Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$106

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$61

7 positions

First seen

2026-10-19

last 10-26 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$1

Politics

50% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	10-26 17:41
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	+10	$10	95¢	$10	$0	10-19 10:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$9	84¢	$9	$0	10-26 20:38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+11	$9	82¢	$9	$0	10-26 20:47
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	+14	$10	61¢	$9	-$1	10-26 10:12
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+11	$10	72¢	$8	-$2	10-20 11:00
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	+7	$7	96¢	$7	+$0	10-19 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:47:30	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x5369d8…
10-26 20:38:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x243458…
10-26 17:41:57	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x641335…
10-26 10:12:36	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xea7033…
10-20 11:00:45	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x73bd9e…
10-19 10:31:03	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xea4f83…
10-19 10:26:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0x8542d8…
10-19 10:26:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0xca326c…
10-19 10:23:54	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x52de38…
10-19 10:23:23	Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xf5007a…
10-19 10:23:06	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf01356…
10-19 10:22:47	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb39357…
10-19 10:13:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x4eed74…
10-19 10:12:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xf78a07…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$12	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	10-19 10:26
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-20 11:00
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	10-26 17:41
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	10-19 10:23
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	10-26 10:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$9	41	41	+0	open	—	10-19 10:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	10-26 20:38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	10-26 20:47
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	10-19 10:22
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	10-19 10:23
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	10-19 10:23
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	10-19 10:31