Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.60K

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

145

Trades

947

lifetime

Volume

$114.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

$2.36K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-05 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

33% 59% -$1,639

Other

27% 28% -$7,166

Politics

26% 82% +$1,185

Tech

13% 36% -$1,904

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$626

Sports

0% 0% -$91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-4,782	-$622	41¢	$-1949	-$1,327	07-07 14:31
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+18,449	$387	2¢	$323	-$65	07-09 06:41
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+13,100	$289	1¢	$85	-$204	09-08 01:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 17 23	16	$7.3K	7,431	0	+7,431	Yes	+$127	02-16 18:38
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	19	$6.8K	6,114	1,614	+4,500	Yes	+$850	01-30 17:32
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	17	$5.2K	2,861	2,861	+0	No	+$110	03-07 19:25
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	5	$5.0K	2,725	2,725	+0	No	+$155	02-16 01:18
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	16	$4.5K	5,467	5,467	+0	open	—	07-07 18:23
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 10 16	10	$4.5K	1,671	3,071	-1,400	No	+$237	02-16 17:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$176	03-03 17:33
will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 10	61	$3.0K	2,586	2,595	-9	No	+$1,710	03-10 16:02
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	50	$3.0K	9,986	0	+9,986	Yes	-$2,977	03-11 18:27
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	14	$2.9K	1,922	1,922	-0	No	+$138	03-11 16:58
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.9K	3,730	0	+3,730	Yes	+$821	02-27 21:58
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	15	$2.8K	1,850	1,850	+0	Yes	+$866	01-30 10:45
us strikes iraq by february 28	8	$2.6K	14,206	1,899	+12,306	Yes	-$2,008	03-03 22:06
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase january 27 february 2	28	$2.3K	11,508	1,040	+10,468	No	-$1,403	02-02 12:40
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	39	$2.1K	14,272	0	+14,272	No	-$2,079	03-11 18:07
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	3	$2.0K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$93	02-13 15:31
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$10	02-24 16:52
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.7K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$702	01-30 08:55
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	2	$1.6K	1,446	1,446	+0	No	-$345	03-11 10:28
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$1.5K	1,512	0	+1,512	No	+$56	02-22 17:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 22:30 UTC	24	$1.4K	1,103	815	+288	Down	+$441	01-17 22:43
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	15	$1.3K	797	797	+0	Down	+$174	02-02 13:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	6	$1.3K	833	833	+0	No	+$332	01-31 18:01
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	6	$1.3K	9,843	899	+8,945	Yes	-$415	03-01 14:48
will france join the board of peace	4	$1.3K	662	662	+0	No	+$14	02-09 11:03
spx opens up or down on february 6 2026	5	$1.3K	1,200	700	+500	Up	-$232	02-06 06:10
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$1.2K	1,654	1,654	+0	Yes	-$49	01-28 19:54
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	-$1,110	02-27 21:46
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	8	$1.1K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	No	+$97	03-01 08:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$1.1K	610	610	+0	Yes	+$93	02-16 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 07:59:28	Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	267	97¢	$259	0x48ec83…
09-08 01:49:46	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	841	1¢	$11	0xc6f485…
08-05 09:56:32	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	SELL	1,177	48¢	$565	0x3d432e…
08-04 13:11:38	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x412572…
08-02 00:15:11	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x5ff6ba…
07-28 10:20:38	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xcb227b…
07-27 21:09:19	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	SELL	47	48¢	$23	0x626d4f…
07-21 19:52:46	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5d3a92…
07-16 16:42:46	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x288eec…
07-09 07:14:38	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,844	2¢	$88	0xb46c86…
07-09 07:14:07	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	SELL	232	45¢	$104	0x4b0751…
07-09 07:12:59	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,315	2¢	$76	0xffce45…
07-09 06:51:31	will dominique de villepin advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	800	88¢	$704	0x2c6739…
07-09 06:46:52	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,500	2¢	$104	0xac249e…
07-09 06:41:55	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18,449	2¢	$387	0xf72533…
07-07 18:23:29	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,100	94¢	$1,034	0xd28c67…
07-07 18:21:26	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x08840a…
07-07 18:21:11	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0x47a93e…
07-07 18:21:10	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xe6e2ee…
07-07 18:19:31	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xc7de00…
07-07 18:18:31	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x335fb0…
07-07 18:11:50	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	573	92¢	$526	0x3bd14c…
07-07 18:11:22	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	661	87¢	$575	0xe4934f…
07-07 18:10:16	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,233	30¢	$1,270	0xa2f8e3…
07-07 18:00:34	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	169	21¢	$35	0x8907d5…
07-07 17:57:05	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	684	21¢	$144	0x2b88ad…
