Artistic-Opening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

Trades

528

lifetime

Volume

$5.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-10 20:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

51% — —

Crypto

32% 0% $-2

Other

14% 50% +$6

Sports

1% 0% $-5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$178	151	114	+38	open	—	03-08 11:49
will iran strike israel on march 3	2	$176	115	115	+0	open	—	03-03 19:00
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	8	$167	2,178	2,178	+0	open	—	03-04 15:38
will iran strike israel on march 4	8	$141	533	533	+0	open	—	03-06 17:14
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$139	80	80	+0	open	—	04-21 13:16
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	3	$127	85	85	+0	open	—	04-09 06:53
will israel take military action in gaza on march 30 2026	6	$125	70	70	+0	open	—	03-30 10:56
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	2	$110	62	62	+0	open	—	04-08 22:24
will iran strike israel on march 10	5	$100	459	71	+389	open	—	03-15 05:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$96	300	150	+150	open	—	03-09 21:11
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 18:50
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$94	222	222	-0	open	—	03-05 16:23
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	3	$90	149	53	+97	open	—	04-10 05:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$90	73	73	+0	open	—	04-07 22:53
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	3	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 13:22
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	4	$84	51	51	+0	open	—	04-03 16:23
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	2	$78	45	45	+0	open	—	04-10 10:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	2	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	05-26 00:54
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?	2	$68	56	56	+0	open	—	04-06 10:27
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 31 2026	2	$67	38	38	+0	open	—	03-31 13:25
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	4	$67	58	58	+0	open	—	04-04 17:42
will israel take military action in gaza on march 25 2026	2	$64	35	35	+0	open	—	03-26 04:11
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	2	$63	60	60	+0	open	—	04-21 13:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$60	190	100	+90	open	—	04-07 23:15
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	2	$59	35	35	+0	open	—	05-22 22:30
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	4	$58	43	43	+0	open	—	03-25 12:18
btc updown 15m 1775386800	4	$55	32	31	+0	open	—	04-05 11:15
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	3	$54	35	35	+0	open	—	04-05 11:13
btc updown 15m 1772703900	2	$54	63	62	+1	open	—	03-05 09:53
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$53	47	47	+0	open	—	03-07 05:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 20:34:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xa7923a…
06-10 15:15:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf27aee…
06-08 17:50:39	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x067b3f…
06-08 12:56:10	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xc5c110…
06-08 12:37:12	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xb1b0f8…
06-08 12:37:07	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x57deb9…
06-08 11:27:34	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x90e1f7…
06-08 10:19:55	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xccfbbc…
06-08 02:52:07	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x89b924…
06-07 21:13:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x04de53…
06-02 00:14:28	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x984f0c…
05-28 16:39:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x7231a3…
05-26 00:54:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x4ca8ec…
05-24 17:46:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x8ac04e…
05-22 22:36:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x341be3…
05-22 22:30:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x7a2e4e…
05-22 07:52:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	35	70¢	$25	0x7ac371…
05-22 06:50:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x0fbc97…
05-21 15:45:47	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9d819f…
05-21 13:39:27	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0xcb36c4…
05-20 08:37:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x369100…
05-17 05:26:35	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x48b23e…
05-15 18:25:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2b5520…
05-15 15:12:13	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0xa8f4d8…
05-15 07:31:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xffd69d…
05-15 06:18:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x426f38…
05-14 15:39:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x5a85d5…
05-14 05:34:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x10b2ad…
05-14 04:37:20	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x552190…
05-11 21:03:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x5a168c…
05-11 14:18:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x5a92ae…
05-10 20:28:11	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0caa99…
05-07 03:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x089da4…
05-07 03:33:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0x7e4ff2…
05-06 21:46:34	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x03e509…
05-06 20:35:03	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x126991…
05-06 20:34:59	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x2f818c…
05-06 20:21:19	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xadfd4f…
05-06 15:23:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x420cc0…
05-06 13:09:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x7df66c…
05-06 02:52:12	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe1ae64…
05-06 00:45:42	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x204569…
05-03 21:13:54	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xc964b1…
05-03 00:49:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x1e63f1…
04-30 04:38:08	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x597eee…
04-30 04:35:46	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xe4e6ee…
04-29 19:20:58	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xaf3ddf…
04-29 14:43:06	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x732c83…
04-29 11:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd8cebd…
04-29 09:15:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xbc13c3…
04-29 04:15:30	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xf21335…
04-29 04:04:40	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x0d2693…
04-29 04:01:02	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x1f061a…
04-28 22:30:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xf2d66d…
04-28 09:43:32	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x316ffa…
04-28 09:38:50	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x724014…
04-28 08:56:04	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xfd622a…
04-28 06:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x737420…
04-28 06:21:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb0e729…
04-27 06:18:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc46529…
04-27 03:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe840d3…
04-25 06:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x792c9c…
04-24 20:31:22	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0xeb5af9…
04-23 10:07:36	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0xa0ebb7…
04-23 10:07:22	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xfbd9d2…
04-23 08:07:44	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x3e32ab…
04-22 19:35:52	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 btts	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x7739b8…
04-22 14:53:30	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x7935eb…
04-22 09:49:30	btc updown 5m 1776851100	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0b77f9…
04-22 06:39:16	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xce7ced…
04-22 04:15:44	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0x5aa4cb…
04-21 20:37:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xef7f95…
04-21 13:17:20	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x2a216b…
04-21 13:17:08	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x063229…
04-21 13:16:08	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x446c4e…
04-21 13:15:06	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	Yes	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0x7fc999…
04-21 13:04:04	will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x168a7e…
04-21 12:49:08	will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x6b1e9e…
04-21 10:48:02	will 50 59 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 662	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3eb656…
04-21 07:54:56	btc updown 15m 1776757500	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x64a2d1…
04-20 12:52:14	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc46900…
04-20 07:01:48	btc updown 15m 1776667500	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb04d25…
04-20 06:55:22	btc updown 15m 1776667500	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3ec836…
04-20 01:54:28	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Trail Blazers	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7c46d3…
04-19 03:57:18	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0ae2ed…
04-17 20:54:08	btc updown 5m 1776459000	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x26d396…
04-16 12:03:48	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x3452f5…
04-16 03:57:02	btc updown 15m 1776311100	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5da6aa…
04-15 20:54:32	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x581dc3…
04-15 20:48:52	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa01fdc…
04-15 18:51:32	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x064f77…
04-15 17:19:26	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x3ce3f2…
04-15 11:30:30	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xaf4e34…
04-15 11:22:48	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x4449c4…
04-15 11:15:44	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xae7927…
04-15 11:08:10	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x1a20ec…
04-15 11:05:32	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x262cd2…
04-15 11:02:00	will 60 69 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 525	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x418598…
04-15 10:57:36	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x26dfda…
04-15 06:12:20	btc updown 15m 1776232800	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x83192b…