Uncommon-Buying — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

663

lifetime

Volume

$28.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-19 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

71% — —

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

8% 50% +$34

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	60	$5.6K	3,160	3,545	-385	open	—	01-29 10:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$2.2K	1,826	1,826	+0	open	—	01-30 16:24
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	26	$1.3K	2,325	725	+1,600	open	—	02-02 12:11
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	2	$1.1K	0	1,378	-1,378	open	—	01-03 21:18
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	26	$995	775	775	+0	open	—	02-01 11:07
will trump shake hands with volodymyr zelenskyy at the world economic forum	15	$861	986	261	+725	open	—	01-22 14:58
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	6	$728	486	486	+0	open	—	02-03 21:00
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 10 2026	27	$698	3,623	893	+2,730	open	—	01-07 13:39
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by march 31	6	$606	1,220	2	+1,218	open	—	02-04 06:55
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$549	470	470	+0	open	—	02-11 21:50
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	15	$512	586	350	+236	open	—	02-12 21:28
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	8	$503	435	376	+59	open	—	02-24 13:10
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$452	317	316	+0	open	—	02-02 09:33
will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	15	$448	509	509	+0	open	—	02-03 07:10
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	11	$439	389	399	-9	open	—	01-24 22:17
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$391	717	0	+717	open	—	05-17 12:26
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 26 715	11	$353	733	756	-23	open	—	01-27 19:27
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	6	$350	254	254	+0	open	—	01-31 06:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$334	227	227	+0	open	—	02-05 06:00
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	3	$332	207	207	+0	open	—	01-07 23:03
russia strike on kyiv municipality by december 31 684	1	$330	0	339	-339	open	—	01-02 20:53
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	4	$263	413	216	+197	open	—	02-06 15:16
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	3	$262	182	182	+0	open	—	02-01 04:47
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$259	478	0	+478	open	—	05-14 10:16
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 11	14	$258	195	200	-5	open	—	01-11 21:58
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$233	423	0	+423	Up	+$190	05-11 10:03
will russia strike kyiv on february 4 2026	6	$210	720	720	+0	open	—	02-04 14:24
will all of trumps children attend the state of the union	5	$210	170	170	+0	open	—	02-25 04:53
will russia strike kyiv on february 7 2026	3	$205	210	210	+0	open	—	02-07 04:44
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$203	374	0	+374	open	—	05-16 09:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:03:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa82476…
07-11 23:10:43	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0xf3f7cc…
07-11 22:42:52	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x4d69cd…
07-11 22:39:52	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x3b613b…
07-11 22:35:08	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x76bca7…
07-11 19:27:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x784ea8…
07-06 20:16:56	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xce62f6…
07-06 20:10:07	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x6618d0…
07-05 14:41:37	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x0ea58d…
07-04 22:33:01	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf2cb2a…
06-30 21:29:28	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	Sweden	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc64019…
05-17 12:26:00	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	343	56¢	$191	0xcc648c…
05-17 10:58:16	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	374	53¢	$200	0x0dee2f…
05-16 09:06:36	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	374	54¢	$203	0xbbc4d0…
05-15 11:30:07	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	297	53¢	$157	0x9b3b7a…
05-14 10:16:15	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	478	54¢	$259	0x896286…
05-13 11:02:16	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	272	53¢	$145	0x450218…
05-12 21:01:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xac6f1d…
05-12 09:16:47	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	265	53¢	$140	0x37fb6d…
05-11 10:03:12	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	235	57¢	$133	0xe01b0c…
05-11 10:00:18	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xa21718…
05-10 14:22:54	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	225	53¢	$120	0x47a25f…
05-09 14:53:45	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	177	53¢	$94	0x38c9d0…
03-29 20:12:12	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x07a5b6…
03-29 20:06:02	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xa348e7…
03-29 20:05:56	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	SELL	132	0¢	$0	0xa2422d…
03-29 20:04:52	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xbdfdc7…
03-20 23:44:37	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x7b80dc…
03-20 22:26:21	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	SELL	24	44¢	$11	0x0d5ed7…
03-20 22:14:15	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x5de63c…
03-20 07:59:35	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	130	7¢	$9	0x9a3f56…
03-19 10:08:01	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x7e1105…
03-18 18:07:49	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 20	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x12edef…
03-18 14:55:27	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	71	11¢	$8	0x3998df…
