Spectacular-Frost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

-$46

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$19

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-07 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

73% 71% +$121

Sports

15% 0% -$240

Other

12% 50% -$25

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,136	$25	1¢	$9	-$16	06-10 16:35
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,143	$15	0¢	$5	-$10	06-04 17:37
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+3,125	$25	0¢	$5	-$20	06-03 14:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$250	284	0	+284	No	+$34	06-10 16:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$250	446	0	+446	Yes	-$250	06-12 23:19
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$232	476	476	+0	No	+$32	05-11 13:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$200	270	0	+270	No	+$70	05-06 18:27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$100	167	0	+167	Yes	+$67	02-27 14:42
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$100	270	0	+270	Yes	+$170	02-27 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$100	115	0	+115	No	+$15	05-11 13:56
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$59	78	78	+0	open	—	05-21 18:10
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	3,125	0	+3,125	No	-$50	06-11 12:45
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	357	0	+357	No	-$50	07-07 17:50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	472	0	+472	No	-$50	06-10 16:30
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	1,220	0	+1,220	No	-$50	06-10 16:28
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$40	100	0	+100	No	-$40	05-19 20:11
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$25	1,136	0	+1,136	open	—	06-10 16:35
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$25	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$25	06-10 16:29
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$25	3,125	0	+3,125	open	—	06-03 14:33
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$15	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$15	06-11 12:46
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$15	2,143	0	+2,143	open	—	06-04 17:37
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$2	91	0	+91	No	-$2	05-07 23:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 17:50:50	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xf6b136…
06-12 23:19:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x1953f3…
06-12 23:18:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x6d5510…
06-12 23:18:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xb20d1c…
06-12 23:18:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x186f86…
06-12 23:18:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x277a2e…
06-11 12:46:01	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$15	0xf18b25…
06-11 12:45:49	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,125	2¢	$50	0xd745ae…
06-10 16:35:16	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,136	2¢	$25	0xc4b3b7…
06-10 16:33:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	284	88¢	$250	0x4ed297…
06-10 16:30:01	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	472	11¢	$50	0xde0495…
06-10 16:29:10	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$25	0x49e325…
06-10 16:28:55	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,220	4¢	$50	0x311074…
06-04 17:37:51	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,143	1¢	$15	0x008a7e…
06-03 14:33:19	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,125	1¢	$25	0x4ef0e5…
05-21 18:10:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	78	43¢	$34	0x32988d…
05-19 20:11:52	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x36e507…
05-14 18:53:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x967bc7…
05-11 13:56:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x3e0bf5…
05-11 13:50:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	476	28¢	$132	0x2694d9…
05-07 23:52:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xab5ce3…
05-07 23:52:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x5361ff…
05-06 18:27:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0xbf0034…
02-27 14:42:43	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xfdd7ad…
02-27 14:42:31	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xe4fd5d…