Personal-Patrolling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$2.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-14 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

42% — —

Other

41% 100% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$247	126	126	+0	open	—	04-09 12:06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$193	142	142	+0	No	+$0	04-27 01:26
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$132	67	67	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:37
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$126	64	64	+0	Yes	+$0	04-26 14:38
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$120	64	64	+0	open	—	03-23 06:43
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-22 18:35
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$91	62	32	+30	open	—	05-23 07:16
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	4	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	06-09 14:20
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$69	121	121	+0	open	—	03-28 10:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	05-16 00:11
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$68	36	36	+0	open	—	04-20 23:40
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	03-22 19:51
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$67	108	108	+0	open	—	04-25 11:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	05-16 23:03
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	05-14 18:43
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	03-29 10:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	03-22 10:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$49	34	34	+0	open	—	05-23 16:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	05-26 07:48
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$45	28	28	+0	open	—	06-05 04:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$45	33	33	+0	open	—	05-23 23:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$45	32	32	+0	open	—	06-07 16:13
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	4	$45	31	31	+0	open	—	06-06 14:02
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	3	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	06-05 17:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$44	28	28	+0	open	—	06-06 06:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	06-11 01:52
Will Alberta join the US?	3	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	06-04 16:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$44	33	33	+0	open	—	06-14 19:44
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	3	$44	36	36	+0	open	—	06-10 19:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	06-17 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 01:08:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x6913e8…
06-17 01:06:01	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xeced6e…
06-14 19:44:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0xe3a827…
06-14 18:27:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	66¢	$22	0xd20dd4…
06-14 14:30:45	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x5f6f35…
06-14 14:30:45	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x4fa51d…
06-14 12:41:52	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x9a6c2d…
06-11 01:52:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xac34b9…
06-10 23:59:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xf524d8…
06-10 19:01:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	36	60¢	$22	0x2df4a1…
06-10 16:46:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb633fb…
06-10 16:46:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1fe41f…
06-09 14:20:09	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x2c9f43…
06-09 13:02:36	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xedbbbe…
06-07 16:13:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	32	70¢	$22	0x41d9a2…
06-07 13:39:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	32	70¢	$22	0xb7e192…
06-06 14:02:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x16926f…
06-06 14:02:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0x61ab23…
06-06 11:05:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x82a35f…
06-06 11:05:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x23eae5…
06-06 06:21:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0xa19421…
06-06 04:02:21	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0xe12b8a…
06-05 17:45:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xf1e375…
06-05 17:45:01	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x4dc69b…
06-05 13:41:27	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x987d2f…
06-05 10:37:33	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x44a42b…
06-05 07:05:57	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x5dafdf…
06-05 04:42:54	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	28	81¢	$23	0x530bee…
06-05 00:57:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0xa3165e…
06-04 16:44:28	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x31493f…
06-04 16:44:28	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x312129…
06-04 12:40:52	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xae13fd…
05-29 18:54:27	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xce6bea…
05-29 16:22:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0xca85af…
05-29 16:22:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x19019f…
05-29 11:21:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	28	41¢	$11	0xc1e5ec…
05-29 09:39:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x6669d4…
05-26 07:48:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x4499cc…
05-26 05:25:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x5c98a9…
05-23 23:48:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x568301…
05-23 23:48:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x8cb25b…
05-23 19:54:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0x4f93a4…
05-23 16:48:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	60¢	$20	0x0dfc9e…
05-23 13:43:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0x9c5d5c…
05-23 07:16:56	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x28aa16…
05-21 21:48:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xf7a23a…
05-16 23:03:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0xfbdc5d…
05-16 00:16:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x2ec2fd…
05-16 00:11:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x14afd6…
05-15 22:05:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xc0f23a…
05-15 13:35:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x5bd34e…
05-15 12:10:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x3c45b8…
05-15 12:10:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1edb66…
05-15 06:27:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xf5a6d1…
05-15 06:27:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe7ea11…
05-15 04:59:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x9bc00f…
05-14 18:43:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xc67070…
05-14 15:35:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x7a6943…
04-27 01:26:28	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x535400…
04-27 01:25:58	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	28	89¢	$25	0x9f6529…
04-27 01:25:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xdc936f…
04-27 01:25:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x4c4376…
04-26 14:38:02	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf3905a…
04-26 14:38:02	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0e7777…
04-26 12:07:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x9c0322…
04-26 12:07:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x3aa3d8…
04-25 11:47:22	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	76	3¢	$2	0x6facf0…
04-25 09:18:10	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x430746…
04-24 20:56:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x65058e…
04-24 20:56:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x2e227b…
04-24 18:57:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe244cd…
04-24 18:57:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x3643da…
04-23 19:26:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x9d78d6…
04-23 17:34:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$3	0xb38760…
04-23 15:29:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	85	4¢	$3	0xe4ad98…
04-22 18:35:18	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xb468b2…
04-22 18:34:32	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x56e332…
04-21 09:08:04	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xa57783…
04-21 07:12:34	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x51af26…
04-20 23:40:28	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0xaeaa1a…
04-20 23:39:40	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xbfcf3c…
04-12 12:51:07	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0xc3ac6d…
04-12 11:26:15	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0xc9bbfb…
04-12 09:44:17	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x869118…
04-12 05:36:41	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xd61780…
04-09 21:57:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0x8ec725…
04-09 17:38:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0xbc83f7…
04-09 12:06:17	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xfa2850…
04-09 12:06:17	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x0a1677…
04-09 09:24:41	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xea20a5…
04-09 09:24:41	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x2b3b7f…
04-09 07:37:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x383759…
04-09 06:10:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xb241ae…
04-07 22:15:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x6ecad7…
04-07 20:51:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xed6a05…
04-07 02:10:13	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x56111f…
04-06 23:44:03	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x44e102…
04-04 23:57:11	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x819d54…
04-04 23:57:09	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf15c7a…
04-04 20:59:03	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x5a4145…