Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$93

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-27

last 11-05 17:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

82% 49% -$3

Politics

16% 50% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No		+3	$1	72¢	$2	+$1	11-05 17:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No		+2	$1	92¢	$2	+$1	11-05 09:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on september 18 2026	2	$3	6	+6	Down	$0	09-18 01:09
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-13 22:20
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 00:58
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-10 14:40
will spy dip to 765 by august 31 2026 from august 31	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-01 05:41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-21 05:27
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 14:01
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-09 09:06
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-03 08:32
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	09-11 06:42
will googl reach 360 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 23:48
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	09-08 09:26
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$5	08-29 18:02
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-09 17:10
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-17 04:56
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-01 13:55
will nvda reach 220 by september 7 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 22:41
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-23 07:53
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-08 21:51
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $159 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-14 06:45
will trump say nuclear during remarks at nasa	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$4	08-27 18:06
next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-31 21:40
will spy dip to 760 by august 31 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	08-30 21:39
will dell say dividend 3 times during earnings call 20260901	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-31 05:39
will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	09-02 20:49
will trump say spacex during remarks at nasa	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-28 02:06
next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-28 18:37
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	09-16 07:20
will xagusd dip to 66 in august 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-30 02:05
spy up or down on september 10 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Down	-$2	09-10 03:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:28:45	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x025dc8…
11-05 09:14:10	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x726da3…
11-03 10:45:25	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc6e35f…
11-03 02:43:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x376d6c…
11-02 06:42:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x81bb40…
11-01 22:42:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2ef59e…
10-10 19:33:16	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe587ed…
10-08 19:12:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x703e98…
10-08 04:30:49	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x73997a…
10-07 04:38:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x903fc5…
10-06 20:36:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc9d4a6…
10-06 12:35:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1d086e…
10-06 04:35:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x47eb03…
10-05 15:04:17	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x398f1a…
10-05 00:59:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9c7db6…
10-03 02:10:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2d3ec9…
10-02 16:04:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 2?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3ff75d…
10-02 07:33:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3a07a3…
10-01 16:31:33	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x933cad…
10-01 08:29:03	wti closes above 91 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa43310…
09-30 23:01:53	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe21a86…
09-30 10:17:15	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5598b2…
09-29 14:15:35	will mu dip to 1050 by september 28 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfdf67f…
09-29 05:26:20	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x98780f…
09-28 21:25:27	will xagusd reach 64 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x403d23…
09-28 12:51:11	will ewy reach 188 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x22a1f9…
09-28 04:51:02	will coin dip to 180 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x48c271…
09-27 20:50:48	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x468bc7…
09-27 08:25:39	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe7a342…
09-26 08:11:14	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe3d975…
09-23 07:53:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x63800a…
09-22 23:48:52	will googl reach 360 by september 21 2026 from september 22	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x26b2b9…
09-21 14:01:06	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xc316ab…
09-21 05:27:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x301e78…
09-20 21:26:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x14286a…
09-19 00:58:25	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x38175c…
09-18 01:09:51	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x65e3f1…
09-18 01:06:55	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x04888e…
09-17 04:56:15	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x491332…
09-16 07:20:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x6b9fbe…
09-14 06:45:25	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $159 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x90c4aa…
09-13 22:20:31	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xb9d61f…
09-11 06:42:48	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x036cf0…
09-10 22:41:58	will nvda reach 220 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xe765ec…
09-10 14:40:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xab83c6…
09-10 03:27:46	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x3f950f…
09-09 17:10:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x01f1bb…
09-09 09:06:55	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x6d2dc8…
09-08 21:51:33	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x04972b…
09-08 09:26:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x1da3f6…
09-07 13:59:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xa0d5e4…
09-03 08:32:06	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xd7a5a4…
09-02 20:49:46	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	No	BUY	3	44¢	$2	0xfcb750…
09-02 12:34:13	spy up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x0de93a…
09-01 13:55:46	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$2	0x557e30…
09-01 05:41:36	will spy dip to 765 by august 31 2026 from august 31	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x10ff92…
08-31 21:40:54	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	No	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x015e17…
08-31 13:40:09	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xaa45b7…
08-31 05:39:30	will dell say dividend 3 times during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x15345a…
08-30 21:39:13	will spy dip to 760 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x76e7a7…
08-30 12:03:40	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x4020da…
08-30 02:05:34	will xagusd dip to 66 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x0a3663…
08-29 18:02:16	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x5b5508…
08-29 09:48:45	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x0e4c32…
08-28 18:37:10	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x02a9c7…
08-28 10:08:24	will trump say never seen anything during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x89e836…
08-28 02:07:07	will trump say moon base during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x05599d…
08-28 02:06:57	will trump say spacex during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xcd6715…
08-27 18:06:37	will trump say nuclear during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$2	0xbad044…
08-27 10:05:57	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xb34eee…
08-27 02:04:13	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x05ac6e…