Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$56

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-21 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

44% 100% +$4

Politics

25% 100% +$2

Sports

24% 75% $0

Crypto

8% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No		+56	$53	97¢	$54	+$1	09-30 18:48
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No		+54	$52	3¢	$2	-$50	05-15 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	4	$117	61	61	+0	open	—	10-21 17:44
Iran leadership change by October 31?	2	$117	62	62	+0	open	—	09-14 16:42
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$106	54	54	+0	No	+$0	06-24 05:56
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	4	$106	56	56	-0	No	+$0	06-22 00:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	2	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	09-21 06:44
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$106	54	54	+0	No	+$0	05-11 05:49
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	25	$106	54	54	+0	No	+$0	08-25 00:55
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	5	$105	55	55	+0	open	—	08-10 18:01
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	2	$105	54	54	+0	No	+$0	05-18 10:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$104	54	54	+0	No	+$0	05-08 12:43
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?	3	$95	48	48	+0	Yes	+$1	07-30 18:44
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	1	$53	56	0	+56	open	—	09-30 18:48
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	1	$52	54	0	+54	open	—	05-15 11:00
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	4	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	04-30 17:21
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	04-30 14:37
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-01 01:00
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	04-30 22:56
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-15 05:47
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$1	04-15 11:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$1	04-15 09:23
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	08-04 08:29
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	500	500	+0	No	+$0	05-16 20:25
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	05-19 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 17:44:39	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x976c93…
10-07 00:07:40	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4676fa…
09-30 18:48:24	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x252132…
09-22 13:25:10	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xfdfff7…
09-22 13:24:42	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	96¢	$52	0x73ede0…
09-21 06:44:50	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x52f202…
09-14 16:42:57	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0x735fa2…
09-05 05:22:01	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x2924c5…
08-25 00:55:51	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x8e5544…
08-24 07:37:00	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xaa7d62…
08-17 13:46:15	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x9e68f6…
08-17 00:12:43	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf86f87…
08-16 19:22:25	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe4e9e9…
08-16 19:10:57	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0cec3b…
08-16 19:09:25	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f279b…
08-16 19:07:52	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xe487a4…
08-16 19:07:45	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2a3422…
08-16 16:38:12	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x677352…
08-16 16:37:48	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9eb59e…
08-16 16:32:57	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x73c1d2…
08-16 10:19:30	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5bcc30…
08-16 04:52:45	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x87a92f…
08-16 03:49:49	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xab27c0…
08-16 03:31:58	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x97f440…
08-16 00:02:37	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x089781…
08-15 14:56:39	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x6d1162…
08-15 12:32:15	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8fec41…
08-15 12:22:57	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x16cf36…
08-15 12:12:36	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x71fcce…
08-15 10:37:04	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x695916…
08-15 10:36:52	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb08c99…
08-15 10:34:21	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac7cce…
08-15 09:38:37	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x875021…
08-15 08:47:43	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9344ea…
08-10 18:01:15	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xe4dcbe…
08-10 13:33:45	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc09d05…
08-04 08:29:06	Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xcf65ef…
08-02 18:06:48	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xde2f06…
07-31 15:24:47	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x97fdd5…
07-30 18:44:06	Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd97e91…
07-30 15:27:12	Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xfda665…
07-24 15:11:01	Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xc88b1b…
07-11 02:02:23	Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdaba1a…
07-10 14:51:14	Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2b58e3…
07-02 08:36:01	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x39ad4c…
06-24 05:56:59	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x00d03f…
06-22 00:14:28	Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0xc4cfed…
05-19 23:50:12	Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$16	0x2a74d5…
05-19 17:27:06	Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5c43e9…
05-19 17:25:09	Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf27fca…
05-19 10:24:32	Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7ba5c0…
05-18 10:00:01	Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0xf33bfc…
05-16 20:25:49	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x6864cc…
05-15 12:53:06	Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x5c0159…
05-15 11:00:12	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x002d7c…
05-15 10:38:09	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa89fcb…
05-11 05:49:20	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xce63f7…
05-08 12:43:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x6c2451…
05-05 08:05:20	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xf729ca…
05-05 08:04:10	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x157f3a…
05-05 06:22:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xc76563…
05-05 06:04:32	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3f3c3…
05-01 01:00:34	KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xbd27ee…
04-30 22:56:24	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x44de27…
04-30 17:21:04	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xbf9265…
04-30 15:38:36	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe1e764…
04-30 14:37:36	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x257ea1…
04-21 14:05:52	KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xbb03f3…
04-15 11:24:24	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x7834a7…
04-15 11:06:02	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xffa6a8…
04-15 09:29:10	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xe6de89…
04-15 09:23:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x0bb881…
04-15 06:51:46	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x743910…
04-15 06:03:08	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xad24f2…
04-15 05:47:16	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0xb9ad4d…