Wicked-Widow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$592

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

$726

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-15 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

76% 33% -$207

Other

23% 43% -$409

Sports

1% 50% +$24

Crypto

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	+360	$346	99¢	$355	+$9	10-05 07:59
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	+334	$318	94¢	$315	-$3	10-08 08:38
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	+50	$48	97¢	$48	$0	10-05 07:59
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+1,000	$18	1¢	$8	-$10	10-05 07:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$900	917	0	+917	open	—	10-15 15:40
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$900	923	0	+923	open	—	10-15 15:40
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$800	825	0	+825	open	—	10-15 15:39
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$800	817	0	+817	open	—	10-15 15:41
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$800	827	0	+827	open	—	10-15 15:39
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	15	$697	478	478	+0	Yes	+$14	06-14 12:31
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$620	644	0	+644	open	—	10-15 15:38
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	18	$615	1,846	1,846	+0	No	-$610	06-14 12:30
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	1	$586	591	0	+591	No	+$5	09-27 09:59
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$510	532	0	+532	open	—	10-15 15:38
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$346	360	0	+360	open	—	10-05 07:59
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	3	$318	334	0	+334	open	—	10-08 08:38
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$282	300	0	+300	open	—	10-05 07:10
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$216	220	0	+220	open	—	10-05 08:00
will trump meet with reza pahlavi by january 31	2	$188	250	0	+250	No	+$62	01-11 09:29
susie wiles out as white house chief of staff by march 31	1	$129	143	0	+143	No	+$14	01-06 15:48
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	3	$114	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$114	01-17 09:58
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	1	$105	300	0	+300	No	-$105	01-22 16:16
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$80	65	65	+0	Yes	+$50	07-08 09:30
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	10-05 07:59
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	10-05 07:59
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	2	$48	100	100	+0	No	+$40	01-12 19:52
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	10-05 07:12
will trump say hell 5 times during wef address on january 21	1	$28	50	0	+50	Yes	-$28	01-21 14:21
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$26	100	0	+100	Yes	-$26	01-30 12:23
odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 30 on sunday	2	$19	138	0	+138	No	-$19	01-11 08:23
will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	3	$19	230	230	+0	No	-$15	03-08 11:05
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$18	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-05 07:08
tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	5	$12	200	0	+200	Yes	-$12	01-11 09:29
will trump say friend of mine during wef address on january 21	2	$11	100	100	+0	Yes	-$11	01-21 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 15:41:13	Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	817	98¢	$800	0x8b8abb…
10-15 15:40:56	Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	917	98¢	$900	0xa6bd5f…
10-15 15:40:47	Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	923	97¢	$900	0xaafc7a…
10-15 15:39:38	Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	827	97¢	$800	0x4478eb…
10-15 15:39:23	Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	825	97¢	$800	0x779adf…
10-15 15:38:28	Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	644	96¢	$620	0x0b3bf6…
10-15 15:38:02	Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	532	96¢	$510	0x80aa66…
10-08 08:38:34	Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x5862d9…
10-05 08:00:35	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	220	98¢	$216	0x2c9749…
10-05 07:59:56	Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xf3d17e…
10-05 07:59:41	Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd10c8d…
10-05 07:59:26	Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	360	96¢	$346	0xa4724f…
10-05 07:12:26	Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x6a6798…
10-05 07:11:16	Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x8a9e18…
10-05 07:11:10	Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	284	95¢	$271	0x528521…
10-05 07:10:37	Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x90627f…
10-05 07:08:38	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$18	0xdf2cf7…
09-27 09:59:05	Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	591	99¢	$586	0x0878ee…
07-08 09:30:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x8f9363…
07-06 21:03:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xb6b9e5…
06-14 12:31:12	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x308c06…
06-14 12:30:51	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	1,846	0¢	$2	0xcd133d…
06-14 10:02:07	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	89	24¢	$21	0x3575f0…
06-14 10:01:46	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xe0b3ae…
06-14 10:00:55	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	400	23¢	$90	0x89ab0d…
06-05 06:41:49	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x1adb13…
06-05 06:39:39	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0x94d7db…
05-31 15:02:25	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$0	0x165a28…
05-31 09:39:15	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	69	71¢	$49	0x5bf546…
05-29 15:34:28	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	141	71¢	$100	0xb5cd1d…
