Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

324

Trades

396

lifetime

Volume

$2.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-30

last 11-04 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 83% -$19

Politics

5% 100% +$2

Other

2% 0% -$5

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+13	$10	98¢	$13	+$3	11-04 09:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+6	$5	98¢	$6	+$1	11-04 07:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$35	40	0	+40	Down	-$35	11-03 09:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	6	$33	37	0	+37	Up	+$4	11-03 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$30	40	0	+40	Down	+$10	11-01 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Down	+$3	11-02 11:08
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Down	+$0	11-02 11:11
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	11-02 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 09:23
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	11-04 07:08
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$20	26	0	+26	Up	-$6	11-01 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	10-31 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$15	18	0	+18	Up	+$3	11-02 22:43
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$15	18	0	+18	Down	+$3	11-02 10:14
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$15	19	0	+19	Down	-$15	11-03 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	10-31 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$14	14	0	+14	Down	+$0	11-03 11:53
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$14	152	152	+0	open	—	11-01 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	11-03 09:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	11-04 07:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$11	49	49	+0	open	—	11-03 08:15
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	11-04 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	11-03 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	11-02 13:13
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	11-01 20:27
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	11-02 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	Up	-$4	11-03 14:58
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	11-02 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	11-02 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	11-01 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	11-01 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:05 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	11-03 09:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x0863b1…
11-04 14:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6d250e…
11-04 14:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xce4924…
11-04 13:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3835d4…
11-04 13:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x907e4e…
11-04 13:43:31	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0bea28…
11-04 12:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x61f456…
11-04 12:52:55	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe768d6…
11-04 12:52:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd3516b…
11-04 12:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa41d93…
11-04 12:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1cbe1e…
11-04 12:47:10	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x519d2c…
11-04 12:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x827c5a…
11-04 12:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x598e92…
11-04 12:12:37	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb44fd1…
11-04 12:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x195fa2…
11-04 12:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb61862…
11-04 12:09:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x030e8a…
11-04 12:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6d8797…
11-04 11:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe5f484…
11-04 11:33:30	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x966aab…
11-04 11:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe14d21…
11-04 11:23:10	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x976fe7…
11-04 11:22:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2bcfd4…
11-04 11:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x288d8e…
11-04 11:18:10	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x07f962…
11-04 11:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe4899d…
11-04 11:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xad815f…
11-04 11:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb6b52a…
11-04 11:13:13	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x13bb3f…
11-04 11:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4f14b7…
11-04 11:10:10	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xebf52c…
11-04 09:01:33	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6168d3…
11-04 07:17:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x658ccb…
11-04 07:17:30	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc7cc82…
11-04 07:17:00	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7a6543…
11-04 07:08:24	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xcc986b…
11-04 07:08:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x130c7d…
11-04 07:08:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x03c48a…
11-03 21:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x622f0e…
11-03 21:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3ab150…
11-03 21:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6e0eae…
11-03 21:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x864a21…
11-03 15:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8dcd26…
11-03 15:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39dae5…
11-03 15:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x515a94…
11-03 14:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5061f5…
11-03 14:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x15727f…
11-03 14:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xba08d3…
11-03 14:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x42fe9b…
11-03 14:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x83e60c…
11-03 14:08:15	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x103854…
11-03 14:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe051ea…
11-03 14:07:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe3196e…
11-03 13:28:00	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf0ac99…
11-03 13:27:43	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xddb41e…
11-03 13:27:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1978f3…
11-03 13:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x595d64…
11-03 12:43:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x68905a…
11-03 12:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb545a0…
11-03 12:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xac8977…
11-03 12:28:52	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe1ec0f…
11-03 12:28:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3cdc26…
11-03 12:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4ad99a…
11-03 12:18:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c6be3…
11-03 12:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x71e183…
11-03 12:08:58	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x547c70…
11-03 12:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x14d7c9…
11-03 12:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x54e770…
11-03 11:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc65880…
11-03 11:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8760d4…
11-03 11:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1fa615…
11-03 11:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa38479…
11-03 11:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb60809…
11-03 11:52:55	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x10946d…
11-03 11:52:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x138385…
11-03 11:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdec35a…
11-03 11:33:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x900dc8…
11-03 11:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8eef7f…
11-03 10:38:39	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbd129b…
11-03 10:38:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20c237…
11-03 10:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9dd984…
11-03 10:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x609173…
11-03 10:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x392d48…
11-03 10:33:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc75413…
11-03 10:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x69d684…
11-03 10:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x07f8b3…
11-03 10:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd96929…
11-03 10:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6309fd…
11-03 10:01:09	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	16¢	$4	0xa9609a…
11-03 10:00:48	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x2d2bea…
11-03 10:00:27	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x674036…
11-03 09:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x712e4a…
11-03 09:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc60191…
11-03 09:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8eb6b7…
11-03 09:23:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd309f8…
11-03 09:23:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x200082…
11-03 09:23:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x469e8a…
11-03 09:23:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x299d09…
11-03 09:18:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6cd541…