Likable-President — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$225

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.2%

Resolved

118

Trades

1,259

lifetime

Volume

$9.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-16 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 32% $-225

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 701 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	10	$420	9	639	-630	open	—	05-16 00:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	8	$287	273	136	+136	open	—	05-16 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	10	$285	1,602	28	+1,574	Down	$-235	05-13 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	19	$255	320	308	+13	Down	+$83	05-13 04:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	8	$231	618	0	+618	open	—	05-16 09:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10PM ET	9	$209	194	194	+0	open	—	05-16 03:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	11	$162	681	8	+673	open	—	05-16 14:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	20	$155	511	0	+511	open	—	05-16 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	12	$127	266	38	+228	open	—	05-16 02:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	21	$122	357	210	+147	open	—	05-16 02:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	6	$120	647	0	+647	open	—	05-16 09:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	5	$117	237	118	+118	open	—	05-16 01:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	7	$105	730	0	+730	open	—	05-15 04:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	13	$101	150	131	+19	Up	+$27	05-13 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$100	271	0	+271	open	—	05-16 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	11	$99	193	39	+154	open	—	05-16 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	7	$98	249	0	+249	open	—	05-16 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	6	$94	54	54	+0	open	—	05-16 14:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	10	$86	1,334	0	+1,334	open	—	05-16 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$84	71	43	+29	open	—	05-16 14:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	7	$83	379	57	+321	open	—	05-16 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	7	$82	595	0	+595	Down	$-82	05-13 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$82	105	55	+50	open	—	05-16 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	6	$82	200	35	+165	open	—	05-16 02:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	7	$80	767	0	+767	open	—	05-16 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	5	$77	64	64	+0	open	—	05-16 14:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$75	43	43	+0	open	—	05-16 02:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$71	203	47	+156	open	—	05-16 03:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	5	$70	333	0	+333	open	—	05-15 04:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	5	$70	403	0	+403	open	—	05-16 08:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 18:04:35	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x52e82d…
05-16 18:04:28	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3919ca…
05-16 18:04:26	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3852dd…
05-16 18:04:19	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbb76d8…
05-16 18:04:02	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8ad7bb…
05-16 18:03:57	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x9e3696…
05-16 18:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8ef0b2…
05-16 17:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xbbf7cf…
05-16 17:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf6ca94…
05-16 17:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x435b3a…
05-16 17:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xedc18d…
05-16 17:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xb66a87…
05-16 17:49:02	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x65969c…
05-16 17:48:45	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x26ac9f…
05-16 17:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x89349e…
05-16 17:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x3f0cbd…
05-16 17:44:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0bb5d7…
05-16 17:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x79a316…
05-16 17:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe6cb39…
05-16 15:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe98acd…
05-16 15:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xdf8aed…
05-16 15:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x8d194d…
05-16 15:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0be529…
05-16 15:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xd3e017…
05-16 15:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0xd94f9e…
05-16 15:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xbdcb8d…
05-16 15:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0x291b0b…
05-16 15:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xea65d5…
05-16 14:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe97143…
05-16 14:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc555d0…
05-16 14:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x90cc43…
05-16 14:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0f767e…
05-16 14:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x38b31b…
05-16 14:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0e571d…
05-16 14:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x935712…
05-16 14:34:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68df4b…
05-16 14:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4caa44…
05-16 14:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x9eb654…
05-16 14:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x901621…
05-16 14:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xb638a4…
05-16 14:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x988c0c…
05-16 14:32:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x7686a3…
05-16 14:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x6b6580…
05-16 14:32:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0xd4b2ae…
05-16 14:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x15679e…
05-16 14:29:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xb2a54d…
05-16 14:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x3deb59…
05-16 14:29:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8b94cc…
05-16 14:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe884bf…
05-16 14:28:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x45d9a8…
05-16 14:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x4ebd84…
05-16 14:28:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	31¢	$18	0x2bf40e…
05-16 14:28:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x83adbc…
05-16 14:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	89	5¢	$5	0x46c1cc…
05-16 14:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x10d2f7…
05-16 14:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xfdc609…
05-16 14:24:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x942445…
05-16 14:24:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x2812ce…
05-16 14:24:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0xf076b2…
05-16 14:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0xa4d0b9…
05-16 14:24:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xab1812…
05-16 14:24:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x728aec…
05-16 14:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xbf791e…
05-16 14:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x14026a…
05-16 14:24:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	177	39¢	$70	0x1a97d8…
05-16 14:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0x99dfe6…
05-16 14:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xa88efe…
05-16 14:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	136	82¢	$112	0xb7202e…
05-16 14:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x959181…
05-16 14:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x6e9e01…
05-16 14:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x5753ed…
05-16 14:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xfd6d9e…
05-16 14:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xf2c37a…
05-16 14:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xee8c94…
05-16 14:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x45c5ef…
05-16 14:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa87ca4…
05-16 14:14:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x85282a…
05-16 14:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x0eff45…
05-16 14:13:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6aecdc…
05-16 14:13:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2c9abc…
05-16 14:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	72¢	$10	0xc37bed…
05-16 14:11:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x39e52d…
05-16 14:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xcd4f95…
05-16 14:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0fb306…
05-16 14:09:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x182149…
05-16 14:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfa466b…
05-16 14:09:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xade2b7…
05-16 14:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8ff184…
05-16 14:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0bb265…
05-16 14:07:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0x49b3e5…
05-16 14:06:40	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd86eba…
05-16 14:06:28	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x60fdad…
05-16 14:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x44ccd7…
05-16 14:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x419baa…
05-16 14:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xcba3e1…
05-16 14:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x4f5e09…
05-16 14:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x32f155…
05-16 14:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x51dea8…
05-16 14:03:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x7145bf…
05-16 14:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf8efc0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	357	$37.5K	4,125	05-16 18:03
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	357	$12.8K	2,199	05-16 18:03
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	355	$83.2K	7,291	05-16 18:04
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	350	$33.1K	2,825	05-16 18:04
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	342	$727	2,629	05-16 18:05
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	330	$201.7K	7,604	05-16 18:06
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	326	$6.86K	662	05-16 18:01
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	318	$101.1K	20,126	05-16 18:04