Complicated-Invite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$184

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 02:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 241 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	+93	$79	99¢	$92	+$13	05-06 02:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	+56	$51	100¢	$56	+$4	05-06 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	+45	$44	48¢	$22	$-23	05-06 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	+15	$14	99¢	$15	+$0	05-06 02:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	6	$79	93	+93	open	—	05-06 02:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$65	67	+67	open	—	05-05 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$57	61	+61	open	—	05-05 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$55	60	+60	open	—	05-05 18:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$51	56	+56	open	—	05-06 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	5	$49	62	+62	Down	+$14	05-05 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$44	45	+45	open	—	05-06 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$43	56	+56	Up	+$13	05-05 00:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$34	40	+40	open	—	05-05 15:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$30	40	+40	open	—	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$29	42	+42	Up	+$13	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$27	35	+35	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	8	$26	43	+43	open	—	05-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	5	$23	36	+36	Up	$-23	05-04 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	5	$20	25	+25	open	—	05-05 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$20	28	+28	open	—	05-05 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$18	25	+25	open	—	05-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$17	20	+20	open	—	05-05 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$17	20	+20	open	—	05-06 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$16	20	+20	Down	+$4	05-04 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$15	18	+18	open	—	05-05 19:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	7	$15	36	+36	open	—	05-05 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$15	26	+26	open	—	05-05 07:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$15	18	+18	open	—	05-05 19:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$14	21	+21	open	—	05-05 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$14	15	+15	open	—	05-06 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$14	17	+17	open	—	05-05 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$14	18	+18	Up	+$4	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$14	20	+20	open	—	05-05 08:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$13	15	+15	open	—	05-05 18:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xa96aee…
05-06 02:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x8a654f…
05-06 02:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xe504c2…
05-06 02:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xf6ef80…
05-06 02:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xead8b2…
05-06 02:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xfff364…
05-06 02:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xa15436…
05-06 01:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdb5a5f…
05-06 01:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe009f7…
05-06 01:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc5ab6d…
05-06 01:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x8fb3ac…
05-06 01:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x62eec6…
05-06 01:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x13206d…
05-06 01:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x000425…
05-06 01:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb0fe04…
05-06 00:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x81ae08…
05-06 00:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbaa1b9…
05-06 00:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa09c5c…
05-06 00:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb7c0b8…
05-06 00:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4c2043…
05-06 00:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb7d114…
05-06 00:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x139235…
05-06 00:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xff6590…
05-06 00:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9773b6…
05-05 23:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x43fd8b…
05-05 20:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1aec10…
05-05 20:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xae86f6…
05-05 20:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xdd279a…
05-05 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x003922…
05-05 20:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6fe2b8…
05-05 20:11:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6fec73…
05-05 20:11:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa61bef…
05-05 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x5bf4d8…
05-05 19:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1ff359…
05-05 19:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2be464…
05-05 19:23:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd1b9cb…
05-05 19:23:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x54ae12…
05-05 19:23:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xc02b68…
05-05 19:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9f0b30…
05-05 19:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x43cd19…
05-05 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x18a691…
05-05 19:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xb15620…
05-05 19:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x6291b6…
05-05 19:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7cdc48…
05-05 19:06:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7d92bf…
05-05 19:06:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1007a8…
05-05 19:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xddacb2…
05-05 19:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x414e78…
05-05 19:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x80a69e…
05-05 19:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1aa308…
05-05 19:06:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x10430e…
05-05 19:06:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfc3c87…
05-05 19:06:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x1502a3…
05-05 19:06:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x25384b…
05-05 19:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x00a393…
05-05 19:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcfaa2a…
05-05 19:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbd1867…
05-05 19:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x063411…
05-05 19:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2c244d…
05-05 19:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x292903…
05-05 18:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x452644…
05-05 18:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xff4e9e…
05-05 18:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xfed4b9…
05-05 18:47:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8d5647…
05-05 18:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xad934b…
05-05 18:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb8b1f5…
05-05 18:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x90c88e…
05-05 18:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xefcacf…
05-05 18:41:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xbaae1e…
05-05 18:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd2e59f…
05-05 18:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x648302…
05-05 18:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xbdefcb…
05-05 18:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdb679b…
05-05 18:35:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x46aba3…
05-05 18:26:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x33a96a…
05-05 18:26:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcc9d95…
05-05 18:26:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1101b1…
05-05 18:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x45322e…
05-05 18:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf461aa…
05-05 18:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3be8d9…
05-05 18:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x34dab2…
05-05 18:22:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x119cc2…
05-05 18:22:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xaf9322…
05-05 16:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xcd0016…
05-05 16:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xfa6b9e…
05-05 16:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc8ccec…
05-05 16:19:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2e24d2…
05-05 16:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x91b9c6…
05-05 16:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x987eb3…
05-05 16:12:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x523c0f…
05-05 16:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x76c331…
05-05 16:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9be275…
05-05 15:57:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x95b545…
05-05 15:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf9af47…
05-05 15:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9e8427…
05-05 15:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	83¢	$34	0x5e9217…
05-05 15:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9c0d39…
05-05 15:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x098c00…
05-05 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe7c17c…
05-05 15:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa0ff81…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	111	$17.4K	607	05-06 02:09
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	105	$1.16K	329	05-06 02:09
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	103	$18.4K	562	05-06 02:09
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	91	$6.99K	392	05-06 02:08
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	87	$7.18K	390	05-06 02:08
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	85	$4.60K	424	05-06 02:09
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	83	$3.81K	341	05-06 02:09
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	81	$1.79K	219	05-06 02:09