Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

326

lifetime

Volume

$764

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-27 23:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

40% 100% +$31

Other

33% 0% $-13

Pop-Culture

13% — —

Crypto

12% 0% $-5

Sports

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+1,000	$1	0¢	$1	+$0	06-27 23:46
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+400	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	06-10 16:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	4	$123	107	175	-68	Yes	+$31	03-26 09:55
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$99	65	65	+0	open	—	03-11 19:48
will kanye release bully by march 20	7	$98	65	65	+0	open	—	03-11 20:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	15	$46	25,669	0	+25,669	open	—	03-03 19:38
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	02-28 21:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$20	94	0	+94	open	—	01-12 02:58
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$20	70	0	+70	open	—	01-08 19:25
btc updown 5m 1772281200	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	02-28 12:21
btc updown 5m 1772350200	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	03-01 07:33
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	3	$11	151	151	+0	open	—	03-11 21:12
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	2	$10	104	104	+0	open	—	03-11 21:13
israel x syria security agreement by march 31	2	$10	50	50	+0	open	—	03-11 21:13
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$6	1,064	64	+1,000	open	—	03-30 14:24
doge updown 5m 1774536900	2	$6	122	0	+122	open	—	03-26 14:58
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$5	644	0	+644	No	$-5	03-15 05:40
btc updown 5m 1772268300	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	02-28 08:49
btc updown 5m 1772311800	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	02-28 20:51
will crude oil cl settle at 60 in march	1	$4	252	0	+252	open	—	03-13 16:46
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$4	100	100	+0	open	—	03-13 10:00
btc updown 5m 1772268600	1	$3	75	0	+75	open	—	02-28 08:52
will student starter stusta win the most seats in utrechts 2026 municipal election	1	$3	148	0	+148	open	—	03-13 17:02
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$3	432	0	+432	No	$-3	03-15 05:41
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	1	$3	74	0	+74	open	—	03-15 08:27
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	1	$2	500	0	+500	open	—	03-26 10:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$2	500	0	+500	open	—	03-26 10:28
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	400	0	+400	open	—	06-10 16:22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	1	$2	67	0	+67	open	—	02-28 20:37
khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	1	$2	67	0	+67	open	—	02-28 20:39
will trumps remarks not air 214 267 366 423 327	1	$2	148	0	+148	open	—	03-11 20:35
btc updown 5m 1772269200	1	$2	22	0	+22	open	—	02-28 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 23:46:17	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x20da0d…
06-10 16:22:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x3836d0…
05-06 01:04:38	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xfd8305…
05-06 01:04:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xce420a…
05-06 00:59:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x09e6b0…
05-06 00:59:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb7754e…
05-06 00:59:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa7dd4a…
05-06 00:59:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6a6e4d…
05-06 00:59:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x617ba7…
05-06 00:59:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x44052f…
05-06 00:59:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf3ed7c…
05-06 00:59:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe67821…
05-06 00:59:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe574dd…
05-06 00:59:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbed7c5…
05-06 00:59:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x596361…
05-06 00:59:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x51086d…
05-06 00:59:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x43804b…
05-06 00:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe9ecc7…
05-06 00:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbb57ed…
05-06 00:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb22069…
05-06 00:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6c90a6…
05-06 00:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x64c231…
05-06 00:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x607fbf…
05-06 00:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x39079d…
05-06 00:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x06c522…
05-06 00:59:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xad067a…
05-06 00:59:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x90c9ab…
05-06 00:59:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x5ee61c…
05-06 00:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5b68df…
05-06 00:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa7255a…
05-06 00:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8774d3…
03-30 14:24:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdd91aa…
03-29 13:09:06	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa472a5…
03-29 08:28:24	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb8e444…
03-29 00:02:32	venezuela coup attempt by january 31 428	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x0076aa…
03-28 20:04:20	btc updown 5m 1774728000	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd5ef97…
03-28 19:59:56	btc updown 5m 1774727700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0b4d22…
03-27 23:04:01	venezuela coup attempt by january 31 428	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xae916e…
