Artistic-Opening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

Trades

657

lifetime

Volume

$7.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 08-09 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Crypto

27% 0% $-2

Other

17% 50% +$6

Sports

5% 0% $-5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$178	151	114	+38	open	—	03-08 11:49
will iran strike israel on march 3	2	$176	115	115	+0	open	—	03-03 19:00
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	8	$167	2,178	2,178	+0	open	—	03-04 15:38
will iran strike israel on march 4	8	$141	533	533	+0	open	—	03-06 17:14
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$139	80	80	+0	open	—	04-21 13:16
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	3	$127	85	85	+0	open	—	04-09 06:53
will israel take military action in gaza on march 30 2026	6	$125	70	70	+0	open	—	03-30 10:56
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	2	$110	62	62	+0	open	—	04-08 22:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	3	$102	62	62	+0	open	—	07-29 15:29
will iran strike israel on march 10	5	$100	459	71	+389	open	—	03-15 05:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$96	300	150	+150	open	—	03-09 21:11
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 18:50
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$94	222	222	-0	open	—	03-05 16:23
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	3	$90	149	53	+97	open	—	04-10 05:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$90	73	73	+0	open	—	04-07 22:53
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	3	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 13:22
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	4	$84	51	51	+0	open	—	04-03 16:23
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	3	$83	62	62	+0	open	—	07-29 15:29
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	2	$78	45	45	+0	open	—	04-10 10:33
will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	2	$76	46	46	+0	open	—	07-18 21:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	2	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	05-26 00:54
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?	2	$68	56	56	+0	open	—	04-06 10:27
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 31 2026	2	$67	38	38	+0	open	—	03-31 13:25
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	4	$67	58	58	+0	open	—	04-04 17:42
will israel take military action in gaza on march 25 2026	2	$64	35	35	+0	open	—	03-26 04:11
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	2	$63	60	60	+0	open	—	04-21 13:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$60	190	100	+90	open	—	04-07 23:15
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	2	$59	35	35	+0	open	—	05-22 22:30
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	4	$58	43	43	+0	open	—	03-25 12:18
btc updown 15m 1775386800	4	$55	32	31	+0	open	—	04-05 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 11:25:39	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xbd55e6…
08-07 12:49:34	will trump say maga or make america great again during friday roundtable 20260805211427293	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc3b50b…
08-06 10:55:20	bitcoin up or down august 6 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2af0a2…
08-06 10:52:02	will giorgio chiellini attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630268	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb5eb08…
08-05 17:36:26	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc86f3a…
08-05 12:04:14	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x01707d…
08-05 11:16:47	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4fee2f…
08-05 11:14:03	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x6a9a0a…
08-04 14:46:24	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741056	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa0d57e…
08-01 18:06:27	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xb60f7c…
08-01 17:26:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x7d879a…
07-31 23:44:44	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x254fbf…
07-31 19:56:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x27c7d5…
07-30 13:36:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x2140b0…
07-30 10:31:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x15d3e8…
07-29 15:29:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	31	76¢	$23	0x2b5e8d…
07-29 15:29:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	47	87¢	$41	0x311b5e…
07-28 07:41:57	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x1a8833…
07-27 12:57:40	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf81057…
07-26 12:49:19	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x89394d…
07-25 18:15:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	31	63¢	$19	0x9fc151…
07-25 18:15:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0xcd6ad6…
07-25 17:49:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x3336fb…
07-25 17:49:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xf75ee3…
07-24 15:59:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe06b61…
07-24 14:37:12	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x547fd7…
07-24 08:21:18	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xff9ee5…
07-23 10:06:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x1bed0a…
07-23 10:06:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd5a892…
07-23 04:26:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x912b58…
07-21 14:35:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x107d1a…
07-21 11:25:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x2aff1c…
07-21 05:42:48	btc updown 15m 1784611800	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x53a1ea…
07-20 13:04:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2300f6…
07-20 06:29:07	btc updown 15m 1784528100	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x378c6e…
07-20 05:54:54	btc updown 15m 1784526300	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfd3d45…
07-19 16:55:06	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xaec3c9…
07-19 16:55:06	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4c2b93…
07-18 21:55:15	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x0f53f1…
07-18 08:31:06	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x4fc7d3…
07-17 14:21:09	will the announcers say bronze during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740624	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1a9239…
07-17 14:20:27	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf7a01e…
07-17 14:18:58	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x91b78e…
07-17 14:16:46	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xbe380c…
07-16 20:34:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 17 20260713154943505	No	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xd1f523…
07-16 14:41:50	will trump say nuclear 15 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621421	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xd76be5…
07-16 13:37:23	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0x122c31…
07-16 07:35:32	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xe75df3…
07-16 07:18:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x23ba3b…
07-16 05:53:53	will trump say venezuela during speech to the nation 20260713200621424	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1dbf46…
07-16 05:52:43	will trump say make america great again during speech to the nation 20260713200621430	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x96d7b4…
07-16 05:52:37	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xf24bca…
07-15 20:50:47	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1ca0e1…
07-15 12:13:38	will the announcers say resilience during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905970	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x91b7fc…
07-15 10:51:50	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x575e69…
07-15 04:11:08	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xd025fe…
07-14 18:53:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals dani olmo gte1	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd91f40…
07-14 18:04:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals mikel oyarzabal gte1	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe5edf0…
07-14 10:07:02	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xec2f25…
07-13 14:25:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xa8998f…
07-13 04:12:23	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0a1e3e…
07-13 04:04:16	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0xe74dc9…
07-12 19:06:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe94654…
07-12 14:43:14	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x3b3f82…
07-12 00:09:50	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts first half	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x77039e…
07-08 13:00:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x33eb9a…
07-08 12:26:29	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2c1b15…
07-07 19:47:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x12226a…
07-07 12:36:25	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x885b92…
07-07 08:11:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x976572…
07-06 17:13:38	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0e2e1f…
07-06 14:53:05	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfc0e25…
07-06 13:12:47	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6e8540…
07-05 09:09:02	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1b3af1…
07-05 08:44:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x73332c…
07-04 09:53:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe1e583…
07-03 06:45:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0x12f0c1…
07-02 21:22:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x76cd32…
07-02 17:03:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xce65f0…
07-01 07:18:52	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xd4fb70…
07-01 02:58:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x92cf1f…
06-30 11:38:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0289ac…
06-30 10:15:26	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3d7782…
06-29 23:31:37	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0x04a576…
06-29 19:57:01	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xf26bd9…
06-29 19:56:41	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1adc7e…
06-29 04:27:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xfe8430…
06-29 04:26:35	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0x6ecc32…
06-28 10:52:29	btc updown 5m 1782643800	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x407daa…
06-27 23:29:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0xa1b269…
06-27 23:29:46	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xa27279…
06-27 23:29:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xebddd9…
06-27 23:28:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x319a75…
06-27 14:10:58	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x96dda9…
06-27 14:10:31	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x4ee9c5…
06-27 14:07:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x480f37…
06-26 20:53:37	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2080fd…
06-26 20:53:17	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe72927…
06-26 18:07:31	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1df4dd…
06-25 10:40:19	btc updown 15m 1782383400	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfa11c5…