Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$93

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$8.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-22

last 11-09 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

98% 69% +$79

Politics

2% 67% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes		+103	$6	2¢	$2	-$4	10-16 03:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$805	412	412	+0	No	+$10	09-21 02:04
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	8	$803	412	412	+0	No	+$13	09-18 14:12
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$793	412	412	+0	No	+$22	10-24 02:40
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$698	412	303	+109	Yes	-$98	10-04 12:03
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$498	265	249	+16	No	-$1	09-11 22:00
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$424	216	216	+0	No	+$4	10-09 18:37
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$404	206	206	+0	No	+$4	10-09 18:48
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$403	206	205	+1	No	+$4	10-13 06:11
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	9	$403	206	206	+0	No	+$5	09-26 00:27
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$402	206	206	+0	No	+$6	10-09 21:03
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$393	210	210	+0	No	+$27	11-04 08:27
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$385	206	206	+0	No	+$23	10-11 14:25
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$383	206	206	+0	No	+$25	10-13 12:52
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$202	103	103	+0	No	+$2	10-10 04:30
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$185	103	103	+0	No	+$19	10-16 03:42
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	3	$173	103	103	+0	open	—	10-19 06:43
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$162	83	83	+0	No	+$2	10-09 21:02
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$156	105	105	+0	No	+$52	10-25 07:05
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$88	45	45	+0	No	+$1	10-09 20:33
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$59	54	54	+0	No	+$16	07-01 07:18
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	7	$52	62	62	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 12:07
Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	+$1	10-29 08:08
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	2	$28	89	89	+0	No	+$7	07-01 10:15
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	5	$27	54	54	+0	No	-$3	06-28 00:10
Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-29 08:07
Will the biggest earthquake on November 3, 2026 be under 5.3?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	11-03 09:20
Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-31 22:30
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	2	$19	13	13	+0	No	+$4	07-05 11:06
Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-25 02:17
Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-25 02:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 09:06:21	Will the biggest earthquake on November 9, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf21f48…
11-04 08:27:52	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xc8cfbd…
11-04 08:27:52	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x998189…
11-03 09:32:37	Will the biggest earthquake on November 3, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x188ec9…
11-03 09:20:24	Will the biggest earthquake on November 3, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf034a7…
11-03 09:17:12	Will the biggest earthquake on November 3, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x15e477…
11-01 11:52:54	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	210	87¢	$183	0x103693…
10-31 22:30:30	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa86092…
10-31 22:16:31	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xfc4414…
10-31 18:36:52	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xb1063c…
10-31 15:57:51	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9a2502…
10-30 19:36:49	Will the biggest earthquake on October 30, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x11e83f…
10-29 08:08:07	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xdf83a1…
10-29 08:07:14	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf14b04…
10-29 08:03:08	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe2a5b8…
10-29 08:00:47	Will the biggest earthquake on October 29, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x9862ae…
10-28 22:10:46	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	71	15¢	$11	0xd01b17…
10-28 22:10:46	Will the biggest earthquake on October 28, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x9d869b…
10-27 18:46:20	Will the biggest earthquake on October 27, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x369661…
10-25 07:05:41	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x1369c9…
10-25 06:14:02	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x34fccc…
10-25 02:24:53	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbbc7d3…
10-25 02:24:53	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb8b860…
10-25 02:17:20	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xae39be…
10-25 02:17:20	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x83a7b2…
10-25 02:17:18	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x76a653…
10-25 02:11:32	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	105	50¢	$52	0x69a96a…
10-25 02:11:29	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xcb625c…
10-25 02:11:29	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x5778df…
10-25 02:11:08	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xc97d9f…
10-25 02:11:06	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xd82b85…
10-25 02:11:06	Will the biggest earthquake on October 25, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x6885cb…
10-24 19:02:57	Will the biggest earthquake on October 24, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7dd26f…
10-24 02:40:23	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$199	0xcb6f83…
10-24 02:40:23	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x94976c…
10-24 02:38:36	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x87b21d…
10-22 14:53:03	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	69	76¢	$53	0xf0437a…
10-22 14:53:03	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	243	97¢	$236	0xc44997…
10-22 14:53:03	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x8f25b3…
10-20 06:42:20	Will the biggest earthquake on October 20, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa9cfa6…
10-20 04:29:41	Will the biggest earthquake on October 20, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc0b96e…
10-19 06:43:21	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xa4b2ff…
10-16 12:08:07	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	63	78¢	$49	0x61afbd…
10-16 04:38:28	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	8¢	$4	0xe5c52d…
10-16 04:38:18	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x33ece8…
10-16 03:42:04	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x4a8883…
10-16 03:39:27	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	103	6¢	$6	0xf8eb44…
10-16 03:39:27	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x366d60…
10-16 03:38:39	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	103	89¢	$91	0xe12f1c…
10-16 03:38:36	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	103	80¢	$83	0x02101b…
10-13 12:52:58	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0x0b9592…
10-13 12:34:10	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	206	87¢	$179	0x52f4ff…
10-13 06:11:15	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x018da6…
10-13 06:09:13	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x12973f…
10-13 06:06:31	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0x5bb81d…
10-13 06:06:07	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf2d405…
10-13 06:05:54	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	73	97¢	$71	0x3c4d6d…
10-11 14:25:22	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0xda9f3d…
10-11 14:25:16	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x5f6282…
10-11 14:13:46	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	206	88¢	$181	0x04faf5…
10-10 04:30:00	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x044bd8…
10-10 04:21:36	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0x0af2b5…
10-10 04:21:21	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x393657…
10-09 21:03:55	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	196	99¢	$194	0x9c6280…
10-09 21:02:34	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x222150…
10-09 20:59:11	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x214624…
10-09 20:33:02	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xdc1735…
10-09 20:32:46	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xab79b0…
10-09 20:32:46	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x506774…
10-09 20:32:34	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x3c79f2…
10-09 20:32:34	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3897a2…
10-09 20:32:16	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x6954a4…
10-09 20:32:14	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	167	96¢	$160	0xd72902…
10-09 20:32:14	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x84e194…
10-09 18:48:38	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0x272379…
10-09 18:44:55	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0x3ff8bd…
10-09 18:37:46	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	216	99¢	$214	0x5f31a0…
10-09 18:34:16	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x469ff4…
10-09 18:26:53	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8054c9…
10-09 18:02:47	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xa9969b…
10-04 12:03:14	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x81dac3…
10-04 11:35:43	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x434f7f…
10-04 11:33:56	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	236	97¢	$229	0xff3918…
10-04 11:32:53	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	176	96¢	$170	0x6ed58c…
09-26 00:27:53	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x55e313…
09-26 00:20:56	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xecaeb4…
09-25 21:31:29	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb58e1c…
09-25 21:31:20	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x7a07c7…
09-25 21:31:14	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0xc86d9e…
09-25 21:31:12	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x2c402b…
09-25 21:31:11	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x8da442…
09-25 21:31:11	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x787b73…
09-25 21:31:11	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$42	0x24a1d1…
09-21 02:04:53	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	412	99¢	$408	0x6963a6…
09-21 01:58:29	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	194	97¢	$188	0x45528c…
09-21 01:58:01	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x632431…
09-21 01:57:46	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	175	96¢	$167	0x643e3e…
09-21 01:57:44	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x66fc0c…
09-18 14:12:08	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x6a5d24…
09-18 09:33:54	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9cc4c1…