Safe-Servitude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 09-01 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

70% 100% +$23

Sports

28% 0% -$12

Crypto

2% 0% -$45

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$961	498	498	+0	Yes	+$22	04-27 04:57
Spurs vs. Thunder	6	$561	1,100	0	+1,100	Thunder	-$11	05-26 14:41
bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	4	$45	100	0	+100	Down	-$45	03-03 09:04
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$41	600	600	+0	No	-$1	04-28 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 01:52
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or below on June 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 04:03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 19?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on June 26?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 2?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-01 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 108-109°F on July 14?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on June 25?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on June 25?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 15?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 19?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 07:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 10:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xcf2252…
09-01 10:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83f564…
07-16 06:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x01aad4…
07-16 06:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x0da671…
07-13 09:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f7419…
07-13 09:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 108-109°F on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xc3a518…
06-25 02:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x456886…
06-25 02:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xecd514…
06-25 02:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x344201…
06-25 01:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x18892f…
06-25 01:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1b645b…
06-25 01:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xe9e351…
06-25 01:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd3e9c…
06-25 01:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea949b…
06-24 08:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xd69793…
06-24 08:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7501c3…
06-24 08:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcae0a0…
06-24 08:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x747d01…
06-24 08:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6ac476…
06-24 08:11:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xbc880d…
06-24 08:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x138a4f…
06-24 08:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x205c9b…
06-18 07:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa67a27…
06-18 07:19:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x162c5d…
06-18 07:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0c75a…
06-18 07:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a8fb3…
06-18 07:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe39323…
06-18 07:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0073d5…
06-18 07:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x336b60…
06-18 07:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad7d00…
06-16 04:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x91b587…
06-16 04:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x25ce02…
06-16 04:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb9a0da…
06-16 04:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8feba…
06-16 04:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x781571…
06-16 04:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f9962…
06-16 03:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd5ea9f…
06-16 03:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa84d2f…
06-09 07:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeff930…
06-09 07:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2eaab4…
06-09 07:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcaa14b…
06-09 07:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f422b…
05-27 08:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1f29a4…
05-27 08:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x610fc5…
05-27 08:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf32de5…
05-27 08:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xdcc5b6…
05-27 08:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa9c0d4…
05-27 08:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd9943a…
05-26 14:41:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	550	40¢	$220	0x8e2191…
05-26 09:26:29	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x7ca404…
05-26 09:24:55	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xb0638c…
05-26 09:24:50	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	63	62¢	$39	0xf1f38c…
05-26 09:24:44	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	51	62¢	$32	0x08335c…
05-26 09:24:34	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	345	62¢	$214	0xb74fe6…
05-20 08:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f3fab…
05-20 08:23:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4dc38c…
05-20 08:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf2c206…
05-20 08:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeb1ee2…
05-14 03:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x187da3…
05-14 03:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x85e542…
05-14 03:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74661b…
05-14 03:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbd0c04…
05-09 06:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x512c31…
05-09 06:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x900a89…
05-09 06:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa1867b…
05-09 06:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca767d…
04-28 13:21:08	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	600	3¢	$20	0x7fcc24…
04-28 13:20:36	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$21	0x392ea9…
04-27 06:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b05d1…
04-27 06:33:32	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4c27c0…
04-27 06:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x62b0f6…
04-27 06:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x17d285…
04-27 04:57:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3bd480…
04-27 04:26:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0x321e38…
04-27 04:10:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	269	99¢	$265	0x8e0432…
04-27 03:19:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x40fb0e…
04-24 08:18:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	237	94¢	$223	0x9f0589…
04-24 08:18:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	154	94¢	$145	0x50657a…
04-24 08:18:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x3ce158…
04-24 08:17:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0xc4bfa7…
03-03 09:04:59	bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	Up	BUY	52	45¢	$24	0x699519…
03-03 09:04:59	bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	Up	BUY	39	45¢	$17	0x595a98…
03-03 09:04:59	bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x1fd97d…
03-03 09:04:59	bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x07338a…