Massive-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.32K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

6,376

Trades

14,837

lifetime

Volume

$90.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 255 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% -$1,318

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7PM ET	20	$1.2K	1,478	999	+479	Up	+$5	04-26 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	29	$1.1K	1,255	1,107	+148	Down	+$98	04-26 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8PM ET	18	$903	1,107	826	+281	Up	+$33	04-27 00:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 05:30 UTC	5	$300	196	194	+2	Down	+$14	03-23 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:30 UTC	6	$284	199	197	+2	Down	+$1	02-01 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET	12	$268	285	270	+15	Up	+$113	04-26 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9AM ET	10	$259	253	246	+8	Up	-$30	04-26 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 21:00 UTC	6	$254	259	257	+3	Down	-$29	01-31 21:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 09:15 UTC	5	$249	210	207	+3	Down	+$23	03-23 09:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:45 UTC	8	$248	233	230	+3	Up	-$51	02-01 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4PM ET	11	$243	239	230	+9	Down	+$30	04-26 20:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 14:45 UTC	7	$238	285	182	+102	Up	+$2	02-01 14:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 03:15 UTC	2	$223	118	118	+0	Down	+$12	01-02 03:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 06:00 UTC	4	$219	240	237	+4	Down	-$50	02-10 06:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 17:30 UTC	4	$217	182	179	+3	Up	+$12	03-23 17:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 11:30 UTC	10	$212	139	138	+1	Down	-$9	03-08 11:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 09:30 UTC	2	$209	114	114	+0	Down	+$1	03-23 09:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 21:15 UTC	4	$200	153	151	+2	Up	+$51	01-31 21:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 06:15 UTC	3	$193	116	115	+1	Down	+$32	03-23 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 18:00 UTC	4	$191	129	98	+32	Up	+$13	02-01 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 14:00 UTC	8	$185	187	185	+2	Down	+$33	02-17 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 11:00 UTC	4	$177	151	121	+30	Up	-$7	04-17 11:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 14:45 UTC	9	$177	138	136	+2	Down	+$23	03-25 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6AM ET	6	$174	145	141	+4	Up	+$2	04-26 11:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 08:00 UTC	4	$173	120	117	+3	Down	+$23	04-18 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 08:15 UTC	6	$169	162	160	+2	Up	-$4	02-01 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 14:15 UTC	2	$164	101	100	+1	Down	+$24	01-31 14:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 14:00 UTC	4	$162	122	121	+2	Down	+$26	02-01 14:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 10:30 UTC	2	$162	105	105	+0	Up	+$40	01-02 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 08:00 UTC	2	$161	107	106	+1	Up	+$7	03-23 08:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe50445…
10-27 16:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xa750aa…
10-27 16:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x59adbd…
10-27 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xde366e…
10-27 16:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7fb1b9…
10-27 16:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xd085d3…
10-27 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc133bc…
10-27 15:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x01458e…
10-27 15:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x4f2b65…
10-27 15:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xfa86ff…
10-27 14:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb9baed…
10-27 14:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x55674c…
10-27 14:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x48dafe…
10-27 14:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x2c5022…
10-27 10:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x127ae1…
10-27 10:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd4a3a4…
10-27 07:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x364223…
10-27 07:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x52fd4e…
10-27 05:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xee1688…
10-27 02:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x705819…
10-27 02:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9f6100…
10-26 23:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xd74e15…
10-26 23:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1b4946…
10-26 19:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x0d7bdd…
10-26 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xaacd1d…
10-26 19:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x95a417…
10-26 19:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa13ea9…
10-26 19:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xf75895…
10-26 19:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x424750…
10-26 18:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb42eb4…
10-26 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xbb5966…
10-26 18:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x2a08e3…
10-26 18:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7b62a0…
10-26 15:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x4090ee…
10-26 15:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x31f2bb…
10-26 13:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9dab0a…
10-26 13:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x234b47…
10-26 09:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x8fcc0b…
10-26 09:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x60dbbf…
10-26 09:06:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x742f0d…
10-26 07:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x2ecc65…
10-26 07:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x96be75…
10-26 07:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xf0bb96…
10-26 07:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9c76f4…
10-26 06:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x177a04…
10-26 06:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7d0323…
10-26 05:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x8faa34…
10-26 05:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb13f0f…
10-26 05:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xa3a726…
10-26 05:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5838ff…
10-25 17:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x0463c8…
10-25 17:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xa89800…
10-25 17:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb7b7e0…
10-18 15:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x44097d…
10-18 14:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x9ad136…
10-18 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9a7805…
10-18 14:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xa5bd1e…
10-18 14:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe9ccc6…
10-18 13:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x259994…
10-18 13:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7627ca…
10-18 13:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9b622d…
10-18 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6ca3cd…
10-18 12:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xfa8dd6…
10-18 12:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1294fd…
10-18 11:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0xf479f2…
10-18 11:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x061a34…
10-18 11:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa84699…
10-18 11:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0f98fd…
10-18 09:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x26072c…
10-18 09:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb5f2ef…
10-18 07:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe5b524…
10-18 02:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xb2b8d6…
10-18 02:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x650911…
10-18 02:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x448a3b…
10-18 02:15:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1de340…
10-18 02:11:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa82431…
10-17 18:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x53a4ce…
10-17 18:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x5dbec0…
10-17 18:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x653bb1…
10-17 18:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x78fb3d…
10-17 18:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8a9e76…
10-17 08:08:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x54a72e…
10-17 08:04:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3bfe92…
10-17 01:33:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x267a8e…
10-17 01:33:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x401cba…
10-17 00:17:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xccccfe…
10-16 04:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xbfd5a8…
10-16 04:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xacffc0…
10-16 04:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x19c2b5…
10-15 21:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x22d561…
10-15 21:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x89c9cb…
10-15 21:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x3e8693…
10-15 21:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc2b418…
10-15 20:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x33e2ce…
10-15 19:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x880335…
10-15 19:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5916b2…
10-15 18:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6c32b8…
10-15 18:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x6c9ad2…
10-15 18:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8af4dd…
10-15 18:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xeef5fc…