Spotless-Commotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

180

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-23 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 81% -$18

Other

28% 75% +$25

Sports

25% 15% -$10

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$608	305	305	+0	No	$0	02-05 12:22
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$444	222	222	+0	No	$0	02-03 08:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	4	$443	222	222	+0	No	$0	04-26 04:10
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$254	127	127	+0	No	$0	01-16 03:36
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$254	127	127	+0	No	$0	01-16 03:45
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$239	119	119	+0	No	$0	03-12 02:48
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$238	120	120	+0	No	$0	03-08 06:52
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	$0	03-12 03:21
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	$0	03-07 08:30
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$237	119	118	+0	No	$0	04-19 08:45
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$236	118	118	+0	No	$0	04-14 09:54
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$235	118	118	+0	No	$0	01-18 03:38
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$235	118	118	+0	No	$0	01-18 03:54
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	2	$234	118	117	+0	No	$0	04-19 10:20
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$223	112	112	+0	No	$0	01-27 10:25
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$221	111	111	+0	No	$0	02-03 07:51
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	01-21 04:08
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$219	110	110	+0	No	$0	01-21 04:30
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$219	110	110	+0	No	$0	01-24 10:50
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$218	109	109	+0	No	$0	01-29 09:37
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$212	107	107	+0	No	$0	05-27 05:16
Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	2	$208	104	104	+0	No	$0	05-09 11:26
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$206	103	103	+0	No	$0	05-24 04:13
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$204	103	103	+0	No	$0	05-18 09:19
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$204	103	103	+0	No	$0	05-20 06:31
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	2	$204	103	103	+0	No	$0	05-06 03:49
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$204	102	102	+0	No	$0	05-20 04:49
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	$0	05-06 04:10
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-24 11:18
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-24 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 02:17:24	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of October?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x997675…
10-23 02:16:20	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.50 end of October?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x2aa43f…
09-29 02:59:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in September?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5fa49d…
08-31 21:28:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f5611…
07-10 05:54:59	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xcb1c47…
07-10 05:47:13	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Tracy Cortez	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xc42ac3…
06-30 11:09:10	Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb10863…
06-19 12:11:28	will ethereum dip to 1200 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf04c97…
06-05 11:51:45	meta above 680 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x0724be…
05-31 11:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xbf337e…
05-31 11:34:48	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0xec36ae…
05-30 10:07:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xd94788…
05-30 10:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3a6248…
05-30 10:00:57	Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5f6c6e…
05-28 06:47:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x705c7c…
05-28 06:33:05	Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe2c80d…
05-28 06:26:22	Panathinaikos vs. PAOK	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x70b5e7…
05-27 05:21:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x4c68a3…
05-27 05:16:13	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xc75ace…
05-27 04:39:28	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x9f019e…
05-26 12:54:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x4bb04d…
05-25 11:21:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xc55ad7…
05-24 04:17:40	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 18-24?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x1660ff…
05-24 04:13:51	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x43e2b2…
05-24 03:59:49	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe87006…
05-24 03:55:46	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xeba9c8…
05-24 03:54:11	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x22d791…
05-24 03:29:47	Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1d13da…
05-22 11:26:18	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $102.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xa1578c…
05-22 11:25:48	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x9ef982…
05-20 06:35:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x97ea7b…
05-20 06:31:25	Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x75a650…
05-20 04:50:56	Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x46027b…
05-20 04:49:22	Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xedfe44…
05-20 04:41:52	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Panna Udvardy	Panna Udvardy	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x13452c…
05-20 04:31:45	Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x3ace02…
05-19 11:50:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xb95cdd…
05-18 09:19:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x5a6546…
05-18 09:19:04	Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x2a685a…
05-18 08:58:23	Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Yannick Alexandrescou	Pol Martin Tiffon	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa27778…
05-18 08:53:43	Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0xfdc4e8…
05-17 11:43:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xeaec22…
05-16 03:48:17	Will Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x713a5c…
05-16 03:33:47	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x0cd53f…
05-16 03:26:28	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x4af292…
05-16 03:03:06	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xdee615…
05-14 07:01:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xa1205e…
05-14 06:54:51	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x9bd835…
05-14 06:39:57	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe2a571…
05-14 06:31:26	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x466d6d…
05-13 08:24:42	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 13?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x08c2ac…
05-12 04:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xc7fa14…
05-11 08:54:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xdc0300…
05-10 11:28:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,046	0¢	$3	0x158225…
05-10 05:49:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,400	0¢	$4	0x36f4cc…
05-09 11:36:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xb2fe6d…
05-09 11:26:15	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x6ec0d9…
05-09 09:52:12	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x7c6fc1…
05-08 04:58:45	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x2269ab…
05-07 08:59:11	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 7?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x6c7cbf…
05-06 04:18:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xfebf23…
05-06 04:10:46	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xc2f650…
05-06 03:56:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Viktorija Golubic vs Federica Urgesi	Viktorija Golubic	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x22aa61…
05-06 03:50:46	Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x2f0497…
05-06 03:49:42	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x8d6381…
05-06 03:27:04	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xe4a3cd…
05-05 03:48:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	No	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x8dfb56…
05-04 09:21:58	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 4?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x682f99…
05-03 06:07:38	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xc8ecc7…
05-02 08:31:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x949cb1…
05-01 05:57:20	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0x332946…
05-01 05:56:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1d9562…
04-30 09:14:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x2e256c…
04-29 07:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x980295…
04-28 10:28:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xd262f0…
04-27 05:42:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x9cd03a…
04-26 04:16:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x38837e…
04-26 04:15:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x79e9a1…
04-26 04:10:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x330177…
04-26 03:56:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x2a7d06…
04-26 03:46:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x94d21c…
04-26 03:28:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xa53302…
04-25 10:18:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x5622ad…
04-25 10:04:16	Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Calvin Hemery	Calvin Hemery	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x16edaa…
04-24 12:44:04	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xa1fdd6…
04-23 03:58:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xb364ce…
04-23 03:23:48	Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolina	Anna Bondar	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcee46d…
04-22 06:46:22	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xb2e563…
04-21 12:50:38	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 21	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x4828ba…
04-20 09:44:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0xa1621e…
04-20 09:41:18	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$2	0x2c516e…
04-20 07:35:24	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	Yes	BUY	1,133	0¢	$3	0x166197…
04-19 10:28:58	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xf1e23a…
04-19 10:20:40	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x766a3b…
04-19 08:48:02	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0xf8c6c8…
04-19 08:45:40	lol ly sr 2026 04 19	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xa8e71a…
04-19 08:45:04	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x56a2d9…
04-19 08:27:16	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x019c86…
04-17 08:58:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 17	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xe081a6…
04-16 07:22:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 16	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xf264fc…