Productive-Essence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$309.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.34K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-15 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

84% 45% -$40,823

Tech

13% 50% -$128

Other

2% 60% -$539

Crypto

0% 38% -$96

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	7	$118.9K	62,599	62,599	+0	No	+$3,217	03-06 22:08
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	4	$40.0K	20,234	20,234	+0	No	+$76	02-22 17:31
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	6	$39.9K	20,421	20,421	+0	Yes	+$22	02-23 20:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$35.0K	37,733	0	+37,733	No	+$2,733	03-12 00:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$24.0K	25,961	0	+25,961	Yes	-$24,000	04-23 16:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$23.4K	24,502	0	+24,502	Yes	-$23,380	05-01 14:14
will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	2	$17.5K	18,027	0	+18,027	No	+$547	02-14 18:40
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	8	$5.1K	2,789	2,789	+0	No	+$417	03-01 07:07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$1.7K	991	989	+2	Yes	-$150	04-30 17:42
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	3	$1000	2,553	0	+2,553	Yes	-$1,000	03-06 00:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	6	$500	284	284	+0	No	+$0	05-15 14:28
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	5	$464	475	475	+0	No	+$54	05-15 14:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$398	325	325	+0	Yes	-$2	03-06 18:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$43	88	0	+88	Up	$0	05-13 20:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$41	89	0	+89	Down	+$8	05-13 18:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	9	$41	82	0	+82	Down	$0	05-13 20:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$40	80	0	+80	Up	+$2	05-13 18:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	8	$39	87	0	+87	Up	-$6	05-13 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	7	$36	68	0	+68	Down	-$6	05-13 18:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$34	282	0	+282	Up	-$12	05-13 18:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	5	$33	74	0	+74	Down	+$5	05-13 19:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$33	74	0	+74	Up	+$2	05-13 19:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$32	82	0	+82	Up	+$8	05-13 19:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$32	101	0	+101	Down	-$7	05-13 19:23
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	2	$31	437	437	+0	No	+$11	05-13 19:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$30	70	0	+70	Up	-$3	05-13 19:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$30	80	0	+80	Up	+$4	05-13 19:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$30	75	0	+75	Up	-$2	05-13 18:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$26	69	0	+69	Down	+$14	05-13 19:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$26	68	0	+68	Down	+$5	05-13 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 14:28:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	169	93¢	$157	0xec619f…
05-15 14:26:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0x3310da…
05-15 13:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xee8ef3…
05-15 12:54:44	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	194	2¢	$3	0xe2434b…
05-14 12:14:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xba38d9…
05-14 12:05:18	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x979c92…
05-14 00:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfe8163…
05-14 00:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x197f09…
05-14 00:07:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1c882c…
05-14 00:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcbfd17…
05-14 00:01:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x655c87…
05-13 23:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd90b92…
05-13 23:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe55a96…
05-13 23:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x391ee4…
05-13 23:51:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x5304cb…
05-13 23:48:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xf7accc…
05-13 23:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xab16f2…
05-13 23:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xedaea1…
05-13 21:14:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x12ab54…
05-13 21:12:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2145dc…
05-13 21:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x26ffb3…
05-13 21:11:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1044c8…
05-13 21:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd5f63a…
05-13 21:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0c2dd6…
05-13 21:06:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcccf8f…
05-13 21:06:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xfd73e4…
05-13 21:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7ea33c…
05-13 21:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x593a6a…
05-13 21:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3d369d…
05-13 21:01:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6d6053…
05-13 21:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6316ec…
05-13 20:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7f3a5d…
05-13 20:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x9f5e30…
05-13 20:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xaa14c2…
05-13 20:57:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb4fcb1…
05-13 20:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc7a481…
05-13 20:56:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x91ce25…
05-13 20:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdf7c69…
05-13 20:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa1744a…
05-13 20:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x1d69cc…
05-13 20:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x0ebfe3…
05-13 20:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xbca712…
05-13 20:52:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x212f13…
05-13 20:52:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbf6e70…
05-13 20:51:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xa96f1a…
05-13 20:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x339aea…
05-13 20:50:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc7e52d…
05-13 20:50:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x10d619…
05-13 20:48:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1c88d3…
05-13 20:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x67bbef…
05-13 20:47:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x21f454…
05-13 20:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0xd7b0b3…
05-13 20:34:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	61	80¢	$49	0x3c2a95…
05-13 20:31:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x1326cf…
05-13 20:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1ba322…
05-13 20:16:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe99f12…
05-13 20:10:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe88fbc…
05-13 20:10:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x4459c9…
05-13 20:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1ca306…
05-13 20:03:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x29c5ac…
05-13 20:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x89dccf…
05-13 20:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x7721c6…
05-13 20:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1f80b7…
05-13 19:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8f8d28…
05-13 19:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x0255ed…
05-13 19:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x896541…
05-13 19:54:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfcc534…
05-13 19:52:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x43045a…
05-13 19:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7b88a4…
05-13 19:51:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x366426…
05-13 19:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x3c3783…
05-13 19:46:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5c1af2…
05-13 19:46:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x9c5079…
05-13 19:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x950b78…
05-13 19:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x78618f…
05-13 19:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xde32dc…
05-13 19:42:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb8a5f1…
05-13 19:41:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6bf3ac…
05-13 19:41:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xaf9c71…
05-13 19:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x202fd3…
05-13 19:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcf6ad9…
05-13 19:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x1c1af5…
05-13 19:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9380c3…
05-13 19:31:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x7081f5…
05-13 19:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9903b1…
05-13 19:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x674de6…
05-13 19:26:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc430ec…
05-13 19:26:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x452b32…
05-13 19:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x817079…
05-13 19:21:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5396c1…
05-13 19:21:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x532ea8…
05-13 19:21:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x326f18…
05-13 19:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe91270…
05-13 19:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xad9c02…
05-13 19:17:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x70903e…
05-13 19:16:35	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x4f38ca…
05-13 19:16:10	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	SELL	437	5¢	$21	0x7da8fe…
05-13 19:12:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb71561…
05-13 19:11:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5c4e46…
05-13 19:11:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x975f66…