Spotless-Commotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-30 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 80% $-2

Sports

24% — —

Other

19% 100% +$3

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$608	305	305	+0	open	—	02-05 12:22
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$444	222	222	+0	open	—	02-03 08:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	4	$443	222	222	+0	open	—	04-26 04:10
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	01-16 03:36
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	01-16 03:45
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$239	119	119	+0	open	—	03-12 02:48
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$238	120	120	+0	open	—	03-08 06:52
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	2	$238	119	119	+0	open	—	03-12 03:21
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$238	119	119	+0	open	—	03-07 08:30
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$237	119	118	+0	open	—	04-19 08:45
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$236	118	118	+0	open	—	04-14 09:54
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$235	118	118	+0	open	—	01-18 03:38
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$235	118	118	+0	open	—	01-18 03:54
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	2	$234	118	117	+0	open	—	04-19 10:20
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$223	112	112	+0	open	—	01-27 10:25
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	02-03 07:51
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	01-21 04:08
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	01-21 04:30
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	01-24 10:50
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	01-29 09:37
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	01-24 11:18
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	01-16 04:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	1	$122	123	0	+123	open	—	03-02 08:00
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	02-28 12:17
meta above 680 on february 27 2026	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	02-27 17:29
will ethereum dip to 1200 june 15 21 2026	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	06-19 12:11
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$120	122	0	+122	open	—	02-26 15:17
meta above 680 on june 5 2026	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	06-05 11:51
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 115 139	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	02-25 13:28
ethereum above 1700 on march 8	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	03-08 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 11:09:10	Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb10863…
06-19 12:11:28	will ethereum dip to 1200 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf04c97…
06-05 11:51:45	meta above 680 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x0724be…
05-31 11:34:48	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0xec36ae…
05-30 10:07:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xd94788…
05-28 06:47:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x705c7c…
05-28 06:26:22	Panathinaikos vs. PAOK	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x70b5e7…
05-27 05:21:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x4c68a3…
05-25 11:21:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xc55ad7…
05-24 04:17:40	Will XRP reach $1.60 May 18-24?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x1660ff…
05-24 03:59:49	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe87006…
05-22 11:26:18	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $102.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xa1578c…
05-22 11:25:48	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x9ef982…
05-20 06:35:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x97ea7b…
05-20 04:41:52	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Panna Udvardy	Panna Udvardy	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x13452c…
05-19 11:50:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xb95cdd…
05-18 09:19:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x5a6546…
05-18 08:58:23	Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Yannick Alexandrescou	Pol Martin Tiffon	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa27778…
05-17 11:43:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xeaec22…
05-16 03:33:47	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x0cd53f…
05-14 07:01:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xa1205e…
05-14 06:39:57	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe2a571…
05-13 08:24:42	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 13?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x08c2ac…
05-11 08:54:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xdc0300…
05-10 05:49:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,400	0¢	$4	0x36f4cc…
05-08 04:58:45	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x2269ab…
05-06 04:18:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xfebf23…
05-06 03:56:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Viktorija Golubic vs Federica Urgesi	Viktorija Golubic	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x22aa61…
05-05 03:48:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	No	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x8dfb56…
05-04 09:21:58	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 4?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x682f99…
05-03 06:07:38	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xc8ecc7…
05-01 05:57:20	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0x332946…
05-01 05:56:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1d9562…
04-30 09:14:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x2e256c…
04-28 10:28:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xd262f0…
04-27 05:42:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x9cd03a…
04-26 04:16:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x38837e…
04-26 04:15:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x79e9a1…
04-26 04:10:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x330177…
04-26 03:56:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x2a7d06…
04-26 03:46:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x94d21c…
04-26 03:28:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xa53302…
04-25 10:18:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x5622ad…
04-25 10:04:16	Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Calvin Hemery	Calvin Hemery	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x16edaa…
04-24 12:44:04	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xa1fdd6…
04-23 03:58:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xb364ce…
04-23 03:23:48	Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolina	Anna Bondar	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcee46d…
04-22 06:46:22	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xb2e563…
04-21 12:50:38	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 21	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x4828ba…
04-20 09:44:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0xa1621e…
04-20 09:41:18	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$2	0x2c516e…
04-20 07:35:24	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	Yes	BUY	1,133	0¢	$3	0x166197…
04-19 10:28:58	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xf1e23a…
04-19 10:20:40	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x766a3b…
04-19 08:48:02	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0xf8c6c8…
04-19 08:45:40	lol ly sr 2026 04 19	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xa8e71a…
04-19 08:45:04	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x56a2d9…
04-19 08:27:16	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x019c86…
04-17 08:58:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 17	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xe081a6…
04-16 07:22:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 16	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xf264fc…
04-15 04:04:54	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x61371b…
04-14 10:07:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 14	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x66d3cf…
04-14 09:54:39	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xb566a0…
04-14 08:43:29	Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x47de1d…
04-13 01:20:45	ethereum above 2500 on april 13	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x1c3ec2…
04-12 04:32:39	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xb2d9a6…
04-12 04:32:21	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x5a2882…
04-11 05:50:47	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x7a9bc3…
04-10 03:23:39	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x91ffea…
04-09 10:46:37	bitcoin above 68k on april 9	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0xf73bb0…
04-08 12:15:43	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 8	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x425a2a…
04-07 05:55:55	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 7	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x9f226d…
04-06 01:37:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 6	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x8d5edf…
04-05 09:59:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 5	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xa9d8fe…
04-04 09:32:35	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x2236ec…
04-04 09:25:41	cs2 mglz bcg 2026 04 04	BC.Game Esports	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x338508…
04-03 04:31:43	ethereum above 1800 on april 3	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6b0a66…
04-03 04:31:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 3	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x684255…
04-02 12:25:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 2	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x387520…
04-01 10:07:57	will solana reach 105 on april 1	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x3ceab5…
03-31 08:42:11	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xb217da…
03-30 03:15:14	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 30	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x4f8fa8…
03-29 10:05:34	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 29	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x7323b4…
03-29 01:40:18	will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 28	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x0cbf75…
03-28 04:38:57	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x453ba9…
03-28 04:11:11	wta sabalen gauff 2026 03 28	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdb18b0…
03-27 11:12:05	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0xc93a27…
03-24 12:53:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x4e98f2…
03-22 04:45:57	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x791710…
03-22 04:24:43	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 16 22	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xde491f…
03-17 06:10:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 17	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x7acfe5…
03-17 05:39:55	cs2 gls1 mibra 2026 03 17	Galorys	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x325bb3…
03-16 08:39:31	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0xb5e3a8…
03-16 08:26:51	ethereum above 2000 on march 16	No	BUY	531	0¢	$2	0x4adaaa…
03-16 08:23:59	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0xcd9c81…
03-15 11:37:29	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xbeb23b…
03-12 03:28:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 12	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x9d4872…
03-12 03:21:39	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x0e7d27…
03-12 02:53:55	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x0988eb…
03-12 02:48:03	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x931081…