Far-Liability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.3%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$122.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.05K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 07-14 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$0

Other

23% 0% -$15

Sports

16% 33% +$56

Crypto

1% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$5.5K	2,787	2,787	+0	open	—	06-16 11:20
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$5.3K	2,686	2,686	+0	open	—	05-24 11:23
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$4.7K	2,393	2,393	+0	open	—	06-07 08:16
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$4.2K	2,117	2,117	+0	open	—	05-26 03:32
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$3.6K	1,796	1,796	+0	No	-$5	04-05 16:28
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$3.4K	1,680	1,680	+0	No	-$2	04-04 16:07
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$3.3K	1,675	1,675	+0	No	-$2	04-06 12:36
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,655	1,655	+0	No	-$2	04-14 09:37
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$3.3K	1,649	1,649	+0	No	-$2	04-02 11:52
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,639	1,639	+0	No	-$2	04-14 05:18
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$3.2K	1,630	1,630	+0	open	—	06-04 14:11
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$3.2K	1,616	1,616	+0	No	-$2	05-19 10:44
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$3.2K	1,623	1,623	+0	open	—	05-19 06:48
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.2K	1,610	1,610	+0	No	-$2	04-13 09:48
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.2K	1,616	1,616	+0	open	—	05-19 07:53
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$3.2K	1,599	1,599	+0	No	+$0	05-22 06:48
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$3.1K	1,584	1,584	+0	open	—	05-18 08:50
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$3.1K	1,579	1,579	+0	open	—	05-18 10:23
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$3.1K	1,561	1,561	+0	open	—	06-11 09:31
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$3.1K	1,531	1,531	+0	No	-$2	06-15 10:26
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$3.0K	1,616	1,409	+207	No	-$1	06-27 08:33
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,486	1,486	+0	open	—	06-15 09:19
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.9K	1,460	1,460	+0	open	—	06-14 12:30
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,444	1,444	+0	open	—	05-20 05:08
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.9K	1,442	1,442	+0	open	—	06-12 09:27
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$2.8K	1,399	1,399	+0	open	—	05-21 05:39
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.8K	1,399	1,399	+0	open	—	06-16 09:11
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$2.5K	1,236	1,236	+0	open	—	05-26 06:14
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$2.4K	1,232	1,232	+0	open	—	07-02 12:14
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$2.4K	1,185	1,185	+0	No	-$1	06-05 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 15:46:25	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	341	99¢	$339	0x8ae407…
07-14 11:26:50	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	341	100¢	$339	0xc374ad…
07-10 17:46:16	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	254	99¢	$252	0xa039fb…
07-10 13:48:17	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	254	99¢	$253	0x857554…
07-09 08:41:35	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	398	99¢	$396	0x004b13…
07-09 04:16:10	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	398	99¢	$396	0xbe931e…
07-08 08:51:08	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	302	99¢	$300	0x1e20ee…
07-08 06:20:01	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x350009…
07-07 03:33:59	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	154	99¢	$152	0x2587ee…
07-07 01:11:16	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0xd82737…
07-06 05:41:56	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xe700b9…
07-06 04:08:16	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x9428f8…
07-03 08:33:34	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	156	99¢	$155	0x76a795…
07-03 04:19:14	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0x823d4b…
07-02 12:14:28	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	181	99¢	$179	0xdc5cb3…
07-02 08:27:08	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x046458…
06-27 08:33:59	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0xcae313…
06-26 11:20:23	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	350	99¢	$348	0x39121b…
06-26 06:50:25	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	350	99¢	$348	0xc9229a…
06-26 06:44:23	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	628	99¢	$623	0x6df112…
06-26 01:09:37	Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	628	99¢	$624	0x5b4736…
06-25 10:53:23	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	653	99¢	$648	0xdae5ba…
06-25 09:00:58	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	653	99¢	$648	0xa4bfc0…
06-17 07:53:53	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	905	100¢	$903	0x2a67f2…
06-16 11:20:13	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,396	99¢	$1,386	0xbfcc97…
06-16 09:15:28	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,396	99¢	$1,388	0xa2a944…
06-16 09:11:09	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,399	99¢	$1,388	0xa4028b…
06-16 06:23:16	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,399	99¢	$1,389	0xef9821…
06-15 10:26:43	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,531	100¢	$1,526	0xabd98d…
06-15 09:25:00	Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,531	100¢	$1,528	0xcafe84…
06-15 09:19:49	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,486	100¢	$1,481	0x9c7d0f…
06-15 05:33:51	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1,486	100¢	$1,483	0x0e2033…
06-14 12:30:18	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,460	99¢	$1,447	0x22a4f0…
06-14 06:48:45	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,460	99¢	$1,449	0x34e463…
