Key-Grammar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

77,673 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$205

$327.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-04 01:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$5,216

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 490 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:30 UTC	108	$981	1,010	1,010	+0	Up	+$30	01-20 20:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 10:30 UTC	71	$943	865	865	+0	Up	-$75	01-18 10:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 13:15 UTC	22	$864	557	429	+128	Up	-$5	02-02 13:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 12:15 UTC	62	$611	624	624	+0	Down	+$17	01-21 17:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 05:00 UTC	22	$608	817	192	+625	Up	-$466	02-05 05:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 16:45 UTC	32	$597	567	438	+129	Down	-$279	02-01 16:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 20:00 UTC	72	$593	510	308	+202	Down	+$16	01-16 20:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 16:00 UTC	20	$583	569	318	+251	Up	-$172	01-30 16:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 20:45 UTC	98	$573	1,069	0	+1,069	Up	+$15	01-19 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 14:30 UTC	90	$565	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	-$15	01-20 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:15 UTC	18	$557	640	0	+640	Up	-$43	01-27 22:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:45 UTC	30	$553	693	439	+254	Up	-$277	02-05 12:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 21:15 UTC	23	$551	675	421	+254	Up	-$73	02-01 21:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 01:15 UTC	48	$535	733	313	+421	Down	-$220	01-30 01:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 04:30 UTC	37	$529	573	318	+256	Up	-$221	01-30 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 03:30 UTC	86	$529	1,056	0	+1,056	Up	-$1	01-20 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 09:30 UTC	104	$522	942	0	+942	Up	-$51	01-21 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 17:00 UTC	19	$517	525	275	+250	Down	-$145	01-29 17:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 19:00 UTC	25	$507	595	336	+259	Up	-$152	01-30 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 11:45 UTC	114	$507	1,075	0	+1,075	Up	+$31	01-18 11:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 10:00 UTC	98	$505	902	0	+902	Up	-$53	01-22 10:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:15 UTC	23	$505	698	445	+253	Down	-$289	02-05 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:30 UTC	18	$504	724	0	+724	Up	-$379	01-28 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:30 UTC	59	$504	800	0	+800	Down	-$83	01-21 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 02:00 UTC	111	$502	1,056	0	+1,056	Up	+$25	01-18 02:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 20:30 UTC	100	$502	1,072	0	+1,072	Down	+$34	01-19 20:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:45 UTC	70	$501	840	0	+840	Down	-$82	01-21 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:15 UTC	20	$501	815	0	+815	Down	+$189	01-28 01:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 06:00 UTC	102	$500	856	0	+856	Up	-$137	01-22 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 08:45 UTC	127	$500	1,043	0	+1,043	Up	+$23	01-21 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 01:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa5de14…
11-04 01:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8dbbc6…
11-04 01:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xf8ffa4…
11-04 01:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xd532cc…
11-04 01:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x9476e2…
11-04 01:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa99605…
11-04 01:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x363914…
11-04 01:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x70effe…
11-04 01:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xccd52a…
11-04 01:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xbd7284…
11-04 01:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd39a5c…
11-04 01:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x465f9e…
11-04 01:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd3979c…
11-04 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x847c96…
11-04 01:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa39ffb…
11-04 01:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x38d78b…
11-04 01:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5e8d54…
11-04 01:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9cfede…
11-04 01:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x555278…
11-04 01:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe8352d…
11-04 01:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x10aab4…
11-04 01:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x21e7c0…
11-04 01:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3dc52b…
11-04 01:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd3c116…
11-04 01:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfb66b1…
11-04 01:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe2cbb4…
11-04 01:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xc1442b…
11-04 01:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf73f06…
11-04 01:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xde1a41…
11-04 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xbfff58…
11-04 01:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x00f6da…
11-04 00:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd5ba0e…
11-04 00:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xeb0f22…
11-04 00:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x43dee3…
11-04 00:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x10d421…
11-04 00:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xcdc893…
11-04 00:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcc9d5e…
11-04 00:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa3516a…
11-04 00:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd94cc1…
11-04 00:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x23bf5f…
11-04 00:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xedcb5f…
11-04 00:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x26c233…
11-04 00:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa18702…
11-04 00:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8baa52…
11-04 00:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x970dad…
11-04 00:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbfd51d…
11-04 00:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x26ecc6…
11-04 00:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf1426f…
11-04 00:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9b227d…
11-04 00:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf42751…
11-03 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x446623…
11-03 23:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcb8d43…
11-03 23:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9b7ee3…
11-03 23:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbd381b…
11-03 23:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xfad35b…
11-03 23:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdc2170…
11-03 23:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x1ce1dc…
11-03 23:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb17176…
11-03 23:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa4337e…
11-03 23:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xbbb50f…
11-03 23:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0a351b…
11-03 23:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe470bf…
11-03 23:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xae21e3…
11-03 23:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xebb84a…
11-03 23:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5d694b…
11-03 23:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xb751e4…
11-03 23:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1d7990…
11-03 23:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbc3d42…
11-03 23:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf49ad3…
11-03 23:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf6d17b…
11-03 23:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xebc9f7…
11-03 23:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xe369b0…
11-03 23:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3b9c48…
11-03 23:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x30c3a6…
11-03 23:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf5b8c8…
11-03 23:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8e9d74…
11-03 23:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x6d33bf…
11-03 23:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0fe48d…
11-03 23:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe11477…
11-03 23:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa95de2…
11-03 23:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb7780f…
11-03 23:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x44573d…
11-03 23:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x996c69…
11-03 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x912440…
11-03 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x39aef6…
11-03 23:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x025ad4…
11-03 23:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x75ae6f…
11-01 17:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x65af1b…
11-01 17:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x863383…
11-01 17:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe75490…
11-01 17:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x933d05…
11-01 17:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x80b10a…
11-01 17:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x703b3e…
11-01 17:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x61847f…
11-01 17:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x586210…
11-01 17:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x487014…
10-29 22:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x941801…
10-29 22:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x71b3f7…
10-29 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xae612a…
10-29 19:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf7d971…