Complicated-Invite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$864

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$126

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	+67	$65	98¢	$65	+$0	05-05 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	+40	$34	45¢	$18	$-15	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	+15	$13	100¢	$15	+$2	05-05 16:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	+15	$12	99¢	$15	+$3	05-05 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	+15	$12	82¢	$13	+$0	05-05 16:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$65	67	+67	open	—	05-05 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	5	$49	62	+62	Down	+$14	05-05 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$43	56	+56	Up	+$13	05-05 00:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$34	40	+40	open	—	05-05 15:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$30	40	+40	open	—	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$29	42	+42	Up	+$13	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	8	$26	43	+43	open	—	05-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$23	36	+36	Up	$-23	05-04 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	5	$20	25	+25	open	—	05-05 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$20	28	+28	open	—	05-05 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$18	25	+25	open	—	05-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$16	20	+20	Down	+$4	05-04 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$15	26	+26	open	—	05-05 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$14	17	+17	open	—	05-05 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$14	18	+18	Up	+$4	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$14	20	+20	open	—	05-05 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$13	15	+15	open	—	05-05 16:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$12	15	+15	open	—	05-05 16:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$12	15	+15	open	—	05-05 14:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$12	15	+15	open	—	05-05 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$12	20	+20	Down	+$9	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$11	23	+23	Down	+$4	05-05 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$11	22	+22	open	—	05-05 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$11	17	+17	Down	+$1	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$10	20	+20	open	—	05-05 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	4	$10	23	+23	Up	+$6	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$10	12	+12	open	—	05-05 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$10	17	+17	open	—	05-05 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$9	18	+18	Down	+$1	05-05 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	5	$9	26	+26	open	—	05-05 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xcd0016…
05-05 16:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xfa6b9e…
05-05 16:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc8ccec…
05-05 16:19:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2e24d2…
05-05 16:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x91b9c6…
05-05 16:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x987eb3…
05-05 16:12:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x523c0f…
05-05 16:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x76c331…
05-05 16:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9be275…
05-05 15:57:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x95b545…
05-05 15:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf9af47…
05-05 15:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9e8427…
05-05 15:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	83¢	$34	0x5e9217…
05-05 15:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9c0d39…
05-05 15:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x098c00…
05-05 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe7c17c…
05-05 15:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa0ff81…
05-05 14:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x457b66…
05-05 14:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc628de…
05-05 14:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3db80e…
05-05 14:42:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x72c6e2…
05-05 14:37:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfc0f21…
05-05 14:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf11339…
05-05 14:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc881eb…
05-05 14:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x87aaaf…
05-05 14:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x389c3e…
05-05 14:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x04a124…
05-05 14:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x24031e…
05-05 14:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x95be34…
05-05 14:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f2108…
05-05 14:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x63d1eb…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa8ece0…
05-05 13:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x369284…
05-05 13:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x513207…
05-05 13:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa6c145…
05-05 13:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb1f994…
05-05 13:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6fd140…
05-05 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x39e01e…
05-05 13:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xe8d3e9…
05-05 13:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4437f2…
05-05 13:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xa62a43…
05-05 13:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x510784…
05-05 13:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x35296a…
05-05 13:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2e4d6f…
05-05 13:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x23eac5…
05-05 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf8964b…
05-05 12:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1751c8…
05-05 12:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x147df9…
05-05 12:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x4709ce…
05-05 12:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0cec98…
05-05 12:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x080fab…
05-05 12:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x3cf77d…
05-05 12:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x48dea7…
05-05 12:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x78ab34…
05-05 12:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdccf44…
05-05 12:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xabc0a5…
05-05 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9d9b5f…
05-05 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x27830d…
05-05 12:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x13e9b5…
05-05 12:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa16fe0…
05-05 11:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x22cead…
05-05 11:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3a3dba…
05-05 11:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xb7bb6d…
05-05 10:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x46aeae…
05-05 10:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8c8974…
05-05 10:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7b702c…
05-05 10:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xec37f5…
05-05 10:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa475b9…
05-05 10:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc82a45…
05-05 10:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3377ce…
05-05 10:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x962b19…
05-05 10:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x566dd4…
05-05 10:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x679521…
05-05 10:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc78931…
05-05 10:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xac4fec…
05-05 09:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaecde3…
05-05 09:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x85d33d…
05-05 09:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xeae198…
05-05 09:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x0267b4…
05-05 09:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf99dca…
05-05 09:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe09af3…
05-05 09:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x834f39…
05-05 09:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe911a9…
05-05 09:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x693e38…
05-05 09:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x868104…
05-05 09:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa669ce…
05-05 09:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf5c0f0…
05-05 09:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0831bf…
05-05 08:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc93582…
05-05 08:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x230801…
05-05 08:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6e3daa…
05-05 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xea26aa…
05-05 08:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xb9a6fa…
05-05 07:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x94f573…
05-05 07:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5362d2…
05-05 07:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8427f3…
05-05 07:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xafff98…
05-05 07:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x584ce5…
05-05 07:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5ac827…
05-05 07:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x361423…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	88	$13.1K	489	05-05 16:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	81	$8.76K	389	05-05 16:27
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	79	$711	214	05-05 16:27
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	76	$5.69K	321	05-05 16:27
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	72	$5.89K	322	05-05 16:27
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	70	$2.98K	269	05-05 16:27
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	68	$3.00K	265	05-05 15:44
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	67	$1.31K	152	05-05 16:27