06-12 16:47:15	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,409	100¢	$1,403	0xc67358…
06-12 09:31:57	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,409	100¢	$1,405	0xdb9fed…
06-12 09:27:03	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,442	99¢	$1,431	0x0509a0…
06-12 06:35:31	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,442	99¢	$1,432	0xe9067d…
06-12 06:32:22	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,391	99¢	$1,382	0xeef895…
06-12 02:25:45	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,391	99¢	$1,383	0x39101d…
06-11 09:31:37	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,561	99¢	$1,550	0xa70327…
06-11 07:22:43	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,561	99¢	$1,552	0xf72df6…
06-07 08:16:45	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,690	99¢	$1,675	0x59f664…
06-07 03:42:39	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,690	99¢	$1,676	0xf22bea…
06-06 12:40:37	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	703	99¢	$697	0x7d01e4…
06-06 09:10:04	Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	703	99¢	$697	0x5a0033…
06-05 06:38:27	Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	1,175	99¢	$1,165	0x2b5018…
06-05 05:25:16	Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	1,175	99¢	$1,166	0xde9510…
06-05 04:53:40	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	1,185	99¢	$1,180	0x665b63…
06-05 02:15:51	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	1,185	100¢	$1,181	0x796121…
06-04 14:11:55	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,630	99¢	$1,617	0x0cd414…
06-04 09:25:27	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,630	99¢	$1,619	0xda3eae…
06-04 09:21:09	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	413	100¢	$412	0xabf13a…
06-04 06:54:21	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	413	100¢	$412	0xa56979…
05-31 10:11:58	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	959	99¢	$953	0xe53247…
05-31 07:04:38	Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	959	99¢	$954	0x9b979c…
05-27 05:09:23	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	417	100¢	$416	0x74efcd…
05-27 02:24:06	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	417	100¢	$416	0x3cb5c2…
05-26 17:26:59	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	No	BUY	432	100¢	$432	0xfb82c0…
05-26 08:33:51	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,051	99¢	$1,044	0xa1fe96…
05-26 06:21:29	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,051	99¢	$1,045	0x18ffd4…
05-26 06:14:33	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,236	99¢	$1,226	0x3807cf…
05-26 03:34:55	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,236	99¢	$1,228	0xbd1269…
05-26 03:32:09	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,034	99¢	$1,026	0x201707…
05-26 02:09:17	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,034	99¢	$1,028	0x86a896…
05-25 10:04:04	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,037	99¢	$1,029	0x5b5d2f…
05-25 07:29:08	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,037	99¢	$1,030	0xffe86f…
05-25 04:29:30	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1,038	99¢	$1,031	0x75b3b8…
05-25 01:34:02	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1,038	99¢	$1,032	0x827d33…
05-24 11:23:25	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0x63db0e…
05-24 09:01:28	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,001	0xbbc2f0…
05-24 08:58:45	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,069	99¢	$1,061	0xd0ecc4…
05-24 06:25:57	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,069	99¢	$1,062	0xe9cbc7…
05-24 05:23:37	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,083	99¢	$1,076	0x1a0c0d…
05-24 03:16:55	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,083	99¢	$1,077	0x0e9f07…
05-24 01:50:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	856	99¢	$852	0xa97771…
05-23 06:39:14	Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1,075	99¢	$1,068	0xda5dd8…
05-23 03:05:35	Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,070	0x0e9098…
05-22 06:48:01	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,599	100¢	$1,594	0x9b5e71…
05-22 02:53:56	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,599	100¢	$1,594	0xc061e6…
05-21 05:39:36	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,399	100¢	$1,393	0xbaeb12…
05-21 02:15:21	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,399	100¢	$1,395	0x5944ac…
05-20 08:11:00	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x5cb4bc…
05-20 05:08:23	Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	1,444	100¢	$1,441	0x4f66a6…
05-20 01:42:33	Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,444	100¢	$1,442	0x644f32…
05-19 10:44:46	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,616	100¢	$1,611	0x65fe36…
05-19 08:33:23	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,616	100¢	$1,613	0x987419…
05-19 07:53:58	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,616	99¢	$1,601	0x8b34de…
05-19 06:53:18	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,616	99¢	$1,603	0x705ada…
05-19 06:48:26	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,623	99¢	$1,607	0x25919c…
05-19 05:53:27	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,623	99¢	$1,608	0x47ba87…
05-19 05:29:59	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,679	99¢	$1,667	0x9edbec…
05-19 01:31:08	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,679	99¢	$1,669	0x8cf9be…
05-18 10:23:49	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,579	99¢	$1,569	0x3c672d…
05-18 08:51:06	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,579	99¢	$1,571	0x39a577…
05-18 08:50:11	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,584	99¢	$1,573	0xb435a7…
05-18 07:32:05	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	59	71¢	$42	0xb420d5…
05-18 07:13:49	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,584	99¢	$1,575	0x1a36dc…
04-20 06:31:04	nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	Flyers	BUY	96	43¢	$41	0x998b29…
04-15 05:33:10	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	Warriors	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb9bd3b…