Imperfect-Density — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

10 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.93K

$1.93K lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

$425

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 10?	No		+337	$336	100¢	$337	+$0	05-10 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 10?	No		+88	$88	100¢	$88	+$0	05-10 08:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on May 8?	1	$544	545	+545	No	+$1	05-08 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 10?	2	$336	337	+337	open	—	05-10 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	1	$234	234	+234	No	+$0	05-07 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 8?	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	05-08 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	05-07 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 8?	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	05-08 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 10?	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	05-10 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 7?	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	05-07 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 6?	1	$52	52	+52	No	+$0	05-06 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 08:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x2b0b97…
05-10 08:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 10?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x8db292…
05-10 07:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xb802f8…
05-08 07:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0xe21739…
05-08 05:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 8?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa502c1…
05-08 03:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xfa6210…
05-07 08:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xa080d7…
05-07 06:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe6ac7a…
05-07 04:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x4dce8f…
05-06 08:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 6?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xa39bbb…