Key-Grammar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

4,074

Trades

77,576

lifetime

Volume

$327.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-29 22:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$5,193

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 490 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:30 UTC	108	$981	1,010	1,010	+0	Up	+$30	01-20 20:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 10:30 UTC	71	$943	865	865	+0	Up	-$75	01-18 10:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 13:15 UTC	22	$864	557	429	+128	Up	-$5	02-02 13:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:15 UTC	62	$611	624	624	+0	Down	+$17	01-21 17:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 05:00 UTC	22	$608	817	192	+625	Up	-$466	02-05 05:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:45 UTC	32	$597	567	438	+129	Down	-$279	02-01 16:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 20:00 UTC	72	$593	510	308	+202	Down	+$16	01-16 20:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 16:00 UTC	20	$583	569	318	+251	Up	-$172	01-30 16:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 20:45 UTC	98	$573	1,069	0	+1,069	Up	+$15	01-19 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:30 UTC	90	$565	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	-$15	01-20 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:15 UTC	18	$557	640	0	+640	Up	-$43	01-27 22:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:45 UTC	30	$553	693	439	+254	Up	-$277	02-05 12:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 21:15 UTC	23	$551	675	421	+254	Up	-$73	02-01 21:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 01:15 UTC	48	$535	733	313	+421	Down	-$220	01-30 01:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 04:30 UTC	37	$529	573	318	+256	Up	-$221	01-30 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 03:30 UTC	86	$529	1,056	0	+1,056	Up	-$1	01-20 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 09:30 UTC	104	$522	942	0	+942	Up	-$51	01-21 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 17:00 UTC	19	$517	525	275	+250	Down	-$145	01-29 17:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 19:00 UTC	25	$507	595	336	+259	Up	-$152	01-30 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 11:45 UTC	114	$507	1,075	0	+1,075	Up	+$31	01-18 11:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 10:00 UTC	98	$505	902	0	+902	Up	-$53	01-22 10:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:15 UTC	23	$505	698	445	+253	Down	-$289	02-05 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:30 UTC	18	$504	724	0	+724	Up	-$379	01-28 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:30 UTC	59	$504	800	0	+800	Down	-$83	01-21 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 02:00 UTC	111	$502	1,056	0	+1,056	Up	+$25	01-18 02:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 20:30 UTC	100	$502	1,072	0	+1,072	Down	+$34	01-19 20:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:45 UTC	70	$501	840	0	+840	Down	-$82	01-21 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:15 UTC	20	$501	815	0	+815	Down	+$189	01-28 01:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:00 UTC	102	$500	856	0	+856	Up	-$137	01-22 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 08:45 UTC	127	$500	1,043	0	+1,043	Up	+$23	01-21 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x941801…
10-29 22:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x71b3f7…
10-29 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xae612a…
10-29 19:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf7d971…
10-29 19:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2187e9…
10-27 21:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd62e75…
10-27 21:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb68ddc…
10-27 21:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9b6b6c…
10-27 19:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x418d54…
10-06 01:07:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xac8133…
10-02 14:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x91de9e…
10-02 14:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2f5b30…
10-02 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x9f3c0a…
10-02 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x058f25…
10-02 13:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd1344f…
10-02 13:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfe188e…
10-02 13:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x264254…
10-02 13:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xde5777…
10-02 13:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1fe26d…
10-02 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2de157…
10-02 13:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2c55e4…
10-02 13:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3d4681…
10-02 13:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3bc445…
10-02 13:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1a3ef5…
10-02 13:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc1d6c7…
10-02 13:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5e6104…
10-02 13:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x727e4f…
10-02 13:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x66a474…
10-02 13:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xba2088…
10-02 13:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe4b9cd…
10-02 13:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x01fda9…
10-02 13:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xa9c4bd…
10-02 13:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x95a1ee…
10-02 13:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x72351c…
10-02 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2cfd6a…
10-02 13:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x41a214…
10-02 13:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd59735…
10-02 12:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x824af4…
10-02 12:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x428fb2…
10-02 12:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd0512f…
10-02 12:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3121a1…
10-02 12:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x60cbdf…
10-02 12:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x384647…
10-02 12:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb236ef…
10-02 12:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5d5d3f…
10-02 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x90f94c…
10-02 12:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb607e9…
10-02 12:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x1dc356…
10-02 12:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x96d96d…
10-02 12:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x01fde7…
10-02 12:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xcc6747…
10-02 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xf57b16…
10-02 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x75e1b4…
10-02 12:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa58143…
10-02 12:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x111ba8…
10-02 12:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x39e69a…
10-02 12:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3725af…
10-02 12:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x161a16…
10-02 12:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1e9895…
10-02 12:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9e9943…
10-02 12:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd4858d…
10-02 12:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc8a700…
10-02 12:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x53d350…
10-02 12:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xfa34b7…
10-02 11:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0d184e…
10-02 11:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x14e7b0…
10-02 07:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc434f1…
10-02 07:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0105eb…
10-02 07:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x68d647…
10-02 07:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe31e32…
10-02 07:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8da36d…
10-02 07:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x16608c…
10-02 07:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	63¢	$0	0xc4a621…
10-02 07:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x28b24d…
10-02 07:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x966f47…
10-02 07:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xb74763…
10-02 07:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x907d4e…
10-02 07:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xbeda11…
10-02 07:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x41a4bc…
10-02 07:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x743c6f…
10-02 07:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9747db…
10-02 07:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0e4e2b…
10-02 07:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x989882…
10-02 07:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8d1303…
10-02 07:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x761b41…
10-02 07:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb87a64…
10-02 07:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0xad1b63…
10-02 07:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4fc74c…
10-02 07:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x707418…
10-02 07:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xce9d78…
10-02 07:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x3f8901…
10-02 07:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xce346c…
10-02 07:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xff8314…
10-02 07:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xda0353…
10-02 07:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3a25d7…
10-02 07:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x72a64c…
10-02 07:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x98f877…
10-02 06:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd95784…
10-02 06:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x21540b…
10-02 06:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xa9cf02…