 13:09:59 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa30b78… |
| 09-29 13:09:42 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf36d0d… |
| 09-29 13:09:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf36d0d… |
| 09-29 13:09:41 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xca9ba9… |
| 09-29 13:09:41 | Cumbersome-Circulation 0x2a31…f2f0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xca9ba9… |
| 09-29 13:09:41 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xca9ba9… |
| 09-29 13:09:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa00b3e… |
| 09-29 13:09:41 | Slim-Target 0x1894…a936 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa00b3e… |
| 09-29 13:09:41 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa00b3e… |
| 09-29 10:24:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x250afc… |
| 09-29 10:24:23 | (anonymous) 0x2b23…b6b2 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x250afc… |
| 09-29 04:08:35 | Slim-Target 0x1894…a936 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xab1144… |
| 09-29 04:08:35 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xee671d… |
| 09-29 04:08:35 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xee671d… |
| 09-29 04:08:35 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xab1144… |
| 09-28 22:14:42 | Constant-Optimization 0x7db8…ed19 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x1092a6… |
| 09-28 22:14:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 123 | 92¢ | $113 | 0x1092a6… |
| 09-28 16:14:54 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x19c33f… |
| 09-28 16:14:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x19c33f… |
| 09-28 15:40:42 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x33074f… |
| 09-28 15:40:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x33074f… |
| 09-28 14:05:48 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x553073… |
| 09-28 14:05:48 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x553073… |
| 09-28 14:05:39 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc1c3d0… |
| 09-28 14:05:39 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc1c3d0… |
| 09-28 14:05:39 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc1c3d0… |
| 09-28 10:08:50 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x1f1475… |
| 09-28 10:08:50 | (anonymous) 0x126e…d35f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x1f1475… |
| 09-27 19:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x0680…4ba7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe5d15e… |