03-18 14:50:31	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	256	3¢	$8	0xdcd01f…
03-13 08:07:21	btc updown 5m 1773474000	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x83465d…
03-12 15:54:51	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	114	12¢	$13	0xe91eb0…
03-12 15:54:35	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	98	14¢	$13	0x621b07…
03-12 15:51:51	will russia capture hryshyne by march 15 2026 338	No	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0xfd17f8…
03-12 15:51:33	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	SELL	196	23¢	$45	0x47c17d…
03-12 08:29:57	btc updown 5m 1773387600	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xbeebd0…
03-10 20:15:17	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x7ec438…
03-10 20:15:13	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0x406092…
03-10 20:15:07	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xb82a47…
03-10 20:15:01	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x51ab57…
03-10 09:54:17	btc updown 15m 1773216000	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x0a090f…
03-09 21:12:43	btc updown 15m 1773129600	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x63a78e…
03-09 08:22:01	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x91d0dc…
03-08 22:06:55	btc updown 15m 1773043200	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6fd3a3…
03-07 22:43:49	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5c9bf9…
03-07 20:46:13	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x4d69cd…
03-07 20:26:59	btc updown 15m 1772979300	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xfae832…
03-07 12:25:17	btc updown 15m 1772896500	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1f0017…
03-07 12:25:01	btc updown 15m 1772896500	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x8d0f06…
03-06 14:36:41	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xbeed7c…
03-06 14:29:39	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe10b55…
03-06 12:25:11	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x4d37f8…
03-06 08:27:31	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	34	37¢	$13	0x2d938c…
03-06 08:27:11	will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf13508…
03-06 08:17:49	will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x931517…
03-06 08:14:23	will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	No	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x4a4251…
03-06 08:13:39	will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	Yes	BUY	141	35¢	$50	0xb11b6c…
03-06 07:37:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xd6580d…
03-05 16:02:33	btc updown 15m 1772805600	Up	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0xc0f667…
03-05 10:58:27	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x071556…
03-04 23:28:13	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xa50360…
03-04 19:32:03	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x094194…
03-04 19:31:37	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x3752ea…
03-04 16:30:11	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xebe0aa…
03-04 15:59:03	btc updown 15m 1772719200	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x4b4851…
03-04 08:05:27	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x66fcde…
03-04 08:05:11	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x207904…
03-03 14:26:25	btc updown 15m 1772632800	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x1d8427…
03-02 20:05:57	btc updown 15m 1772546400	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x3df1e7…
03-02 08:45:23	btc updown 15m 1772460000	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x94713c…
02-28 23:03:59	btc updown 15m 1772373600	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x966d7e…
02-28 18:10:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xfff1d5…
02-28 18:09:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xcfd364…
02-28 18:09:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x98f0ef…
02-27 18:08:49	btc updown 15m 1772287200	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x55e58c…
02-27 17:23:51	rus zen bal 2026 02 27 bal	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5beef9…
02-27 17:23:31	rus zen bal 2026 02 27 zen	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5a6153…
02-27 10:30:17	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	No	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x6f220b…
02-27 10:30:03	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x75079c…
02-26 23:56:42	btc updown 15m 1772200800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xea8843…
02-26 13:47:34	will israel strike lebanon on february 26 2026	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5d1f53…
02-26 12:45:50	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	No	BUY	66	11¢	$7	0xc26ced…
02-26 12:44:44	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	No	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x76212b…
02-26 12:18:22	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x25c460…
02-26 12:16:24	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$5	0x0cbc36…
02-26 11:45:34	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xe6d214…
02-26 11:45:28	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7cd620…
02-25 21:34:26	btc updown 15m 1772114400	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8bf268…
02-25 07:20:30	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	36	57¢	$21	0x0bb8f0…
02-25 04:53:50	will all of trumps children attend the state of the union	Yes	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0xc4ab72…
02-24 21:48:50	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x14f587…
02-24 21:47:38	btc updown 15m 1772028000	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaeda54…
02-24 13:14:28	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x671f9e…
02-24 13:10:14	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x70a0b8…
02-24 13:08:54	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9b0b60…