Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.47K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-29 01:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

59% 67% -$172

Other

35% 86% -$801

Crypto

6% 25% -$501

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	62	$9.4K	5,778	4,815	+963	Yes	+$114	02-25 22:28
highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 48forhigher	1	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$5	02-26 10:50
highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 46 47f	8	$837	847	0	+847	Yes	-$837	02-26 14:32
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$724	400	400	+0	No	+$4	01-07 15:05
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	8	$578	0	688	-688	No	-$110	01-16 11:15
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	3	$498	500	0	+500	No	+$2	02-28 08:20
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	4	$496	500	0	+500	No	+$4	02-27 02:41
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 400 419	1	$397	400	0	+400	No	+$3	02-26 08:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	12	$384	800	800	+0	No	-$288	01-25 10:04
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	7	$264	0	653	-653	No	-$389	01-12 14:22
highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 36 37f	8	$204	205	0	+205	No	+$1	02-26 13:03
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	02-26 08:31
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	03-07 23:15
highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 34 35f	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	02-26 10:35
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	02-26 11:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$195	200	0	+200	No	+$5	04-19 15:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$193	200	0	+200	No	+$7	05-29 01:25
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	2	$192	100	100	+0	No	+$1	01-07 15:23
highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 32 33f	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-26 05:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 25	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-25 02:16
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-26 09:24
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	1	$98	0	100	-100	No	-$2	02-23 16:23
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$68	70	0	+70	No	+$2	02-06 05:58
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-01 08:54
will cuba win the 2026 world baseball classic	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-11 22:11
will italy win the 2026 world baseball classic	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	-$1	03-12 01:09
bill clinton in jail by december 31	1	$10	0	10	-10	No	$0	01-05 22:28
will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-14 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 01:25:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x10620d…
04-19 15:04:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x56984c…
04-01 08:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x55e22f…
03-14 11:52:57	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdd1e4a…
03-14 09:46:31	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac19ec…
03-12 01:09:35	will italy win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x41383e…
03-11 22:11:33	will cuba win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x88a9e1…
03-11 16:24:33	will cuba win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x43e442…
03-11 13:32:17	will italy win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe6be1b…
03-07 23:15:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x805f17…
02-28 08:20:43	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x32d996…
02-28 08:05:11	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	No	BUY	261	99¢	$259	0x6f920f…
02-27 02:41:42	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x74364c…
02-27 02:37:06	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x7ad828…
02-27 02:35:54	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x78f57d…
02-27 02:34:20	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xebfaf6…
02-26 14:32:34	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xd3f631…
02-26 13:03:18	highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x7ee6f8…
02-26 12:41:36	highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a178a…
02-26 12:41:36	highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x48b3d7…
02-26 12:41:34	highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8a4bde…
02-26 12:41:34	highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x726306…
02-26 12:14:30	highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaddb05…
02-26 12:02:04	highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x01fdc8…
02-26 11:34:34	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x83c6a3…
02-26 10:50:16	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 48forhigher	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x349837…
02-26 10:35:06	highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 34 35f	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x3546de…
02-26 09:24:58	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f427e…
02-26 09:11:22	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xed1519…
02-26 08:59:22	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 400 419	No	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x438417…
02-26 08:31:40	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xdc9a0d…
02-26 08:18:20	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0xc0aab0…
02-26 08:17:08	highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x933d2e…
02-26 08:16:10	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x299e44…
02-26 08:14:02	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa9cf7f…
02-26 08:11:40	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x088487…
02-26 05:32:16	highest temperature in chicago on february 26 2026 32 33f	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x96e957…
02-26 04:58:10	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0dd63e…
02-26 04:58:06	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x586974…
02-26 04:28:12	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x72dbfa…
02-25 22:28:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2e05a0…
02-25 22:24:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	166	94¢	$157	0x8f1212…
02-25 22:23:02	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	39	94¢	$36	0x8ee86a…
02-25 22:14:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	79	94¢	$75	0x96f9fe…
02-25 21:21:36	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xb5e8b9…
02-25 21:20:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8d1ebd…
02-25 21:15:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,060	94¢	$1,000	0xbf8d72…
02-25 21:14:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x7cd38b…
02-25 21:14:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x10120f…
02-25 21:12:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbf218d…
02-25 21:11:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,121	94¢	$2,000	0xa34c9a…
02-25 21:05:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	154	94¢	$145	0x9a9d41…
02-25 21:04:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	116	94¢	$109	0x9effef…
02-25 21:03:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0xf05883…
02-25 21:02:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xbe64af…
02-25 20:57:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0x95ee34…
02-25 20:54:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0x081015…
02-25 02:16:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 25	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0d9212…
02-23 16:23:14	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x1fee65…
02-06 05:58:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x7efdcf…
02-06 05:58:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0be5b0…
02-03 06:19:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xc663b5…
02-03 01:05:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x44f20f…
02-03 01:05:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5f36d6…
02-03 00:55:44	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x575fe5…
02-03 00:55:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7de33a…
02-03 00:54:44	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4,200	98¢	$4,129	0x044c66…
02-03 00:53:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb68c68…
02-03 00:53:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0xf80b6a…
02-03 00:53:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xbb086a…
01-25 10:04:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	518	6¢	$31	0x0ae7d4…
01-25 09:23:50	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x0ebffa…
01-25 07:58:36	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x684abb…
01-25 07:52:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0xacbaff…
01-25 07:33:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xf6fb3f…
01-25 07:09:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x3a22ee…
01-25 07:08:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x2a0124…
01-25 05:18:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x5c1665…
01-25 05:04:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	155	6¢	$9	0xb23b32…
01-16 11:15:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0x19020a…
01-16 10:59:28	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x0ca3da…
01-16 10:13:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xd75269…
01-16 09:00:02	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x4b715d…
01-16 08:50:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	451	84¢	$379	0x61b3fd…
01-16 02:43:28	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0x18159b…
01-16 02:25:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	84¢	$67	0x0d410c…
01-15 20:31:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xceff28…
01-12 14:22:44	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	299	44¢	$131	0xae1025…
01-12 14:00:22	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x4be272…
01-12 12:25:52	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x61ca46…
01-09 12:58:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	112	37¢	$41	0x636ef0…
01-09 11:08:10	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	45	37¢	$17	0xc70862…
01-09 10:56:46	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x269404…
01-09 10:43:42	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	162	37¢	$60	0x0099cd…
01-09 04:55:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	500	39¢	$195	0x96c512…
01-09 04:39:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xe51c43…
01-09 04:38:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	114	61¢	$70	0x501fe6…
01-09 04:19:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0xda7ecc…
01-09 04:17:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xbeddec…
01-09 04:08:10	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0x8480dc…