Equal-Llama — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

238

lifetime

Volume

$4.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-15 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 50% +$9

Sports

9% 0% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 2	2	$95	55	55	+0	open	—	02-02 17:41
btc updown 5m 1783055400	3	$93	96	34	+62	open	—	07-03 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$92	62	62	+0	Down	+$32	05-12 03:21
btc updown 15m 1770987600	2	$84	45	45	+0	open	—	02-13 13:16
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	6	$84	155	87	+69	open	—	06-06 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$73	43	43	+0	open	—	06-01 02:51
btc updown 15m 1770861600	5	$69	48	47	+0	open	—	02-12 02:11
btc updown 15m 1770015600	3	$67	66	65	+1	open	—	02-02 07:14
xrp updown 15m 1776136500	2	$65	42	40	+1	open	—	04-14 03:31
btc updown 15m 1783345500	2	$65	84	0	+84	open	—	07-06 13:49
btc updown 15m 1770157800	4	$63	70	69	+1	open	—	02-03 22:43
xrp updown 15m 1776137400	2	$62	47	45	+2	open	—	04-14 03:42
btc updown 5m 1783054500	2	$61	39	39	+0	open	—	07-03 05:00
btc updown 15m 1770265800	3	$61	64	35	+30	open	—	02-05 04:39
xrp updown 15m 1776049200	3	$58	82	52	+29	open	—	04-13 03:10
btc updown 15m 1770641100	3	$57	74	41	+33	open	—	02-09 12:48
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 03:46
btc updown 5m 1770988800	3	$53	55	28	+27	open	—	02-13 13:23
btc updown 5m 1781490000	2	$52	33	33	+0	open	—	06-15 02:25
nba gsw uta 2026 03 09	2	$52	32	32	+0	open	—	03-10 04:20
bitcoin up or down on february 10	2	$51	31	31	+0	open	—	02-10 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$51	31	31	+0	Down	+$11	05-05 01:45
btc updown 15m 1770989400	3	$50	57	29	+27	open	—	02-13 13:40
btc updown 5m 1783053600	3	$50	89	36	+54	open	—	07-03 04:45
btc updown 5m 1770948900	2	$50	31	30	+0	open	—	02-13 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$50	35	35	+0	open	—	06-01 03:01
btc updown 15m 1770786900	2	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	02-11 05:30
btc updown 15m 1770948000	2	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	02-13 02:16
btc updown 5m 1784083500	2	$47	28	28	+0	open	—	07-15 02:50
btc updown 5m 1771206600	2	$47	28	27	+0	open	—	02-16 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 02:50:22	btc updown 5m 1784083500	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xd5a8f2…
07-15 02:48:02	btc updown 5m 1784083500	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x23891e…
07-15 02:41:20	btc updown 5m 1784083200	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x0b83ae…
07-15 02:40:41	btc updown 15m 1784082600	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x13a967…
07-06 13:49:07	btc updown 15m 1783345500	Up	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x2f2439…
07-06 13:48:19	btc updown 15m 1783345500	Up	BUY	47	75¢	$35	0x1345c3…
07-06 03:57:19	btc updown 15m 1783309500	Down	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0xfac79d…
07-06 03:55:59	btc updown 15m 1783309500	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xb426f5…
07-03 05:14:50	btc updown 5m 1783055400	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x51985d…
07-03 05:13:34	btc updown 5m 1783055400	Down	SELL	34	68¢	$23	0x1fccda…
07-03 05:13:22	btc updown 5m 1783055400	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x32d64f…
07-03 05:05:31	btc updown 5m 1783055100	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x234b9c…
07-03 05:00:26	btc updown 5m 1783054500	Up	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x3bf134…
07-03 04:57:23	btc updown 5m 1783054500	Up	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0x12e402…
07-03 04:52:38	btc updown 5m 1783054200	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xbe4c1c…
07-03 04:45:02	btc updown 5m 1783053600	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x778cdf…
07-03 04:44:01	btc updown 5m 1783053600	Up	SELL	36	42¢	$15	0x595bc5…
07-03 04:43:11	btc updown 5m 1783053600	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x632e01…
06-22 02:10:01	btc updown 15m 1782093600	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x668041…
06-22 01:48:23	btc updown 15m 1782092700	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x839574…
06-22 01:43:28	btc updown 5m 1782092400	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x0822cf…
06-15 14:24:03	btc updown 15m 1781532900	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x5b5093…
06-15 05:07:42	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x525181…
06-15 04:48:51	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x3a9229…
06-15 04:31:25	btc updown 15m 1781497800	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xcc68c1…
06-15 04:31:25	btc updown 15m 1781497800	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x9c527d…
06-15 04:28:33	btc updown 15m 1781496900	Down	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x5df866…
06-15 04:24:15	btc updown 15m 1781496900	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x02de00…
06-15 02:25:43	btc updown 5m 1781490000	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x71eee4…
06-15 02:23:28	btc updown 5m 1781490000	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x90a4ce…
06-11 03:46:21	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa14423…
06-11 03:11:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcf9ccd…
06-11 02:47:54	btc updown 15m 1781145900	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xe96594…
06-11 02:30:49	btc updown 15m 1781145000	Down	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x20c6b1…
06-09 01:29:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xc5bcb1…
06-08 04:51:33	btc updown 15m 1780893900	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xf2ba3b…
