Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.62K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-21 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

100% 7% -$4,621

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$1.3K	16,760	6,525	+10,235	No	-$452	02-27 20:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$931	5,883	2,059	+3,824	Yes	-$722	02-28 20:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$802	3,409	2,076	+1,333	Yes	+$1,237	02-27 19:34
will khamenei leave iran by friday	6	$800	29,663	0	+29,663	No	-$800	01-09 01:48
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$500	19,058	0	+19,058	No	-$500	02-25 20:35
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$400	10,435	0	+10,435	No	-$400	02-09 15:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	2	$379	7,580	0	+7,580	Yes	-$379	08-21 13:17
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$371	7,522	7,522	+0	No	-$296	02-14 00:30
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$300	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$300	01-23 23:25
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$300	4,309	0	+4,309	No	-$300	02-28 16:52
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$240	1,846	0	+1,846	No	-$240	01-22 19:38
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	7	$225	8,407	0	+8,407	No	-$225	02-19 14:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$212	2,782	0	+2,782	Yes	-$212	02-28 20:47
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	6	$200	4,818	4,818	+0	No	+$48	02-18 18:38
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$180	7,394	0	+7,394	No	-$180	02-20 21:59
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$140	921	0	+921	No	-$140	01-29 16:15
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$130	1,496	0	+1,496	No	-$130	01-29 16:15
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$113	5,126	0	+5,126	No	-$113	02-24 07:24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1	$100	625	0	+625	No	-$100	01-29 16:14
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	1	$100	2,174	0	+2,174	No	-$100	02-28 15:30
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$80	2,501	0	+2,501	No	-$80	01-23 23:26
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$57	211	211	+0	Yes	-$23	02-14 00:28
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	2	$50	3,590	0	+3,590	No	-$50	02-14 00:30
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	2	$40	2,222	0	+2,222	No	-$40	02-11 00:18
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	2	$40	2,840	0	+2,840	No	-$40	02-11 00:19
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	2	$30	754	0	+754	No	-$30	01-29 16:15
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$25	3,571	0	+3,571	No	-$25	02-17 10:12
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$17	316	0	+316	No	-$17	02-20 21:59
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	1	$13	162	0	+162	No	-$13	01-24 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 13:17:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	180	5¢	$9	0x350bce…
08-21 13:14:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	7,400	5¢	$370	0x096d99…
02-28 20:47:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,430	7¢	$105	0xd9ae38…
02-28 20:47:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	2,059	5¢	$105	0x21582a…
02-28 20:46:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,352	8¢	$107	0x8b169e…
02-28 20:45:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	3,527	6¢	$200	0x362012…
02-28 16:52:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,096	9¢	$100	0xba28b2…
02-28 15:30:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3,213	6¢	$200	0xea93d7…
02-28 15:30:09	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2,174	5¢	$100	0x4a455f…
02-28 14:52:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0x7368cb…
02-28 13:58:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,200	25¢	$300	0x8e1fb9…
02-28 13:58:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	550	23¢	$126	0x6142ff…
02-27 20:49:23	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5,339	5¢	$293	0xac88cf…
02-27 19:34:47	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,333	15¢	$200	0x236acf…
02-27 19:34:37	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4,896	6¢	$300	0xcc1dd1…
02-27 12:28:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	2,076	17¢	$353	0xd874dd…
02-27 12:28:15	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	6,525	7¢	$440	0xdf7244…
02-27 10:32:03	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	2,076	12¢	$249	0xccccfa…
02-27 10:31:33	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4,878	4¢	$200	0x77bdfc…
02-25 20:35:40	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1,647	6¢	$99	0x3bb052…