07-07 17:56:10	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	170	24¢	$41	0x66a4a9…
07-07 17:53:10	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x892a4c…
07-07 17:47:14	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0x065639…
07-07 17:45:08	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	603	24¢	$145	0x8e91fe…
07-07 17:44:40	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	Yes	SELL	353	97¢	$344	0xa18292…
07-07 17:40:08	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,438	23¢	$561	0x6fe6b8…
07-07 14:31:31	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,570	13¢	$594	0x8ffd05…
07-07 14:14:59	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x52e32b…
07-07 14:14:53	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xb17d1a…
07-07 14:14:47	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	154	13¢	$20	0xe37db7…
03-11 19:07:47	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x19b1fb…
03-11 19:06:55	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb1ee72…
03-11 19:06:53	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2b6a92…
03-11 19:06:43	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd0bbed…
03-11 19:06:43	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xcb13ae…
03-11 19:06:43	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa33a41…
03-11 19:06:43	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x9227b6…
03-11 19:06:43	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6b11be…
03-11 19:06:43	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x453da1…
03-11 19:06:43	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x41c5ac…
03-11 19:06:43	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x287917…
03-11 18:28:49	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x1b9dec…
03-11 18:27:35	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	86	22¢	$19	0x5798df…
03-11 18:27:31	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x983519…
03-11 18:27:31	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x34899b…
03-11 18:24:55	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	260	23¢	$60	0x896eda…
03-11 18:19:25	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x257a3d…
03-11 18:09:29	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x880ceb…
03-11 18:09:27	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x5ab3ef…
03-11 18:09:25	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x3309f2…
03-11 18:09:23	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc9ea45…
03-11 18:09:23	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0xc2c477…
03-11 18:09:23	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	533	3¢	$14	0xb5d06e…
03-11 18:09:23	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xb1fbcb…
03-11 18:09:23	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xa2138f…
03-11 18:09:23	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x766abe…
03-11 18:09:23	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x4c64cf…
03-11 18:09:21	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x60da27…
03-11 18:09:07	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x6db2b3…
03-11 18:09:05	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	482	2¢	$9	0x11d062…
03-11 18:08:47	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	722	3¢	$23	0x5c2c68…
03-11 18:07:43	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	722	13¢	$94	0xebf4ce…
03-11 17:59:41	will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	No	SELL	435	84¢	$366	0x117356…
03-11 17:51:05	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8ca590…
03-11 17:49:01	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x7b1a3e…
03-11 17:47:33	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	78	23¢	$18	0x83841c…
03-11 17:46:47	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	118	23¢	$27	0xe94d55…
03-11 17:42:17	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	58	23¢	$13	0xe7fed7…
03-11 17:38:37	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xe5b161…
03-11 17:38:35	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x967bf4…
03-11 17:37:59	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xe498fe…
03-11 17:37:59	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x8c1206…
03-11 17:37:59	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x5f517d…
03-11 17:37:59	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x4c55fc…
03-11 17:37:59	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x1a4331…
03-11 17:37:59	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0x11f8c7…
03-11 17:34:57	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	1,832	1¢	$27	0x375c60…
03-11 17:34:09	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf31d30…
03-11 17:34:01	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xf12a7c…
03-11 17:34:01	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	2,093	2¢	$52	0xb9d9dd…
03-11 17:34:01	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x9e90fe…
03-11 17:34:01	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x9094a7…
03-11 17:34:01	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x1ca8df…
03-11 17:33:29	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x96da42…
03-11 17:32:57	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x750fc2…
03-11 17:32:49	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x6c7910…
03-11 17:32:49	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x6308f9…
03-11 17:32:49	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5e76fd…
03-11 17:32:49	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	1,865	14¢	$258	0x5c8805…
03-11 17:32:49	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x49573b…
03-11 17:32:47	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x45380b…
03-11 17:31:33	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	430	23¢	$99	0xd943a5…
03-11 17:25:31	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	494	23¢	$114	0xe61046…
03-11 17:24:05	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x655f2a…