Realized P&L
-$7.01K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
137
Trades
9,979
lifetime
Volume
$100.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-02-11
last 04-14 23:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
77%
33%
+$1,620
Other
16%
37%
-$6,891
Crypto
7%
36%
-$1,768
Tech
0%
100%
+$27
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-14).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 15 | $12.0K | 9,051 | 9,051 | +0 | No | +$5,687 | 03-25 18:25 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 26 | $10.2K | 6,000 | 6,000 | +0 | Yes | +$1,235 | 04-03 06:58 |
| will trump visit china by march 31 | 62 | $8.8K | 7,133 | 7,133 | +0 | No | +$3,156 | 03-20 21:51 |
| will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165 | 20 | $7.2K | 5,430 | 5,430 | +0 | No | +$131 | 03-30 22:38 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 7 | $7.0K | 3,800 | 3,800 | +0 | No | +$454 | 03-28 23:45 |
| israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026 | 32 | $4.7K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | No | +$1,020 | 04-12 06:25 |
| will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855 | 7 | $4.6K | 4,118 | 2,724 | +1,395 | No | -$2,209 | 04-02 10:06 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 4 | $3.5K | 2,100 | 2,100 | +0 | Yes | +$731 | 04-05 10:21 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | 18 | $3.2K | 10,814 | 13,696 | -2,882 | No | -$1,239 | 04-08 07:32 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 23 | $2.3K | 1,500 | 1,500 | +0 | No | +$163 | 03-12 17:16 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 12 | $2.2K | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | Yes | -$2,180 | 03-26 20:22 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 11 | $2.0K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | Yes | +$175 | 03-23 14:27 |
| spx up or down on april 1 2026 | 8 | $1.8K | 1,000 | 1,000 | +0 | Up | +$170 | 04-01 16:03 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | 28 | $1.7K | 4,000 | 3,000 | +1,000 | Yes | $0 | 04-06 19:14 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 2 | $1.6K | 2,334 | 0 | +2,334 | Yes | -$1,600 | 04-02 00:57 |
| will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3 | 15 | $1.6K | 878 | 878 | +0 | Yes | +$163 | 04-02 22:32 |
| will another country strike iran by march 31 833 | 6 | $1.6K | 1,400 | 1,400 | +0 | No | +$14 | 03-08 10:46 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 39 | $1.4K | 306,000 | 0 | +306,000 | Yes | -$1,401 | 03-12 18:40 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 10 | $1.4K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | Yes | -$1,360 | 03-23 18:30 |
| will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15 | 13 | $1.3K | 5,598 | 5,598 | +0 | No | -$952 | 04-08 07:37 |
| spx up or down on april 2 2026 | 6 | $1.2K | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | Up | -$1,160 | 04-02 16:45 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 24 | $940 | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | Yes | -$940 | 04-07 22:52 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 1 | $800 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | No | +$200 | 03-05 03:04 |
| will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026 | 5 | $800 | 1,589 | 0 | +1,589 | No | +$789 | 03-30 23:19 |
| will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22 | 95 | $761 | 1,339 | 1,339 | +0 | No | -$755 | 03-20 06:40 |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | 2 | $750 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | Yes | +$250 | 04-07 00:41 |
| will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5 | 30 | $648 | 1,266 | 1,266 | +0 | No | -$643 | 03-30 09:37 |
| will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29 | 7 | $592 | 1,068 | 2,000 | -932 | No | -$584 | 03-24 08:13 |
| will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15 | 10 | $523 | 496 | 296 | +200 | Yes | +$162 | 03-14 06:14 |
| epl eve bur 2026 03 03 eve | 1 | $507 | 1,300 | 0 | +1,300 | Yes | -$507 | 03-03 09:00 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||