Realized P&L
-$160
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved
136
Trades
307
lifetime
Volume
$2.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$113
8 positions
First seen
2026-07-13
last 10-17 14:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
76% 75% -$114
Politics
17% 65% -$42
Sports
4% 100% +$4
Tech
2% 50% -$6
Crypto
1% 50% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 07-15 22:31
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +40 $14 52¢ $21 +$8 09-13 08:25
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +20 $17 74¢ $15 -$3 07-15 18:33
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 09-13 07:54
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 07-16 11:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$2 07-15 00:13
No one announced as next James Bond? No +10 $6 90¢ $9 +$3 09-12 22:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +10 $10 89¢ $9 -$1 09-13 10:52