02-25 20:35:16	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	19,058	3¢	$500	0x0bb1e7…
02-24 07:24:52	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5,126	2¢	$113	0x636712…
02-20 21:59:54	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	316	5¢	$17	0x8e3fae…
02-20 21:59:44	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	5,069	2¢	$80	0x13f0c8…
02-19 14:06:58	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0x6daa36…
02-19 14:06:48	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	2,280	2¢	$50	0xca50ab…
02-19 09:48:12	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xda67ee…
02-19 09:48:12	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xa37049…
02-18 18:38:36	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	SELL	4,818	3¢	$124	0x423fe5…
02-18 17:23:30	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	741	5¢	$40	0x35459b…
02-18 17:23:20	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,250	2¢	$20	0x56b744…
02-18 13:49:22	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x413f2b…
02-18 13:41:58	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$5	0xeb4724…
02-17 10:12:37	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	517	3¢	$15	0xafb042…
02-17 10:12:29	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x7bc73b…
02-17 10:12:21	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0xd06c66…
02-17 10:02:29	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	2,326	4¢	$100	0x3a5e9c…
02-17 10:02:21	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	2,414	3¢	$70	0xbe7a91…
02-17 10:02:09	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	2,667	1¢	$40	0x61193f…
02-17 10:02:01	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	2,857	1¢	$20	0x2f054e…
02-14 00:30:57	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,496	1¢	$21	0xc0e939…
02-14 00:30:41	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	4,189	0¢	$21	0x1d3584…
02-14 00:29:07	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	4,189	1¢	$34	0xaecbed…
02-14 00:28:51	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	3,333	0¢	$17	0x474b9e…
02-14 00:28:45	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	211	8¢	$17	0x80c287…
02-14 00:28:33	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2,095	1¢	$29	0xe283e8…
02-11 00:21:33	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	211	19¢	$40	0x12b8af…
02-11 00:19:15	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	Yes	BUY	1,411	1¢	$20	0x5646bd…
02-11 00:18:55	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	1,111	2¢	$20	0x3c5f6b…
02-11 00:18:35	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	1,111	2¢	$20	0x6c8a9a…
02-11 00:18:13	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$20	0xe0a6f1…
02-09 15:25:13	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	3,333	9¢	$300	0x048f3c…
02-09 15:25:01	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	Yes	BUY	10,435	4¢	$400	0xcd1d2d…
01-29 16:15:42	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	246	16¢	$39	0xc58d32…
01-29 16:15:32	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	Yes	BUY	342	9¢	$30	0x2fed8a…
01-29 16:15:10	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x808fe4…
01-29 16:14:22	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xe95447…
01-29 16:13:48	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	Yes	BUY	447	9¢	$40	0xc81e1e…
01-29 16:13:18	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	Yes	BUY	541	4¢	$20	0x0eef8f…
01-29 16:13:08	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	Yes	BUY	708	8¢	$60	0x25f144…
01-29 16:12:04	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x7aff0c…
01-26 22:46:13	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xac9ae0…
01-24 09:52:52	us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	Yes	BUY	162	8¢	$13	0xf4319e…
01-23 23:26:28	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	695	3¢	$20	0xd8ec0e…
01-23 23:25:52	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	Yes	BUY	2,500	12¢	$300	0xe5f5be…
01-23 23:08:48	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	695	3¢	$20	0x805bbc…
01-22 19:39:46	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	1,111	4¢	$40	0x60b5ef…
01-22 19:38:38	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	1,846	13¢	$240	0x7aff69…
01-09 01:48:00	will khamenei leave iran by friday	Yes	BUY	714	3¢	$20	0xa9cf1f…
01-09 01:45:12	will khamenei leave iran by friday	Yes	BUY	14,286	3¢	$400	0x6f6e91…
01-09 01:32:22	will khamenei leave iran by friday	Yes	BUY	11,421	3¢	$300	0x7ee925…
01-09 01:31:08	will khamenei leave iran by friday	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x12ec21…
01-09 01:24:36	will khamenei leave iran by friday	Yes	BUY	2,600	2¢	$65	0xbf95ca…
01-09 01:24:18	will khamenei leave iran by friday	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0xa8614b…