03-27 16:00:19	venezuela coup attempt by january 31 428	Yes	BUY	157	0¢	$1	0x1eb890…
03-26 15:04:51	doge updown 5m 1774537200	Up	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xbeea00…
03-26 15:04:49	doge updown 5m 1774537200	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xc5f88b…
03-26 15:04:47	doge updown 5m 1774537200	Up	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xa6a76e…
03-26 15:04:45	doge updown 5m 1774537200	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x18d7a1…
03-26 15:04:25	btc updown 5m 1774537200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd68c3f…
03-26 14:58:59	doge updown 5m 1774536900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x227c3b…
03-26 14:57:35	doge updown 5m 1774536900	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x7577bb…
03-26 14:54:21	btc updown 5m 1774536600	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x885ae2…
03-26 14:54:05	sol updown 5m 1774536600	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4de620…
03-26 14:49:41	sol updown 5m 1774536300	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x08e05d…
03-26 14:45:01	sol updown 15m 1774535400	Down	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0xac7f6e…
03-26 14:45:01	sol updown 15m 1774535400	Down	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x2f6bd0…
03-26 14:44:59	eth updown 15m 1774535400	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe402fe…
03-26 14:44:59	eth updown 15m 1774535400	Down	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xe2b5a2…
03-26 14:44:59	eth updown 15m 1774535400	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x45bfe5…
03-26 14:44:57	eth updown 15m 1774535400	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xbb334b…
03-26 14:44:37	doge updown 5m 1774536000	Up	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0xdd6702…
03-26 14:44:33	doge updown 5m 1774536000	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2aed5c…
03-26 14:44:25	doge updown 5m 1774536000	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x643d7c…
03-26 14:44:23	doge updown 5m 1774536000	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x8fbb4d…
03-26 14:39:21	doge updown 5m 1774535700	Up	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x28e3ca…
03-26 14:39:21	doge updown 5m 1774535700	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x24ecc2…
03-26 14:39:19	doge updown 5m 1774535700	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xfcce42…
03-26 14:39:15	doge updown 5m 1774535700	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xcc9486…
03-26 14:39:15	doge updown 5m 1774535700	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4168a7…
03-26 14:39:13	doge updown 5m 1774535700	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7d1521…
03-26 14:29:33	eth updown 15m 1774534500	Up	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x39bc21…
03-26 14:29:31	eth updown 15m 1774534500	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd3cda0…
03-26 14:29:31	eth updown 15m 1774534500	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x615281…
03-26 14:29:31	eth updown 15m 1774534500	Up	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x4b19d0…
03-26 14:29:31	eth updown 15m 1774534500	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x490f59…
03-26 14:29:23	sol updown 15m 1774534500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e90ed…
03-26 14:19:45	btc updown 5m 1774534500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5c8c16…
03-26 14:19:29	sol updown 5m 1774534500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa847b3…
03-26 14:15:01	sol updown 5m 1774534200	Up	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xbbb3ba…
03-26 14:15:01	sol updown 5m 1774534200	Up	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xa67e70…
03-26 14:09:29	btc updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x716bc4…
03-26 14:09:17	sol updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xecf87e…
03-26 14:09:17	sol updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x550d80…
03-26 14:09:17	sol updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x487858…
03-26 14:09:17	sol updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3b88db…
03-26 14:09:17	sol updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x33d33c…
03-26 14:09:17	sol updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x337dce…
03-26 14:09:17	sol updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x333c2a…
03-26 14:09:17	sol updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x31d161…
03-26 14:09:17	sol updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x26f306…
03-26 14:09:17	sol updown 5m 1774533900	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0f2c9c…
03-26 10:49:27	will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x251d83…
03-26 10:49:13	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x53ee82…
03-26 10:46:03	will trump meet with putin by march 31	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x182e08…
03-26 10:45:07	will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x745f47…
03-26 10:41:55	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xf35934…
03-26 10:28:09	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x13cda5…
03-26 09:55:17	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	165	44¢	$72	0x42a729…
03-25 03:55:45	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfcefc8…
03-24 18:13:13	will march 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x303a3a…
03-24 06:45:51	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x40c095…
03-23 10:18:57	venezuela coup attempt by january 31 428	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8bd026…
03-23 00:34:57	will india strike pakistan by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x39bd3b…
03-22 20:49:19	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xaa1df3…
03-22 06:28:35	will the us tariff rate on china be 35 or greater on march 31	Yes	BUY	164	0¢	$1	0x5bebf0…