Nimble-Digging — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$456

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$46.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$319

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-14 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Politics

35% 83% +$3

Crypto

33% 93% +$17

Other

30% 77% -$248

Sports

1% 50% -$229

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+0	-$1	100¢	$0	+$1	06-08 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	2	$4.3K	2,166	2,166	+0	No	+$4	02-18 07:00
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	5	$4.3K	2,152	2,152	+0	open	—	05-09 02:37
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-27 02:07
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	8	$3.4K	1,710	1,710	+0	No	+$2	02-03 07:50
will solana reach 200 in january 2026	1	$2.8K	2,785	0	+2,785	No	+$5	01-25 13:32
atp shapova marozsa 2026 04 16	2	$2.7K	2,455	2,455	+0	Denis Shapovalov	-$25	04-16 03:31
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2.6K	1,309	1,309	+0	open	—	07-08 21:13
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	8	$2.5K	1,276	1,276	+0	open	—	06-07 23:27
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	9	$2.5K	2,470	0	+2,470	No	+$6	06-13 14:33
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$2.4K	2,412	0	+2,412	No	+$2	03-25 07:25
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	8	$2.3K	1,162	1,162	+0	open	—	06-08 06:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$2.2K	2,179	0	+2,179	No	+$3	05-27 02:08
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	2	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	No	-$4	07-17 03:46
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	2	$1.8K	902	902	+0	No	+$4	02-06 01:03
Will Solana reach $150 in April?	1	$1.4K	1,415	0	+1,415	No	+$1	04-26 02:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$512	513	0	+513	No	+$1	04-26 02:07
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$403	404	0	+404	No	+$1	04-26 02:07
atp ellis kukushk 2026 04 15	3	$316	659	659	+0	Blake Ellis	+$0	04-16 02:31
cbb gmsn geows 2026 02 13	2	$242	528	0	+528	George Washington Revolutionaries	-$242	02-13 09:50
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$238	120	120	+0	open	—	05-11 20:06
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$228	118	118	+0	open	—	06-04 08:34
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$225	113	113	+0	No	+$0	03-14 12:56
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$205	103	103	+0	Yes	+$0	02-14 11:52
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	2	$200	101	101	+0	Yes	+$0	02-13 11:24
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$192	119	119	+0	Yes	-$12	03-13 13:40
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$141	142	0	+142	No	+$1	05-06 13:11
nhl nyi wsh 2026 02 02	1	$141	300	0	+300	Capitals	-$141	02-02 13:44
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$137	139	0	+139	No	+$1	02-02 13:49
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	2	$133	68	68	+0	No	+$0	02-13 09:47
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$123	123	0	+123	No	+$0	07-04 06:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 03:32:14	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1ee4cd…
09-30 01:49:33	Will XRP reach $2.40 in September?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xf991eb…
09-30 01:49:17	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa46737…
08-26 03:46:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x961391…
07-23 02:50:54	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x02369f…
07-17 03:46:39	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,009	99¢	$1,001	0xa5fd8f…
07-08 21:13:19	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,309	99¢	$1,295	0xd01f03…
07-07 17:33:41	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,009	100¢	$1,005	0x63ac67…
07-04 06:09:37	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,309	99¢	$1,293	0x6a0fd7…
07-04 06:08:49	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x1acf0f…
06-16 17:26:04	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x1e32c3…
06-16 17:13:34	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$46	0x18d43f…
06-16 01:55:00	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x9a28de…
06-13 14:33:45	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x58e89e…
06-13 12:54:46	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x114bcd…
06-13 12:18:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x0795d0…
06-13 09:04:51	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	724	100¢	$722	0x4b7d67…
06-13 08:41:48	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$246	0x6116d8…
06-12 06:50:36	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x166555…
06-12 06:17:57	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x7924ca…
06-12 05:07:03	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4a9308…
06-12 04:16:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd6df6c…
06-12 02:24:04	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x42f3d1…
06-12 02:22:24	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x64dbb1…
06-08 06:36:31	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	177	99¢	$176	0x95f1ac…
06-08 05:48:09	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x80a16d…
06-08 05:44:49	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd20bbf…
06-08 05:40:43	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x416eae…
06-08 05:20:42	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xf12c2d…
06-08 05:11:58	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	548	99¢	$544	0xe5d7cb…
06-08 04:53:43	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	320	99¢	$318	0xa4d7ec…
06-07 23:27:49	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x427871…