06-06 02:28:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	29	38¢	$11	0x7b9296…
06-06 01:57:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe81311…
06-06 01:38:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x1f3c61…
06-06 01:30:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x18d962…
06-06 01:13:37	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	58	23¢	$13	0xd6b5fb…
06-06 01:00:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xd83e17…
06-05 03:48:18	btc updown 15m 1780631100	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x1baf54…
06-05 03:13:33	btc updown 5m 1780629000	Down	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x719a9f…
06-05 02:34:28	btc updown 15m 1780626600	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x0a2a13…
06-05 00:57:01	btc updown 5m 1780620900	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x303096…
06-01 03:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xa4f09f…
06-01 02:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xe5d3e9…
06-01 02:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x5b9591…
06-01 02:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x0a12ff…
05-31 01:47:18	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xaa2471…
05-19 02:15:35	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1e9ddd…
05-18 00:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x11947b…
05-14 02:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x19d16f…
05-14 01:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xc50b5c…
05-12 03:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6f9d57…
05-12 03:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x2f571e…
05-12 03:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x7dc024…
05-12 03:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcc1f9c…
05-12 03:03:25	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xa97aa1…
05-07 02:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	43	37¢	$16	0xaa97c1…
05-07 02:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xaa216d…
05-07 02:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x321c03…
05-05 01:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xf782ab…
05-05 01:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x28ce07…
05-05 01:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x6010d9…
04-20 01:52:50	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Trail Blazers	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x7eacb8…
04-18 04:19:12	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Warriors	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x64328d…
04-15 17:05:44	btc updown 5m 1776272700	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x25a438…
04-15 16:46:34	btc updown 15m 1776271500	Down	BUY	74	40¢	$30	0xeadf84…
04-15 05:34:18	btc updown 15m 1776231000	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x7d736a…
04-15 03:53:22	btc updown 5m 1776225000	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe2026b…
04-15 03:34:40	btc updown 15m 1776223800	Up	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x07b424…
04-14 03:42:17	xrp updown 15m 1776137400	Up	SELL	45	95¢	$42	0xcf8ae4…
04-14 03:36:49	xrp updown 15m 1776137400	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x3af03b…
04-14 03:31:19	xrp updown 15m 1776136500	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xfc4e8b…
04-14 03:19:35	xrp updown 15m 1776136500	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x1ecfeb…
04-14 02:38:21	xrp updown 15m 1776133800	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x9f0620…
04-13 03:17:31	xrp updown 15m 1776050100	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x610b8d…
04-13 03:10:09	xrp updown 15m 1776049200	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xc6b4ec…
04-13 03:07:57	xrp updown 15m 1776049200	Down	SELL	52	34¢	$18	0xb3d64b…
04-13 03:07:19	xrp updown 15m 1776049200	Down	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0x312576…
04-11 03:23:15	nba min hou 2026 04 10	Timberwolves	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xd1683f…
04-11 03:20:45	nba phx lal 2026 04 10	Lakers	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x06fa83…
04-09 01:49:45	xrp updown 15m 1775699100	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x6b0d15…
04-07 04:43:49	xrp updown 5m 1775536800	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x1c1adb…
04-07 04:12:35	xrp updown 5m 1775535000	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xdeb9fe…
04-07 02:24:41	xrp updown 5m 1775528400	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x28554b…
04-07 02:17:51	xrp updown 5m 1775528100	Up	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xce4d0d…
04-07 02:10:41	xrp updown 5m 1775527800	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x28f6f5…
04-07 02:07:43	xrp updown 15m 1775527200	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xf63b0a…
04-07 01:57:05	xrp updown 5m 1775526900	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa562e8…
04-07 01:32:23	xrp updown 15m 1775525400	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x26e7b0…
04-06 01:49:15	xrp updown 15m 1775439900	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x339b8d…
04-06 01:18:51	xrp updown 15m 1775438100	Down	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0xb6cf3b…
04-06 01:04:17	xrp updown 15m 1775437200	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb6fe7f…
04-06 00:52:35	xrp updown 5m 1775436600	Down	BUY	34	78¢	$26	0x0f330c…
04-06 00:37:43	xrp updown 15m 1775435400	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x773035…
04-06 00:31:01	xrp updown 5m 1775435400	Up	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x107c9d…
04-06 00:24:37	xrp updown 15m 1775434500	Up	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0xe6f3da…