Bubbly-Oar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

170

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$3.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$35

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-27 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 69% -$82

Politics

14% 71% +$37

Tech

12% 100% +$21

Other

9% 43% -$58

Sports

5% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-36	-$31	97¢	$-35	-$4	05-17 00:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$455	290	290	+0	Yes	+$20	01-28 17:46
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$198	250	250	+0	No	-$2	01-28 17:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$174	256	256	+0	Yes	-$26	01-18 18:14
will google have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$167	89	89	+0	Yes	+$5	01-28 17:46
will yoweri kaguta museveni win the 2026 ugandan presidential election	1	$120	124	0	+124	Yes	+$4	01-12 16:13
us forces enter iran by january 31	2	$101	53	53	+0	No	+$1	01-18 18:14
will andr ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$100	152	0	+152	Yes	+$52	01-12 16:06
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	1	$100	107	0	+107	Gold	+$7	01-21 15:56
nothing ever happens us strike edition	2	$41	36	36	+0	No	+$1	01-28 17:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$40	24	24	+0	No	$0	01-28 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$40	123	123	+0	Up	+$20	05-19 14:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$31	0	36	-36	open	—	05-17 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$30	24	24	+0	Down	+$10	05-18 12:04
kristi noem out by march 31	2	$30	65	65	+0	Yes	-$10	01-31 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-20 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-20 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-23 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-18 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-20 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-18 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-17 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-22 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 13:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xfa50fe…
05-27 12:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xdb2e08…
05-27 09:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xad1b07…
05-27 01:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc2fd18…
05-26 16:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa578ab…
05-26 15:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3691cf…
05-26 14:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xad7404…
05-26 14:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa247f5…
05-26 13:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x80edcf…
05-26 07:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2c2919…
05-26 03:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x8d23da…
05-26 00:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xbb344d…
05-25 20:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3a2875…
05-25 15:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x108343…
05-25 04:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x68ded2…
05-25 00:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x8c7a75…
05-25 00:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5ae0ed…
05-24 23:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x588631…
05-24 23:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1c9dd8…
05-24 23:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1b1013…
05-24 22:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x428a71…
05-24 22:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbfdf43…
05-24 21:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf46d5a…
05-24 21:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6e7f49…
05-24 21:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	369	3¢	$10	0x894e26…
05-24 16:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x321bc2…
05-24 14:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x471ec7…
05-24 13:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x63baf8…
05-24 13:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfe1fc2…
05-24 11:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xd88910…
05-24 10:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x49a757…
05-24 10:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xee26e8…
05-24 10:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe398e9…
05-23 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf43f20…
05-23 21:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x75e42e…
05-23 21:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7e2681…
05-23 21:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x49c508…
05-23 21:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6858f3…
05-23 21:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xac9179…
05-23 21:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3c16d2…
05-23 20:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6f8c64…
05-23 20:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7326d6…
05-23 19:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa5b39c…
05-23 18:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2bbc69…
05-23 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd25d80…
05-23 18:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	38	4¢	$2	0xe17199…
05-23 18:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x8960ed…
05-23 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x49356e…
05-23 14:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x45e98d…
05-23 08:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xf6ca8a…
05-23 08:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc505c2…
05-23 08:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	330	1¢	$3	0xcc00c1…
05-23 08:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	670	1¢	$7	0x9bc87d…
05-23 07:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x36c324…
05-23 01:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd55969…
05-23 01:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x237e09…
05-23 00:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xdef9c6…
05-23 00:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x52de30…
05-22 22:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xf75de6…
05-22 22:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8cf20a…
05-22 21:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa1e219…
05-22 21:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd97931…
05-22 19:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6255a1…
05-22 15:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa068c4…
05-22 15:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x157e70…
05-22 15:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d9a10…
05-22 14:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x862c4c…
05-22 14:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x71276a…
05-22 13:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd791a5…
05-22 13:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x539db3…
05-22 13:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5fffdc…
05-22 13:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc3b39a…
05-22 07:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xca7f41…
05-22 03:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4fb282…
05-22 03:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x339200…
05-22 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x093cd2…
05-22 01:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd81397…
05-21 19:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xc679d2…
05-21 18:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x95b594…
05-21 18:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaacf49…
05-21 17:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9b69bd…
05-21 17:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x170a6b…
05-21 15:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x4fda4b…
05-21 15:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6e802c…
05-21 13:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc3716e…
05-21 12:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe97b7d…
05-21 12:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x944ffa…
05-21 12:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb4b584…
05-21 10:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x38d37e…
05-21 10:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x682004…
05-21 10:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3140fd…
05-21 10:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc2e2b3…
05-21 02:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x95eaf2…
05-21 02:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x63bbf9…
05-21 01:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1f82a0…
05-20 21:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9655e5…
05-20 16:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x8609aa…
05-20 16:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x378b3f…
05-20 15:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x6b0910…
05-20 15:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1625e9…