Humble-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,457

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Tech

31% — —

Other

26% 100% +$1

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

15% 80% $-2

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	70	$1.3K	2,805	2,805	+0	open	—	06-26 18:41
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	33	$722	678	678	+0	open	—	06-30 18:21
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	19	$447	453	453	+0	open	—	06-29 15:01
untitled market 1 20260625224941800	33	$426	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-26 17:37
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	28	$421	620	620	+0	open	—	07-06 13:49
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	34	$350	285	285	+0	open	—	07-13 12:55
iran full airspace closure by july 24	36	$298	511	511	+0	open	—	07-24 13:34
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	15	$285	500	500	+0	open	—	07-24 13:39
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	58	$284	820	820	+0	open	—	06-30 18:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	6	$264	208	102	+106	open	—	06-14 12:57
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	7	$257	193	69	+123	open	—	08-12 07:24
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	4	$233	200	200	+0	open	—	07-05 10:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$186	200	200	+0	open	—	06-23 14:30
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	37	$169	580	580	+0	open	—	06-29 15:44
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	01-08 06:10
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	01-23 06:14
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	4	$151	110	60	+50	open	—	06-10 15:50
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	22	$136	775	775	+0	open	—	07-14 13:14
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	13	$135	735	735	+0	open	—	07-16 07:04
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	16	$135	170	170	+0	open	—	07-24 14:32
will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	4	$123	41	93	-52	open	—	06-15 11:43
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	11	$122	180	180	+0	open	—	06-27 09:19
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	3	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	01-17 12:45
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	11	$114	350	350	+0	open	—	06-26 10:34
will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	4	$104	93	55	+38	open	—	06-15 15:37
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	6	$102	170	170	+0	open	—	07-23 12:54
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	2	$100	200	200	+0	open	—	06-24 09:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	06-18 11:18
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	06-10 06:35
iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	10	$96	465	465	+0	open	—	06-27 09:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 07:24:03	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb17ebd…
08-11 11:59:57	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0xff9317…
08-11 11:59:37	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0xe3d6f8…
08-08 09:07:52	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x49dc06…
08-08 09:06:55	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x718e00…
08-07 20:36:36	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x80c9e4…
08-07 19:47:30	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x37300a…
08-07 19:43:21	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x5f8995…
08-05 07:09:33	Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x88380d…
08-03 06:34:39	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5c722c…
08-02 17:16:36	Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xff551d…
08-02 17:14:56	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xa0838f…
07-30 13:55:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xba0599…
07-30 07:20:14	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x8b8cfa…
07-30 07:13:53	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xe51f1e…
07-30 07:02:06	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xbff2da…
07-28 12:03:17	will trump say election during fox friends appearance 20260728022316504	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x94965a…
07-28 10:42:17	will trump say boeing during fox friends appearance 20260728022316505	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xc38146…
07-28 10:41:08	will trump say election during fox friends appearance 20260728022316504	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x07b5ea…
07-28 10:13:17	will trump say boeing during fox friends appearance 20260728022316505	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3e131b…
07-27 14:16:21	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xb3accf…
07-27 08:38:45	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x11d24e…
07-27 07:59:04	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	126	18¢	$23	0x4313de…
07-27 07:54:34	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	41	18¢	$7	0x2fbf67…
07-27 07:54:15	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0x2516b2…
07-27 07:20:33	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x70e7bc…
07-25 21:26:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	110	7¢	$8	0x73a99e…
07-25 21:26:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x3bd43a…
07-25 21:01:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x64b4aa…
07-25 20:38:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x4170f6…
07-25 20:34:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xee8c85…
07-25 20:17:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x2d9c3a…
07-25 19:58:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	148	4¢	$5	0x1bb985…
07-25 19:55:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x9ff8e8…
07-25 19:52:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x0199a1…
07-25 19:49:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xb11583…
07-25 19:46:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x2a1e77…
07-24 16:51:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6b6aa6…
07-24 16:51:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x2c9d6c…
07-24 16:48:30	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xb08c92…
07-24 16:45:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd4e2d6…
07-24 15:53:01	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	166	12¢	$20	0x98accc…
07-24 14:32:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x8443c9…
07-24 14:23:39	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0x173b5f…
07-24 14:12:45	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xa5ffef…
07-24 14:10:33	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	52	13¢	$7	0x1913ca…
07-24 14:04:43	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x62ba0e…
07-24 14:04:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x8023c8…
07-24 14:04:28	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	61	13¢	$8	0x9ee131…
07-24 14:04:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x6333df…
07-24 13:54:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x5dc36c…
07-24 13:53:49	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	58	15¢	$9	0x389744…
07-24 13:51:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x193f39…
07-24 13:48:03	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x2a12d8…
07-24 13:47:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	56	15¢	$9	0xfb49a5…
07-24 13:46:18	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x649a98…
07-24 13:46:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xfd6e05…
07-24 13:46:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc07525…
07-24 13:46:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x7087f0…
07-24 13:39:28	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	83	36¢	$30	0x006a03…
07-24 13:38:42	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	83	35¢	$29	0x44a6fb…
07-24 13:38:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xbca5b5…
07-24 13:37:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xd8a873…
07-24 13:34:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xbc54bb…
07-24 13:34:31	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0xd2faca…
07-24 13:34:01	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x55af1c…
07-24 13:32:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5ada5c…
07-24 13:24:16	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x087e41…
07-24 13:02:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x2f4c96…
07-24 13:00:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x80c27d…
07-24 13:00:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x6aadfe…
07-24 12:57:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	SELL	75	21¢	$16	0x9f5dba…
07-24 12:49:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	60	28¢	$17	0x5ac450…
07-24 12:29:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0x2644f9…
07-24 12:29:49	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xecc5ab…
07-24 12:23:54	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xab95ea…
07-24 12:22:27	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x9402ce…
07-24 12:21:40	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x5709de…
07-24 12:20:06	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xada317…
07-24 12:19:42	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xe4a081…
07-24 12:18:54	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xfa44ed…
07-24 12:18:46	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x6d8422…
07-24 12:15:36	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa217d5…
07-24 12:13:31	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf27b67…
07-24 12:12:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x632edf…
07-24 12:11:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x292526…
07-24 12:11:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x9dd3a2…
07-24 12:09:33	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x839987…
07-24 12:03:37	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x062b76…
07-24 11:46:54	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x7fa224…
07-24 11:46:06	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	95	24¢	$23	0x366500…
07-24 11:39:15	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x45f70c…
07-24 11:38:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x31251f…
07-24 11:22:31	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x682780…
07-24 11:15:45	will trumps remarks not air 20260715212255825	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xdbe314…
07-24 11:15:33	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	93	24¢	$22	0xf9e9fe…
07-24 11:15:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x326cf6…
07-24 11:15:06	will trumps remarks not air 20260715212255825	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xcc8f2e…
07-24 11:14:25	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	93	24¢	$22	0xe5a209…
07-24 11:14:25	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x3a4cb9…