Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.1%

Resolved

418

Trades

1,190

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-19

last 10-26 04:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

68% 40% -$168

Politics

24% 0% -$2

Tech

5% 0% -$2

Sports

2% 0% -$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	16	$686	373	373	+0	No	-$1	09-08 00:25
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	10	$485	250	250	+0	open	—	08-29 00:45
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	10	$456	250	250	+0	No	$0	09-17 18:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	16	$402	400	400	+0	open	—	09-13 12:42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	8	$365	200	200	+0	open	—	08-28 13:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$283	200	200	+0	open	—	09-14 10:27
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	8	$196	200	200	+0	open	—	09-16 18:02
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	4	$188	100	100	+0	open	—	09-12 19:34
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	4	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	09-19 00:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	4	$181	100	100	+0	open	—	08-29 21:52
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	6	$181	150	150	+0	open	—	09-19 02:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	4	$103	100	100	+0	open	—	10-18 17:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	09-01 06:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	8	$102	170	170	+0	Yes	-$1	09-17 15:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	09-16 01:36
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	$0	08-24 17:07
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 03:42
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	09-17 19:17
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	10-23 15:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$94	90	90	+0	Yes	-$1	09-01 09:33
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	2	$93	50	50	+0	No	$0	08-19 07:06
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?	2	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	09-29 15:08
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	09-12 07:03
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$92	50	50	+0	No	$0	10-05 12:31
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$92	50	50	+0	No	$0	08-20 12:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	8	$92	80	80	+0	open	—	09-05 08:47
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	2	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	08-31 22:58
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	2	$92	50	50	+0	No	$0	09-06 03:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	08-22 10:51
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	10-08 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 04:08:38	Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf92d58…
10-26 04:08:36	Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6f0186…
10-25 13:37:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc585f6…
10-25 12:37:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x8da2a2…
10-23 15:40:51	Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x13d511…
10-23 15:39:36	Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x02c37d…
10-23 14:54:30	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xb0bec6…
10-23 14:54:29	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe3a334…
10-23 00:16:05	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x80c635…
10-23 00:16:03	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x2f4f71…
10-22 18:42:36	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0x7d6478…
10-22 18:37:35	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x437175…
10-22 17:37:35	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa70b20…
10-21 13:57:14	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x720eb9…
10-21 13:57:12	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x3f2aa1…
10-19 23:04:12	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xe20068…
10-19 22:59:11	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xa8779f…
10-19 20:54:11	Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x47baf6…
10-19 15:31:03	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xea97a9…
10-19 15:31:02	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2fc8ff…
10-19 14:28:18	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x1e4080…
10-19 14:28:17	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x0b1caa…
10-19 12:59:12	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xa6f558…
10-19 12:49:59	Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x582f26…
10-19 07:30:12	Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x8a7874…
10-19 07:30:11	Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x9200ab…
10-18 17:09:30	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xadf09c…
10-18 17:09:21	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x47edf1…
10-16 02:14:51	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x35dd0c…
10-16 02:14:49	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x6a1992…
10-15 14:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x03fc25…
10-15 14:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0xe22f30…
10-15 14:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xc7e556…
10-15 05:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 16?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xefaa2a…
10-15 05:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xabac87…
10-14 20:34:10	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xc85f1e…
10-14 20:30:15	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x011e04…
10-14 03:17:01	Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x2b82cb…
10-14 03:16:56	Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1ac8d5…
10-13 15:05:02	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x641fc9…
10-13 15:05:01	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd14fec…
10-13 14:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x207fda…
10-13 13:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf8603e…
10-13 12:56:16	Will Jayden Maiava be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xd0231a…
10-13 12:51:31	Will Jayden Maiava be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x5cb9fb…
10-13 06:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 14?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xf9e16a…
10-13 06:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 14?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xe53b47…
10-13 05:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x3fd334…
10-13 05:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x60a6bd…
10-12 17:23:44	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa2ba3e…
10-12 17:23:42	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x197c85…
10-12 16:15:08	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x9e9dc2…
10-12 16:15:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x75136f…
10-12 13:12:17	Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x5800c1…
10-12 13:11:30	Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x7750b9…
10-12 04:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xbd42db…
10-12 04:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb720d6…
10-12 02:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xfe61a7…
10-12 02:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x443960…
10-11 19:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x6d9304…
10-11 19:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x97deeb…
10-11 15:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xf196e4…
10-11 14:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x65114a…
10-10 23:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xa7cbb0…
10-10 23:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x21da4b…
10-10 17:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 11?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x2633f3…
10-10 17:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x3caba7…
10-09 17:33:10	Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x37bef1…
10-09 17:33:07	Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x257d69…
10-08 23:01:03	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xf3ff16…
10-08 23:00:53	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xd3433c…
10-08 21:48:20	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xcd08b5…
10-08 21:18:20	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xcc2092…
10-08 21:18:18	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x91db08…
10-08 17:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x4ccf96…
10-08 17:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x34898e…
10-08 15:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$3	0x210492…
10-08 15:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?	No	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x8ba2a6…
10-08 15:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x84fcb3…
10-08 15:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x7f6473…
10-08 15:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x6e4a1e…
10-08 15:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd0d1fa…
10-08 15:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x367810…
10-08 14:58:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x0be928…
10-08 14:58:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xb0bf8d…
10-08 14:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x67c79b…
10-08 13:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x2820b8…
10-08 13:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x259c93…
10-07 23:18:47	Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x100ca4…
10-07 23:17:31	Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xfe4022…
10-07 09:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xb7c5e8…
10-07 09:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x33492f…
10-06 21:26:24	FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x82b5dc…
10-06 21:26:23	FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4e0d77…
10-06 11:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x95677d…
10-06 11:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc8be1c…
10-06 09:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 7?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x98806f…
10-06 09:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x04d611…
10-06 07:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x2444e0…
10-06 07:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x6372f6…