Short-Term-Overflight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.14K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

24.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-25 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

94% 33% -$1,126

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Other

2% 75% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No		+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	10-25 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10	1	$756	922	0	+922	Kings	-$756	04-10 09:29
nba por sas 2026 04 21	1	$392	451	0	+451	Trail Blazers	-$392	04-16 13:43
nba bkn tor 2026 04 12	1	$346	368	0	+368	Raptors	+$22	04-10 09:36
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$26	0	26	-26	open	—	05-27 14:10
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-20 09:58
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	1	$20	44	0	+44	Over	-$20	07-01 01:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-27 14:10
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	1	$5	10	0	+10	Under	+$5	07-01 02:37
israel closes its airspace by july 24	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-24 13:04
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	10-25 11:00
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-20 10:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 11:00:23	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5d5eaf…
07-24 13:04:09	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8e70b8…
07-24 13:01:57	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x4ba4bb…
07-01 02:37:17	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3480ca…
07-01 01:41:23	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x7a5456…
05-27 14:10:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee3ebc…
05-27 14:10:01	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x624ff9…
04-16 13:43:32	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Spurs	BUY	451	87¢	$392	0x8beee1…
04-10 09:36:03	nba bkn tor 2026 04 12	Raptors	BUY	368	94¢	$346	0xc1dbff…
04-10 09:29:37	nba gsw sac 2026 04 10	Warriors	BUY	922	82¢	$756	0x415e5e…
03-20 10:01:41	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x497b4b…
03-20 09:58:31	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe3b975…