05-29 15:33:39	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	141	71¢	$100	0xd3a19b…
05-29 11:14:04	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0xe50c48…
05-29 09:45:25	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	58	67¢	$39	0xecba1e…
05-29 09:45:06	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	59	71¢	$42	0xbca0ea…
05-29 07:17:07	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x20e2eb…
05-28 21:41:23	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0xbaf41d…
05-28 20:18:40	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x6c65c3…
05-28 20:16:50	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x885f44…
05-28 19:20:24	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf2b3fc…
05-28 08:28:49	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc441eb…
05-26 16:17:23	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	141	70¢	$98	0xfa15af…
05-25 00:25:05	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$7	0x6e44d1…
05-24 15:32:33	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0xc2bc80…
05-23 22:54:34	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x93ea41…
05-19 19:43:20	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	208	75¢	$156	0x77a524…
05-17 07:09:29	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0xca4015…
05-12 20:39:41	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x122f30…
05-12 18:07:28	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0x31ad7f…
05-10 05:17:10	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	113	36¢	$41	0xc0fe24…
05-07 12:52:17	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x6bd5a5…
05-03 15:48:56	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	156	42¢	$66	0xba5980…
05-03 15:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x58a5c3…
04-30 23:09:16	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	162	39¢	$63	0xc7c275…
03-08 11:05:21	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	SELL	230	1¢	$2	0xc982db…
02-28 16:05:03	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$15	0x7b3b88…
02-28 16:03:43	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xf69997…
01-31 18:52:16	nyt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 04 2026 0pt88	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x37f1a8…
01-30 12:23:04	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0xb9831a…
01-30 01:22:18	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x854b24…
01-29 21:27:10	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0x0326b0…
01-29 17:24:18	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x85b1a0…
01-28 14:29:23	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x152565…
01-28 14:28:49	aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 2pt67	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xe3c809…
01-22 16:16:56	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x353500…
01-21 15:57:30	will trump say friend of mine during wef address on january 21	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xcbb7a7…
01-21 14:22:58	will trump say friend of mine during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x7c7151…
01-21 14:21:54	will trump say hell 5 times during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x1b4a11…
01-21 13:48:32	will trump say boeing during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x7ee6b8…
01-21 13:47:02	will trump say depreciation during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x873e65…
01-21 12:53:42	will trump say depreciation during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xc55944…
01-21 12:48:58	will trump say depreciation during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe13471…
01-21 11:56:40	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf931b9…
01-21 10:56:16	will trump say boeing during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa2be0d…
01-21 10:29:48	will trump say woke or dei during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x8a758f…
01-17 09:58:22	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	449	4¢	$17	0x6700be…
01-16 07:06:34	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	673	4¢	$26	0xa86703…
01-12 19:52:17	jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x21b2d9…
01-11 17:54:54	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	1,878	4¢	$71	0x44a587…
01-11 09:29:28	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	No	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xa85d19…
01-11 09:29:16	will trump meet with reza pahlavi by january 31	No	BUY	210	75¢	$158	0xd23739…
01-11 09:22:52	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x71cacc…
01-11 09:04:18	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3488e2…
01-11 08:36:36	will trump meet with reza pahlavi by january 31	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x885b23…
01-11 08:29:02	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	No	BUY	108	6¢	$6	0x3e9568…
01-11 08:26:22	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	No	BUY	59	6¢	$4	0xed03ed…
01-11 08:23:56	odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 30 on sunday	Yes	BUY	119	14¢	$17	0xe85ded…
01-11 08:23:56	odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 30 on sunday	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x55d46b…
01-08 14:10:14	gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 11pt49	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xaa60c2…
01-06 15:48:43	susie wiles out as white house chief of staff by march 31	No	BUY	143	90¢	$129	0x9adb7a…
01-06 15:20:23	jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x844238…
01-06 15:19:45	wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 08 2026 1pt45	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x161758…
01-06 15:19:33	bk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 13 2026 1pt99	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x1b2288…