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Realized P&L
+$104
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved
13
Trades
149
lifetime
Volume
$962
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$196
24 positions
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-14 23:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
80% 67% +$123
Tech
11% 25% -$19
Politics
9% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +76 $25 34¢ $26 +$1 11-09 22:26
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $19 48¢ $20 +$1 11-12 14:50
Will NVIDIA's next CEO be an external candidate? Yes +34 $17 55¢ $19 +$2 11-13 19:05
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? No +19 $17 84¢ $16 -$1 11-14 04:06
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $13 84¢ $13 $0 11-11 14:18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +21 $10 50¢ $11 +$1 11-10 14:54
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +312 $10 3¢ $11 +$1 11-12 23:14
will tim cook be the next ceo of nvidia No +9 $9 97¢ $9 +$0 11-12 16:05
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026? Yes +140 $10 5¢ $8 -$2 11-14 09:04
Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes +9 $6 69¢ $6 $0 11-14 23:42
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Yes +9 $5 67¢ $6 +$1 11-14 04:00
Will NVIDIA's next CEO be an internal candidate? No +9 $5 67¢ $6 +$1 11-13 20:01
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +28 $6 20¢ $6 $0 11-10 20:13
Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +21 $5 26¢ $6 +$1 11-12 07:23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +18 $5 28¢ $5 $0 11-13 23:28
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +65 $11 8¢ $5 -$6 11-13 12:23
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? Yes +56 $5 8¢ $4 -$1 11-14 18:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +44 $5 9¢ $4 -$1 11-11 14:30
Will NVIDIA's next CEO be an internal candidate? Yes +11 $5 33¢ $4 -$2 11-13 17:08
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $3 14¢ $4 +$0 11-10 02:51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? No +11 $5 34¢ $4 -$1 11-11 04:32
Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA? Yes +32 $5 11¢ $4 -$1 11-12 20:50
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +39 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 11-09 18:14
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 22¢ $0 +$0 11-15 19:09