Artistic-Opening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

Trades

630

lifetime

Volume

$6.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-23 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

49% — —

Crypto

29% 0% $-2

Other

16% 50% +$6

Sports

5% 0% $-5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$178	151	114	+38	open	—	03-08 11:49
will iran strike israel on march 3	2	$176	115	115	+0	open	—	03-03 19:00
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	8	$167	2,178	2,178	+0	open	—	03-04 15:38
will iran strike israel on march 4	8	$141	533	533	+0	open	—	03-06 17:14
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$139	80	80	+0	open	—	04-21 13:16
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	3	$127	85	85	+0	open	—	04-09 06:53
will israel take military action in gaza on march 30 2026	6	$125	70	70	+0	open	—	03-30 10:56
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	2	$110	62	62	+0	open	—	04-08 22:24
will iran strike israel on march 10	5	$100	459	71	+389	open	—	03-15 05:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$96	300	150	+150	open	—	03-09 21:11
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 18:50
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$94	222	222	-0	open	—	03-05 16:23
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	3	$90	149	53	+97	open	—	04-10 05:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$90	73	73	+0	open	—	04-07 22:53
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	3	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 13:22
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	4	$84	51	51	+0	open	—	04-03 16:23
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	2	$78	45	45	+0	open	—	04-10 10:33
will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	2	$76	46	46	+0	open	—	07-18 21:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	2	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	05-26 00:54
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?	2	$68	56	56	+0	open	—	04-06 10:27
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 31 2026	2	$67	38	38	+0	open	—	03-31 13:25
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	4	$67	58	58	+0	open	—	04-04 17:42
will israel take military action in gaza on march 25 2026	2	$64	35	35	+0	open	—	03-26 04:11
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	2	$63	60	60	+0	open	—	04-21 13:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$60	190	100	+90	open	—	04-07 23:15
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	2	$59	35	35	+0	open	—	05-22 22:30
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	4	$58	43	43	+0	open	—	03-25 12:18
btc updown 15m 1775386800	4	$55	32	31	+0	open	—	04-05 11:15
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	3	$54	35	35	+0	open	—	04-05 11:13
btc updown 15m 1772703900	2	$54	63	62	+1	open	—	03-05 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 10:06:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x1bed0a…
07-23 10:06:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd5a892…
07-23 04:26:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x912b58…
07-21 14:35:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x107d1a…
07-21 11:25:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x2aff1c…
07-21 05:42:48	btc updown 15m 1784611800	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x53a1ea…
07-20 13:04:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2300f6…
07-20 06:29:07	btc updown 15m 1784528100	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x378c6e…
07-20 05:54:54	btc updown 15m 1784526300	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfd3d45…
07-19 16:55:06	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xaec3c9…
07-19 16:55:06	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4c2b93…
07-18 21:55:15	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x0f53f1…
07-18 08:31:06	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x4fc7d3…
07-17 14:21:09	will the announcers say bronze during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740624	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1a9239…
07-17 14:20:27	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf7a01e…
07-17 14:18:58	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x91b78e…
07-17 14:16:46	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xbe380c…
07-16 20:34:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	No	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xd1f523…
07-16 14:41:50	will trump say nuclear 15 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621421	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xd76be5…
07-16 13:37:23	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0x122c31…
07-16 07:35:32	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xe75df3…
07-16 07:18:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x23ba3b…
07-16 05:53:53	will trump say venezuela during speech to the nation 20260713200621424	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1dbf46…
07-16 05:52:43	will trump say make america great again during speech to the nation 20260713200621430	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x96d7b4…
07-16 05:52:37	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xf24bca…
07-15 20:50:47	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1ca0e1…
07-15 12:13:38	will the announcers say resilience during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905970	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x91b7fc…
07-15 10:51:50	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x575e69…
07-15 04:11:08	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xd025fe…
07-14 18:53:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals dani olmo gte1	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd91f40…
07-14 18:04:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals mikel oyarzabal gte1	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe5edf0…
07-14 10:07:02	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xec2f25…
07-13 14:25:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xa8998f…
07-13 04:12:23	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0a1e3e…
07-13 04:04:16	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0xe74dc9…
07-12 19:06:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe94654…
07-12 14:43:14	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x3b3f82…
07-12 00:09:50	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts first half	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x77039e…
07-08 13:00:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x33eb9a…
07-08 12:26:29	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2c1b15…
07-07 19:47:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x12226a…
07-07 12:36:25	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x885b92…
07-07 08:11:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x976572…
07-06 17:13:38	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0e2e1f…
07-06 14:53:05	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfc0e25…
07-06 13:12:47	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6e8540…
07-05 09:09:02	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1b3af1…
07-05 08:44:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x73332c…
07-04 09:53:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe1e583…
07-03 06:45:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0x12f0c1…
07-02 21:22:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x76cd32…
07-02 17:03:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xce65f0…
07-01 07:18:52	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xd4fb70…
07-01 02:58:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x92cf1f…
06-30 11:38:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0289ac…
06-30 10:15:26	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3d7782…
06-29 23:31:37	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0x04a576…
06-29 19:57:01	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xf26bd9…
06-29 19:56:41	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1adc7e…
06-29 04:27:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xfe8430…
06-29 04:26:35	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0x6ecc32…
06-28 10:52:29	btc updown 5m 1782643800	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x407daa…
06-27 23:29:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0xa1b269…
06-27 23:29:46	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xa27279…
06-27 23:29:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xebddd9…
06-27 23:28:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x319a75…
06-27 14:10:58	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x96dda9…
06-27 14:10:31	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x4ee9c5…
06-27 14:07:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x480f37…
06-26 20:53:37	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2080fd…
06-26 20:53:17	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe72927…
06-26 18:07:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1df4dd…
06-25 10:40:19	btc updown 15m 1782383400	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfa11c5…
06-25 10:39:25	btc updown 15m 1782383400	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9b3d49…
06-24 15:46:26	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xa2118e…
06-23 18:54:38	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x803662…
06-23 12:16:19	btc updown 5m 1782216900	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf91c2c…
06-23 12:16:19	btc updown 5m 1782216900	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7d2087…
06-22 08:11:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xa13458…
06-22 08:11:20	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x48861f…
06-20 21:14:25	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa77cd5…
06-20 16:31:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x362901…
06-19 22:26:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$26	0x022a2e…
06-19 19:37:05	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8abab4…
06-19 13:57:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x5a86ad…
06-18 17:02:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	34	73¢	$25	0xb046f4…
06-18 11:13:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x802ae2…
06-17 22:13:19	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x167552…
06-17 16:18:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xb08ae5…
06-17 15:25:26	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x48cf15…
06-17 11:12:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x2141a9…
06-16 20:22:41	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xbc5008…
06-15 12:47:15	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf4ecfa…
06-15 11:36:09	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb9d98a…
06-15 11:35:30	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xeae586…
06-14 18:35:28	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5ff97b…
06-14 13:18:42	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xf806b0…
06-14 13:18:16	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x229589…
06-14 07:56:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x9691b1…
06-14 07:52:55	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x8015fd…