Blue-Supplement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

162

Trades

196

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-21 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 84% -$12

Other

30% 71% -$9

Sports

18% 39% +$19

Politics

7% 33% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$427	214	214	+0	No	$0	03-31 11:59
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	4	$370	186	186	+0	No	$0	05-24 04:13
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	4	$366	184	184	+0	No	$0	05-24 03:54
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	3	$356	238	119	+119	No	+$0	03-14 12:52
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$245	123	123	+0	No	$0	01-16 12:26
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$244	122	122	+0	No	$0	01-18 03:37
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$244	122	122	+0	No	$0	01-18 03:54
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$242	121	121	+0	No	$0	01-19 06:10
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$237	119	119	+0	No	$0	03-12 06:09
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	2	$237	119	119	+0	No	$0	03-08 07:44
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$236	118	118	+0	No	$0	03-03 09:42
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$236	118	118	+0	No	$0	03-04 03:10
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$216	109	109	+0	No	$0	04-19 08:54
Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$216	109	109	+0	No	$0	04-19 10:07
Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	$0	04-24 12:31
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 06:49
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$198	99	99	+0	No	$0	05-23 03:39
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$196	98	98	+0	No	$0	05-23 03:58
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	05-16 03:26
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	05-14 03:43
Will Ons Jabeur win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$186	93	93	+0	No	$0	05-07 07:30
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	2	$184	92	92	+0	No	$0	05-18 05:24
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-09 07:08
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-09 06:49
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$178	89	89	+0	No	$0	05-14 03:57
will bitcoin reach 84k february 2 8	1	$123	123	0	+123	No	+$0	02-08 04:11
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 10	1	$123	123	0	+123	No	+$0	02-10 11:18
ethereum above 2400 on february 6	1	$123	123	0	+123	No	+$0	02-06 11:01
bitcoin above 82k on february 4	1	$122	123	0	+123	No	+$0	02-04 12:40
ethereum above 2700 on february 3	1	$122	122	0	+122	No	+$0	02-03 11:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 19:20:44	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $310 end of October?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x6a5959…
10-21 19:14:53	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of October?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x11c0c5…
09-29 12:28:38	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x12dd9c…
09-29 12:21:48	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x59f190…
08-11 06:07:27	ethereum above 2100 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x13fa6b…
07-10 08:48:31	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x42abac…
06-30 08:06:01	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xb6931b…
06-05 12:22:09	will ng dip to 2 60 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x8038a0…
05-31 08:50:09	Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x122a60…
05-30 06:47:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x090cba…
05-30 06:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x746f80…
05-30 03:31:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x495855…
05-29 07:39:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xcbe399…
05-29 07:36:46	Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdedac3…
05-28 04:47:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x49d8ae…
05-28 04:40:39	Will Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7ac175…
05-28 04:38:43	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x8df1ae…
05-27 08:40:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x763b64…
05-27 08:30:38	Fenerbahce vs. Esenler Erokspor	Fenerbahce	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x0a4a8a…
05-26 11:27:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xf39ae6…
05-25 07:29:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x9a8c98…
05-24 04:18:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xc34a29…
05-24 04:13:51	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xf825a3…
05-24 03:58:57	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xf0990d…
05-24 03:56:17	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x204db6…
05-24 03:54:11	Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$94	0x696cef…
05-24 03:30:15	Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$94	0xbeab10…
05-23 04:02:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x06f13f…
05-23 03:58:08	Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x748034…
05-23 03:56:04	Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis	Andrej Nedic	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x9ced4d…
05-23 03:40:56	Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xc667a5…
05-23 03:39:27	Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x7ff98e…
05-23 03:17:24	Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x78c647…
05-21 08:21:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f90a0…
05-21 08:17:20	LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xfc3d9f…
05-20 11:19:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 20?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x3790a1…
05-19 06:59:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xa411e6…
05-19 06:49:50	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x5009b9…
05-19 05:38:02	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xccf214…
05-18 06:34:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x4ad9a7…
05-18 06:24:42	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xae0ff8…
05-18 05:25:21	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x32562f…
05-18 05:24:15	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$92	0xd3050d…
05-18 05:10:30	Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Pallacanestro Trieste	Pallacanestro Brescia	BUY	5	77¢	$3	0xb76dca…
05-18 05:07:48	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x8d07fc…
05-17 12:28:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xb1793e…
05-16 03:46:30	Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x2919ec…
05-16 03:26:28	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xa4e134…
05-16 03:03:04	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x0b9862…
05-15 08:50:17	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $292 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x100f56…
05-14 04:00:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x8125e9…
05-14 03:57:42	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	89	99¢	$89	0x720089…
05-14 03:45:55	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xb3b0e0…
05-14 03:43:24	Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xd22680…
05-14 03:12:43	Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xa9c21e…
05-12 07:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x010612…
05-11 09:47:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xfc5a10…
05-11 09:42:59	Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x9a022d…
05-11 09:29:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x1f97b9…
05-11 09:22:32	Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xc437a9…
05-10 11:03:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x203edb…
05-10 09:51:29	LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers Challengers	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5c579e…
05-09 07:12:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc85a72…
05-09 07:08:25	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x84048c…
05-09 07:04:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x59dc0a…
05-09 06:51:11	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe17f0c…
05-09 06:49:24	Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x36151b…
05-09 05:41:09	Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb9c179…
05-08 07:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xfe55c7…
05-08 07:10:10	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	Tundra Esports	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0x6f5e1e…
05-07 07:44:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x70b912…
05-07 07:30:32	Will Ons Jabeur win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x870ab5…
05-07 06:50:35	Will Ons Jabeur win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x041188…
05-05 08:29:36	Will XRP dip to $1.35 on May 5?	No	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x227b70…
05-04 05:03:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x6d0883…
05-03 09:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 4?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x1abe85…
05-02 08:11:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 2?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x491d1c…
05-01 04:18:48	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xf38f86…
04-30 09:31:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xecf067…
04-29 06:27:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x31e5a3…
04-27 08:58:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa5e3e8…
04-26 07:13:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9fa28f…
04-25 05:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x6fd97d…
04-25 05:06:14	Madrid Open: Martin Damm vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x42d0d5…
04-24 12:43:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xdb4226…
04-24 12:31:56	Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$101	0x821960…
04-24 12:05:52	Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xa3e82e…
04-23 03:57:58	ethereum above 2000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x1e9c5f…
04-23 03:48:42	Madrid Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Jaqueline Cristian	Yulia Starodubtseva	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x510f86…
04-22 06:56:12	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 22	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x1df3e3…
04-21 11:54:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 21	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc94279…
04-20 04:59:24	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xaaef74…
04-20 03:58:52	Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancaccio	Nuria Brancaccio	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x6174d6…
04-19 10:16:42	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xdf8314…
04-19 10:07:46	Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xb6f38b…
04-19 08:55:04	Will Poland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x7eb987…
04-19 08:54:02	Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x7cbf72…
04-19 08:38:08	Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xd8afdc…
04-17 02:06:10	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x3b5a05…
04-16 10:01:58	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xaec222…