Made-Up-Pathology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$311

Unrealized P&L

-$76

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

386

Trades

1,813

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-27 16:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

74% 44% +$349

Politics

16% 69% -$493

Crypto

7% 71% -$33

Sports

3% 50% -$134

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No		+2	$76	6¢	$0	-$76	08-06 01:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigers	15	$2.3K	1,223	1,223	+0	NC Dinos	+$101	09-11 00:48
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers	9	$775	1,078	10	+1,067	Kia Tigers	+$301	10-09 15:22
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears	11	$728	403	403	+0	Doosan Bears	+$77	09-15 06:13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	20	$605	413	374	+39	Yes	+$23	04-03 17:30
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	20	$452	684	0	+684	No	-$232	05-15 12:16
will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	4	$379	111	331	-220	No	-$22	03-12 12:00
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears	5	$368	607	100	+507	NC Dinos	-$206	09-18 16:10
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eagles	9	$357	180	180	+0	NC Dinos	+$3	09-13 00:23
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	11	$345	185	210	-25	No	+$4	03-23 06:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	15	$319	420	0	+420	No	-$211	05-15 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	24	$304	400	60	+340	Yes	+$51	10-20 06:37
highest temperature in seoul on january 23 neg 2c	17	$276	643	0	+643	No	-$101	01-23 10:11
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	5	$273	150	150	+0	open	—	07-07 11:49
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	11	$255	855	855	+0	Yes	-$15	07-07 10:30
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	9	$201	316	0	+316	No	-$101	05-15 09:00
Kash Patel out by April 30?	10	$190	90	150	-60	No	-$13	04-03 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 11?	2	$188	130	100	+30	No	+$4	10-10 13:08
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$182	225	0	+225	No	+$4	05-15 06:10
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$175	202	0	+202	No	+$6	05-15 07:00
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by June 30, 2026?	8	$159	20	170	-150	Yes	-$24	03-12 13:35
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$156	130	130	+0	No	-$55	03-02 09:02
will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	1	$155	250	0	+250	No	-$155	07-07 18:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	8	$154	195	0	+195	Yes	+$42	10-26 05:02
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$148	150	0	+150	Yes	+$2	09-04 08:58
highest temperature in seoul on january 16 2c	6	$145	155	0	+155	No	+$10	01-16 03:48
Seeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$139	150	0	+150	No	+$11	01-19 04:37
dota2 flc liquid 2026 08 05 game4	10	$135	186	186	+0	cancelled	-$4	08-05 19:03
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	15	$125	130	180	-50	No	+$44	04-08 03:06
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	10	$125	70	90	-19	No	-$3	04-08 09:54
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	12	$124	242	240	+2	open	—	08-06 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:06:05	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x98f244…
10-27 13:30:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x65aceb…
10-26 05:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd91233…
10-26 04:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xec0efe…
10-26 04:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe481fb…
10-26 04:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x0695ef…
10-26 04:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0bf202…
10-26 04:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x3048a5…
10-26 03:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x169d17…
10-24 13:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x57768a…
10-22 14:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x15a83b…
10-22 14:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x12cb61…
10-22 13:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x2faec1…
10-22 13:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x170959…
10-22 13:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1682f8…
10-22 13:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x37fa39…
10-22 13:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3ec80d…
10-22 13:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x21cb9c…
10-22 13:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xd9a6b2…
10-22 13:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xd3f696…
10-22 13:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x17d03c…
10-22 13:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x967276…
10-22 12:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf493e2…
10-21 12:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$17	0xb950ed…
10-21 12:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x8174a9…
10-20 06:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x2d2956…
10-20 04:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x50f615…
10-20 04:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	84	96¢	$81	0x8087e0…
10-20 04:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$26	0x065949…
10-20 04:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf58450…
10-20 04:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x1ccf95…
10-20 04:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x2462f9…
10-20 04:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x053319…
10-20 03:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x131c68…
10-20 03:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x837121…
10-20 03:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	92	57¢	$52	0xeaf844…
10-20 03:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x0d11df…
10-20 02:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x3474b3…
10-20 02:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xfb5248…
10-20 02:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xb40b63…
10-20 02:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x0bfea0…
10-20 02:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x9999c9…
10-20 02:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x7ffe0b…
10-20 02:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3825f4…
10-20 02:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x748ffd…
10-20 01:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x480766…
10-20 01:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xeff81e…
10-20 01:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x3fa21a…
10-20 01:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc0cc58…
10-20 01:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4b7c88…
10-20 01:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x1a86e9…
10-20 01:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x6c1079…
10-20 01:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x49c2cd…
10-20 01:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3b07f0…
10-20 01:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc16edf…
10-20 00:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xeb7f8a…
10-20 00:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x80f698…
10-19 03:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0xf39600…
10-19 03:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x84e185…
10-19 03:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfae594…
10-19 03:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	18	63¢	$12	0x5356c6…
10-19 03:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x6dbd61…
10-19 03:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x8d2c45…
10-19 03:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xfac94d…
10-19 03:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x191164…
10-19 03:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x62ea61…
10-19 02:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0xb251b2…
10-19 02:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x06b58d…
10-17 13:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x392308…
10-17 10:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xcd12ba…
10-17 09:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x71eb9d…
10-17 09:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x60bef6…
10-17 09:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1e82b5…
10-17 09:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x952378…
10-17 08:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xde89d3…
10-17 08:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 17?	No	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x357aa8…
10-17 08:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 17?	No	BUY	74	66¢	$49	0xc9e6d6…
10-17 05:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x7c1517…
10-17 05:52:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x404090…
10-17 05:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x91aba9…
10-17 02:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x05e084…
10-17 01:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xa55c18…
10-16 03:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 16?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe6bdf9…
10-14 07:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xe47dca…
10-14 07:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x38389e…
10-14 06:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	94	4¢	$3	0x44dcd2…
10-14 01:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xac3342…
10-14 01:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xea43a0…
10-14 01:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x6e2fc5…
10-14 01:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xdeaa37…
10-14 01:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x34de96…
10-14 01:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x94f19d…
10-14 01:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x6255e4…
10-14 01:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x6eac4f…
10-13 19:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0x77dc0b…
10-13 13:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 13?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xb8d0ed…
10-13 13:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xcdb8fe…
10-13 13:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 13?	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x5bbd09…
10-13 12:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 13?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xfff377…
10-13 09:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0xe8d429…