06-07 23:18:28	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	494	99¢	$490	0x34790a…
06-07 23:13:49	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9369dd…
06-07 23:08:28	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x85c733…
06-07 22:49:19	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x27f0d2…
06-07 22:21:34	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	505	99¢	$501	0x7f2b38…
06-07 22:05:24	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$209	0xaf738c…
06-04 08:38:07	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,276	99¢	$1,265	0x4c86c1…
06-04 08:37:55	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,162	99¢	$1,153	0x0088c7…
06-04 08:37:00	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc26f77…
06-04 08:35:52	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x88ec57…
06-04 08:34:52	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	118	96¢	$114	0x66c008…
05-27 02:09:41	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x22a731…
05-27 02:09:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8c01da…
05-27 02:08:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1,924	100¢	$1,922	0x85b587…
05-27 02:08:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc20f07…
05-27 02:07:44	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,972	0xc1fb9f…
05-22 00:41:22	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x54803a…
05-21 23:38:22	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x6601c0…
05-20 08:39:22	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x2a60c4…
05-20 08:38:49	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,972	0x24eb67…
05-20 08:37:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0xe4db78…
05-11 20:06:15	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xccd677…
05-11 17:28:31	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x73ffe4…
05-11 17:03:29	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x52ddd0…
05-09 02:37:38	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x10aaad…
05-08 13:29:04	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xe3c470…
05-08 10:44:03	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,010	99¢	$998	0xafb7d2…
05-08 10:19:42	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	938	99¢	$926	0xd0df06…
05-06 17:42:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x7342b3…
05-06 16:26:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x629937…
05-06 13:18:52	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xab2b36…
05-06 13:17:46	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	118	96¢	$114	0x9a3b32…
05-06 13:15:14	Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xae4b36…
05-06 13:13:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x56213b…
05-06 13:11:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x4fcbf5…
05-06 13:09:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x332d8a…
05-06 13:08:02	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2,152	99¢	$2,124	0x53f744…
04-26 02:09:34	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xca1215…
04-26 02:08:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xd8ec27…
04-26 02:07:34	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	1,415	100¢	$1,414	0x1d4e58…
04-26 02:07:14	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	404	100¢	$403	0xaa5290…
04-26 02:07:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	513	100¢	$512	0x417f32…
04-16 11:06:26	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xc4b4c3…
04-16 03:31:14	atp shapova marozsa 2026 04 16	Fabian Marozsan	SELL	2,455	54¢	$1,326	0xa6f691…
04-16 03:24:26	atp shapova marozsa 2026 04 16	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	2,455	55¢	$1,350	0x8bdfd9…
04-16 02:31:54	atp ellis kukushk 2026 04 15	Blake Ellis	SELL	659	24¢	$158	0x079997…
04-16 02:26:10	atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	Joao Fonseca	SELL	52	61¢	$32	0x0d0dd8…
04-16 02:23:30	atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	Joao Fonseca	BUY	52	61¢	$32	0x9554e1…
04-16 02:21:36	atp ellis kukushk 2026 04 15	Blake Ellis	BUY	658	24¢	$158	0xfa64ea…
04-16 02:10:04	atp ellis kukushk 2026 04 15	Blake Ellis	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xbe8336…
04-16 02:06:24	atp rocha sakamot 2026 04 16	Henrique Rocha	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xdaf557…
04-16 02:04:34	atp rocha sakamot 2026 04 16	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x84a1c7…
04-11 05:04:17	Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x63ea86…
04-11 05:03:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0fb13b…
04-11 05:03:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x9a0215…
03-25 07:27:29	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x763634…
03-25 07:26:55	will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x334b3f…
03-25 07:26:17	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x33d0e4…
03-25 07:25:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	2,412	100¢	$2,410	0xe30f12…
03-25 07:24:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb906bb…
03-18 11:35:11	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x91bac1…
03-14 12:56:05	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	113	100¢	$112	0x6ae862…
03-13 13:40:13	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	119	76¢	$90	0x11ccf6…
03-13 11:54:09	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0x1d25a4…
03-01 09:47:47	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	119	86¢	$102	0x552e26…
03-01 09:47:19	Will the US strike Cuba next?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xecf279…
03-01 09:46:39	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	10,008	0¢	$10	0x3d9948…
03-01 09:44:51	cbb depaul marq 2026 03 01	DePaul Blue Demons	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x704596…